Ryan Tannehill re-signed with the Tennessee Titans on a four-year pact reported at $118 million. With Tannehill staying in Tennessee, the first domino falls in a wild quarterback market.
Tannehill resurrected his career in 2019 in a wild comeback season that included seven QB1 finishes in his last eight games.
His reality impact was even larger, with the team exploding in a wide variety of categories after his elevation to the starting lineup.
The Titans averaged a full point more per drive with Tannehill under center, and their passing game took off. He led the league in QBR, finished second in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE), and third in completion percentage.
What Does This Mean for Tannehill and the Titans in Fantasy?
Tannehill’s insertion also supercharged the performances from A.J. Brown and Derrick Henry. Brown jumped by 6.1 PPG, while Henry exploded by 9.5.
Going forward, the Tannehill signing is a much better move for Henry, who was franchised by the Titans as soon as their QB was locked up. Henry now returns as the key cog in a run-oriented offense, and he gets the boost you would expect from a competent QB who won’t be tasked with winning games on his own.
By contrast, much of Brown’s emergence was likely due to the natural progression of rookie wide receivers. Brown benefits less from a QB who was playing over his head. Tannehill’s 9.7 YPA was well above his previous career average of 7.0.
The price for has risen to the early-second round where he’s taken as WR11. We have him even higher. The RotoViz staff likes him at No. 16 overall, but there is some risk at that range, especially with this QB in this offense. Brown only averaged 21 yards and 4.1 PPG during the Titans three-game playoff run. That’s likely an aberration, but so was Tannehill’s regular-season efficiency. The second-year star would have been better off if the Titans had made a more aggressive play at QB, or if the Titans had rebooted to a less obvious touch hog at RB.
How Does It Affect the Superflex Market?
The QB market is crazy in Superflex as traders and startup drafters are trying to guess the values for players like Tom Brady, Jameis Winston, Philip Rivers, Derek Carr, Teddy Bridgewater, Mitchell Trubisky, and Andy Dalton.
Older QBs and QBs with uncertain 2020 employment still have very real value in Superflex.
Tannehill’s return to Tennessee removes one of Tyler Loechner’s best fantasy landing spots for Brady. With Brady now reportedly down to Tampa and New England, the risk increases for Winston owners. (Bridgewater is often mentioned there as well.)
We’ll continue to follow the musical chairs at QB over the coming days.