Trey Sermon Lands With the 49ers, So You Can Throw the Red Flags Out the Window
Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Trey Sermon.

Trey Sermon was selected by the San Francisco 49ers with the No. 88 pick in the 2021 NFL draft. He’ll join Raheem Mostert, Jeff Wilson, and Wayne Gallman in a suddenly stacked running back room.

I’m mostly joking with the headline, but this was a better-than-best-case scenario, especially considering the injury backgrounds of his committee mates. The 49ers turn everyone into a fantasy star, and Sermon offers the size/athleticism profile to blow up in this offense.

Out of 64 individual team-seasons over the last two years, the 49ers’ offense ranks fifth and sixth in points to the RB position.

Over that time frame, Mostert ranks seventh in rushing fantasy points over expectation (ruFPOE). Every back ahead of him is an absolute star. If he had remained healthy…

Mostert is an undervalued reality player with timed game speeds among the best in the league. It’s a mistake to not give him credit for his skill level. But we’ve also witnessed players like Wilson post four 20-plus games in 2020 alone.

This is a dream landing spot, but Sermon is a star-crossed prospect. Does he have the resume to take advantage?

Trey Sermon’s Red-Flagged Resume and the Reason He Could Still Be a Superstar

Sermon’s most obvious characteristics make him a poster child for RB trap prospects, but one key part of his resume argues that he could be the next David Johnson. We’ll dive into his advanced stats and player comps to find out how likely he is to explode in San Francisco.

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

How to Build a Zero RB Dream Team in Underdog Tournaments

Shawn Siegele uses the Underdog Roster Construction Explorer to break down a Zero RB dream team. After drafting a variety of Anchor RB and Hyperfragile teams in the early going, the people have spoken. The hunger for Zero RB teams won’t be sated with this draft, but it at least starts the process. I drew the 1.06 and put together one of my favorite Zero…...

Best Ball Evolution, the Impact of Structural Drafting, and How to Benefit from the Accumulation of Small Edges

Shawn  Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer to break down the all-important middle rounds of the 2022 MFL10 of Death. It’s been a blast to draft against the top minds in fantasy, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for creating and continuing this charity event. As Michael Dubner explained in his epic look at best ball strategy, most of what we want…...

MFL10 of Death: The Best and Most Controversial Picks – 15 Flag-Plant Selections from Top Experts

Shawn Siegele looks at the best and most controversial picks from Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death and explains how his selections fit into an overall strategy. The MFL10 of Death is always my favorite draft to analyze. It’s loaded with the top minds in fantasy football, and it occurs at a moment in the calendar where we’re still operating with partial information on many players…...

How to Build a Zero RB Dream Team in Underdog Tournaments

Shawn Siegele uses the Underdog Roster Construction Explorer to break down a Zero RB dream team. After drafting a variety of Anchor RB and Hyperfragile teams in the early going, the people have spoken. The hunger for Zero RB teams won’t be sated with this draft, but it at least starts the process. I drew the 1.06 and put together one of my favorite Zero…...

Best Ball Evolution, the Impact of Structural Drafting, and How to Benefit from the Accumulation of Small Edges

Shawn  Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rate Explorer to break down the all-important middle rounds of the 2022 MFL10 of Death. It’s been a blast to draft against the top minds in fantasy, and I want to thank Pat Thorman for creating and continuing this charity event. As Michael Dubner explained in his epic look at best ball strategy, most of what we want…...

MFL10 of Death: The Best and Most Controversial Picks – 15 Flag-Plant Selections from Top Experts

Shawn Siegele looks at the best and most controversial picks from Pat Thorman’s MFL10 of Death and explains how his selections fit into an overall strategy. The MFL10 of Death is always my favorite draft to analyze. It’s loaded with the top minds in fantasy football, and it occurs at a moment in the calendar where we’re still operating with partial information on many players…...

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.