Game Environment: Mahomes and Brady Lead the Way in Week 12
Image Credit: Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.

Welcome to the game environment series. This series will provide several weekly games to target and fade, based on macro-level factors that impact fantasy production. For more on these factors, click here. We recommend using this in conjunction with our micro-level analysis, including the buy low report, the strength in numbers series, our quarterback, kicker, tight end, and defense streaming articles, and the slate of DFS analysis we provide.

Week 11 Review

Targets

Cincinnati @ Washington
Packers @ Colts
Titans @ Ravens

Low-owned Game Stack

Jets @ Chargers

The Joe Burrow injury cratered a promising start to the Washington-Cincinnati matchup, but each of the other games hit. The Colts and Packers delivered a shootout, Derrick Henry iced the Ravens in overtime, and targeting the passing attack of the Jets’ opponent was again a smashing success. Justin Herbert passing stacks with Henry as a pivot off of other chalky RBs were an ideal contrarian lineup. This was a strong week for the targets.

Fades

Falcons @ Saints
Cowboys @ Vikings
Lions @ Panthers

I said Taysom Hill would likely need touchdowns to find his ceiling in a weaker peripheral game environment, but he did. Alvin Kamara salvaged his zero-reception day with a touchdown. I don’t expect Kamara to be that uninvolved in the passing game again, but he is ceiling will likely be lowered until Brees returns (expected to be Week 15). The Cowboys and Vikings matchup was a barnburner, with neither defense offering resistance, eliminating the pace concerns that I had. The Lions and Panthers game was a dud, but this was a mediocre week for the fade list. On to week 12.

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