Allen Robinson has been a personal favorite since we pushed dynasty owners to grab him during the loaded 2014 receiver draft. He broke out with a massive 304-point performance in Year 2 and looked like a permanent member of the WR firmament. Unfortunately, quarterback play and injuries derailed his career. He didn’t post another top-24 season until 2019.
Robinson’s 254-point campaign returned him to WR1 status, but it also returned him to a WR1 price. As the No. 9 WR off the board in FFPC leagues, he’s going slightly ahead of last year’s finish, but the reason is obvious. He ranked No. 5 with 9.6 targets per game. The Bears added Jimmy Graham and Cole Kmet to strengthen their tight end position, but the WR depth chart remains barren after Robinson and Anthony Miller. If you buy Robinson, you’re buying a lot of volume.
Unfortunately, Robinson is no longer the playmaker he was before the injuries. The transition to possession receiver is illustrated in his four-year trends in yards per reception, target depth, and fantasy points over expectation. Given these minor red flags, the sticker shock on Robinson may have you looking in a different direction. And we may be able to offer you similar production at a significantly reduced price.
As I did in finding 2 Receivers Who Will Provide Robert Woods’ Scoring at a Much Reduced Price, we’ll first go to the Range of Outcomes tool to find less expensive receivers who are projected for identical 2020 production. It will come as no surprise that one of Robinson’s doppelgangers landed on the list of 5 Players the ROO Projects with Explosive Upside.
