We know the course, we know the main players. There’s not really much to talk about as far as “intros” go this week. There’s something about this week that’s comforting. It was great to see Augusta in the late Fall, but nothing compares with an April nap while watching the Masters!
Checking the Chalk
Jordan Spieth ($9,400) seems to be back. Even during his slump, people played him at Augusta. With him rounding into form, the sky’s the limit for his ownership. Spieth will likely see at least 30% ownership in most GPPs this week. Historically, we’d like to target golfers in the mid-range that are in the bottom half of ownership. Spieth is intriguing, and it’s impossible to suggest an outright fade of him given his recent form and history here. Patrick Reed ($9,300) checks all of the boxes from our game theory series, though, and will be in a large chunk of my builds this weekend.
Paul Casey ($7,700) and Daniel Berger ($8,500) look like they’ll also be highly owned once lock rolls around. Sandwiched between those two, we see Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,100) with the next highest PRK Score. If one (or both) of Casey or Berger were to fail, Fitzpatrick is a great price pivot.
The Perfect Lineup
I wanted to switch things up a bit this week and share the results of the “perfect lineups.” For the uninitiated, the “perfect lineup percentages” come from my simulator. I run 5,000 iterations of each tournament and for each simulation, I see what the “perfect” lineup would have been.
Perfect Lineup Results
|Name||Salary||Perfect Lineup %|
|Si Woo Kim||6700||0.091|
|Jose Maria Olazabal||6000||0.015|