Should We Fade Golfers Coming Off a Tournament Win?
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Image Credit: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Tiger Woods.

Every week, there’s a discussion of whether or not to play golfers coming off of a victory. It’s easy to say “well, this guy has been celebrating so we should fade” or “he’s obviously playing great golf so we should keep riding them until the wheels fall off.” Those are narratives, though — the stories we tell ourselves with little to no proof. We’re going to dive into winning performances and see if we can make heads or tails of this question.

Who Wins Tournaments?

It should come as no surprise that the most expensive golfers are the most likely to win tournaments. Just over 56% of the winners in the database have been priced at $8,500 or above. On the other end of the spectrum, just 3% of the trophy hoisters have come from below $6,500. 

What Happens to a Winner’s Price in their Next Start?

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