The 2020 Best Ball Win Rate Awards and 3 Key Takeaways to Help Us Crush Again in 2021
Image Credit: Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Travis Kelce.

Shawn Siegele gives out best ball player awards and uses the best ball tools suite to help you understand why the lessons from the Best Ball Workshop crushed again in 2020.

Best ball guru Mike Beers just updated the Roster Construction Explorers with 2020 data. Next to the culminating moments of a fantasy championship, this is my favorite moment of the fantasy season. Readers who followed our three basic lessons from the workshop absolutely destroyed leagues in 2020 with a win rate of 14.5%.

Win Rates for Best Ball Workshop Practitioners

Readers who followed the advanced lessons were able to push it much higher. And the best part . . . most owners are playing best ball incorrectly, making it an easy format to exploit.

What were those three lessons and how can you implement them in your own leagues? Today I’m going to use the Best Ball Win Rates tool to discuss some of the best fantasy performances from 2020. We’ll use the insane Win Rate Explorer to place these performances in a historical context, and I’ll use the superstars to illustrate aspects of those three key elements.

As the offseason develops, we’ll go into detail with the 2021 Best Ball Workshop, including Blair Andrews’ terrific work on FFPC Superflex tactics.

Overall MVP

Alvin Kamara

As the fourth player selected, Kamara had similar win rates in FFPC and BB10s where he finished at 23.6%. Kamara was roaring along at a 26.5% win rate through Week 10, an extended opening stretch where he averaged over 27 PPG. The Drew Brees injury knocked him below 20% entering Week 16, but a historic 56-point performance allowed him to blow by Dalvin Cook and clip the low-owned James Robinson.

If we switch to BB10s for a moment in order to pull in a couple of extra years (2015 and 2016), we can see that Kamara becomes only the fourth RB in the last six years to have an ADP better than 6.0 and a win rate above 10%.

BB10 RB Win Rates, Early ADP (2015-2019)

I’ve also included Kamara’s 2018 season, where he returned a 15.8% win rate with an ADP just outside of that range. 

The 2020 season again followed this pattern where five of the first eight RBs drafted turned in a win rate below 6.0%.

Takeaway: The first-round RB approach continues to work when it’s paired with our other tactics, but it’s loaded with land mines. Despite the presence of Kamara, Cook, and Derrick Henry, Round 1 RBs returned a below-average overall win rate due to the Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley injuries. You can expect the occasional massive season like McCaffrey (36.9%) in 2019 and Le’Veon Bell in 2017 (24.1%), but the majority of these RB seasons will be disappointing.

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

How to Build a Zero RB Dream Team in Underdog Tournaments

Shawn Siegele uses the Underdog Roster Construction Explorer to break down a Zero RB dream team. After drafting a variety of Anchor RB and Hyperfragile teams in the early going, the people have spoken. The hunger for Zero RB teams won’t be sated with this draft, but it at least starts the process. I drew the 1.06 and put together one of my favorite Zero…...

Best Ball Evolution, the Impact of Structural Drafting, and How to Benefit from the Accumulation of Small Edges

Shawn  Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer to break down the all-important middle rounds of the 2022 MFL10 of Death. It’s been a blast to draft against the top minds in fantasy, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for creating and continuing this charity event. As Michael Dubner explained in his epic look at best ball strategy, most of what we want…...

MFL10 of Death: The Best and Most Controversial Picks – 15 Flag-Plant Selections from Top Experts

Shawn Siegele looks at the best and most controversial picks from Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death and explains how his selections fit into an overall strategy. The MFL10 of Death is always my favorite draft to analyze. It’s loaded with the top minds in fantasy football, and it occurs at a moment in the calendar where we’re still operating with partial information on many players…...

How to Build a Zero RB Dream Team in Underdog Tournaments

Shawn Siegele uses the Underdog Roster Construction Explorer to break down a Zero RB dream team. After drafting a variety of Anchor RB and Hyperfragile teams in the early going, the people have spoken. The hunger for Zero RB teams won’t be sated with this draft, but it at least starts the process. I drew the 1.06 and put together one of my favorite Zero…...

Best Ball Evolution, the Impact of Structural Drafting, and How to Benefit from the Accumulation of Small Edges

Shawn  Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer to break down the all-important middle rounds of the 2022 MFL10 of Death. It’s been a blast to draft against the top minds in fantasy, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for creating and continuing this charity event. As Michael Dubner explained in his epic look at best ball strategy, most of what we want…...

MFL10 of Death: The Best and Most Controversial Picks – 15 Flag-Plant Selections from Top Experts

Shawn Siegele looks at the best and most controversial picks from Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death and explains how his selections fit into an overall strategy. The MFL10 of Death is always my favorite draft to analyze. It’s loaded with the top minds in fantasy football, and it occurs at a moment in the calendar where we’re still operating with partial information on many players…...

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.