A Tradition Unlike Any Other: Masters DFS Breakdown
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Image Credit: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Jordan Spieth.

We know the course, we know the main players. There’s not really much to talk about as far as “intros” go this week. There’s something about this week that’s comforting. It was great to see Augusta in the late Fall, but nothing compares with an April nap while watching the Masters!

Checking the Chalk

Jordan Spieth ($9,400) seems to be back. Even during his slump, people played him at Augusta. With him rounding into form, the sky’s the limit for his ownership. Spieth will likely see at least 30% ownership in most GPPs this week. Historically, we’d like to target golfers in the mid-range that are in the bottom half of ownership. Spieth is intriguing, and it’s impossible to suggest an outright fade of him given his recent form and history here. Patrick Reed ($9,300) checks all of the boxes from our game theory series, though, and will be in a large chunk of my builds this weekend.

Paul Casey ($7,700) and Daniel Berger  ($8,500) look like they’ll also be highly owned once lock rolls around. Sandwiched between those two, we see Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,100) with the next highest PRK Score. If one (or both) of Casey or Berger were to fail, Fitzpatrick is a great price pivot.

The Perfect Lineup

I wanted to switch things up a bit this week and share the results of the “perfect lineups.” For the uninitiated, the “perfect lineup percentages” come from my simulator. I run 5,000 iterations of each tournament and for each simulation, I see what the “perfect” lineup would have been.

Perfect Lineup Results

NameSalaryPerfect Lineup %
Bryson Dechambeau108000.239
Jon Rahm110000.213
Justin Thomas106000.193
Tony Finau91000.172
Daniel Berger85000.169
Patrick Cantlay98000.168
Xander Schauffele100000.163
Webb Simpson90000.156
Will Zalatoris73000.156
Patrick Reed93000.147
Matthew Fitzpatrick81000.144
Dustin Johnson115000.136
Corey Conners69000.135
Viktor Hovland87000.129
Joaquin Niemann74000.119
Scottie Scheffler84000.117
Sungjae Im86000.116
Jason Kokrak69000.114
Brooks Koepka92000.111
Jordan Spieth94000.109
Max Homa71000.105
Paul Casey77000.103
Rory Mcilroy102000.101
Tyrrell Hatton89000.1
Ryan Palmer65000.094
Abraham Ancer74000.092
Collin Morikawa96000.092
Si Woo Kim67000.091
Jason Day75000.086
Cameron Smith82000.085
Brian Harman68000.084
Hideki Matsuyama83000.082
Harris English73000.079
Matt Jones63000.076
Shane Lowry70000.075
Carlos Ortiz65000.07
Louis Oosthuizen75000.067
Adam Scott76000.066
Billy Horschel72000.065
Lee Westwood88000.064
Christiaan Bezuidenhout67000.061
Tommy Fleetwood80000.059
Zach Johnson63000.057
Justin Rose72000.057
Lanto Griffin64000.056
Brendon Todd62000.055
Kevin Na65000.054
Kevin Kisner67000.053
Matthew Wolff71000.053
Sergio Garcia79000.049
Ian Poulter68000.047
Matt Wallace64000.045
Mackenzie Hughes63000.042
Larry Mize60000.038
Stewart Cink61000.034
Sebastian Munoz66000.034
Danny Willett66000.033
Gary Woodland68000.033
Dylan Frittelli67000.032
Bubba Watson78000.03
Michael Thompson61000.029
Matt Kuchar68000.027
C.t. Pan64000.025
Victor Perez70000.025
Tyler Strafaci62000.023
Francesco Molinari70000.022
Joe Long60000.021
Martin Laird63000.02
Bernd Wiesberger64000.02
Cameron Champ66000.019
Sandy Lyle60000.019
Robert Streb60000.019
Charl Schwartzel63000.018
Phil Mickelson66000.017
Jose Maria Olazabal60000.015
Marc Leishman69000.013
Hudson Swafford62000.013
Henrik Stenson62000.012
Jim Herman60000.009
Brian Gay62000.008
Jimmy Walker62000.007
Robert Macintyre65000.006
Ian Woosnam00.005
Fred Couples61000.003
Vijay Singh61000.002
Bernhard Langer61000
Ollie Osborne61000
Mike Weir61000

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