Offensive line continuity can often prove a hidden element in offenses veering from projections once the regular season gets underway. The 49ers offense clicked into gear under Kyle Shanahan while carrying max offensive-line continuity into their NFC title run, while the Rams’ setback under Sean McVay coincided with turning over multiple starters for the first time in years.
How do I define an incumbent? He needs to be the projected Week 1 starter who took the majority of snaps for the same team in the season prior, or entered as the team’s Week 1 starter in the previous season. This has produced significant correlation in offensive metrics detailed in those studies linked above, including with individual rushers, Pro Football Focus run-blocking grade, and total offense.
You can win without offensive line continuity, but many of our league-winning performances occur as a result. The OL Continuity Project will help you make those tough decisions during your final drafts and help you profit in trades over this last week of the preseason.