Nail Your Final Drafts and Profit from the Best Early Trades with the Offensive Line Continuity Project
Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire Pictured: Quenton Nelson

Offensive line continuity can often prove a hidden element in offenses veering from projections once the regular season gets underway. The 49ers offense clicked into gear under Kyle Shanahan while carrying max offensive-line continuity into their NFC title run, while the Rams’ setback under Sean McVay coincided with turning over multiple starters for the first time in years.

Over the years I’ve written about the increasing emphasis on offensive line continuity, how critical it is to maintain it, the challenge of finding stability.

How do I define an incumbent? He needs to be the projected Week 1 starter who took the majority of snaps for the same team in the season prior, or entered as the team’s Week 1 starter in the previous season. This has produced significant correlation in offensive metrics detailed in those studies linked above, including with individual rushers, Pro Football Focus run-blocking grade, and total offense.

You can win without offensive line continuity, but many of our league-winning performances occur as a result. The OL Continuity Project will help you make those tough decisions during your final drafts and help you profit in trades over this last week of the preseason.

Offensive Line Continuity – The Best and Worst Entering 2020

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Jim Harbaugh Is Committed to Winning in the Trenches, But Will Justin Herbert Benefit? Offensive Line Continuity in Flux Entering the 2024 NFL Draft

Jim Harbaugh is trying to outflank me on the importance of offensive line play — he must’ve known my pre-draft OL continuity update for all 32 teams was about to drop. We actually now kick off Year 10 of this series on the importance of incumbency in the trenches and its relation to offensive production. Granted, Harbaugh was running it back each year with a…...

Evaluating Offensive Line Continuity Against Market Perception Entering the 2023 Season

We’ve had to white-knuckle through the end of training camp with injuries to skill position players, so it can be easy to take our eyes off the trenches. Though as I lay out in my annual summer series for RotoViz, there is a correlation worth exploring between starting offensive line continuity entering the season and the offensive production that ensues. My most recent piece put…...

Derrick Henry’s Big Shakeup in the Trenches and the Offensive Line Continuity Picture for 2023

Offensive line continuity is one slice of the giant onion in projecting the NFL. A quarterback can overcome a lot and it’s more important to fill gaping holes up front than it is to have continuity just for continuity’s sake. But all things equal, there’s an edge in having the dance line get in sync. This does especially come in handy with a weak-link system…....

Jim Harbaugh Is Committed to Winning in the Trenches, But Will Justin Herbert Benefit? Offensive Line Continuity in Flux Entering the 2024 NFL Draft

Jim Harbaugh is trying to outflank me on the importance of offensive line play — he must’ve known my pre-draft OL continuity update for all 32 teams was about to drop. We actually now kick off Year 10 of this series on the importance of incumbency in the trenches and its relation to offensive production. Granted, Harbaugh was running it back each year with a…...

Evaluating Offensive Line Continuity Against Market Perception Entering the 2023 Season

We’ve had to white-knuckle through the end of training camp with injuries to skill position players, so it can be easy to take our eyes off the trenches. Though as I lay out in my annual summer series for RotoViz, there is a correlation worth exploring between starting offensive line continuity entering the season and the offensive production that ensues. My most recent piece put…...

Derrick Henry’s Big Shakeup in the Trenches and the Offensive Line Continuity Picture for 2023

Offensive line continuity is one slice of the giant onion in projecting the NFL. A quarterback can overcome a lot and it’s more important to fill gaping holes up front than it is to have continuity just for continuity’s sake. But all things equal, there’s an edge in having the dance line get in sync. This does especially come in handy with a weak-link system…....

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