Tournament Champion or Crash and Burn? The Evidence For and Against a Contrarian Best Ball Play
Image Credit: Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Desmond Ridder.

Shawn Siegele looks at the quarterback position in 2023 and dives into the tools to ask whether a deeply contrarian approach might be the answer that unlocks extreme upside builds.

The RotoViz writers and subscribers have turned in some really big results over the years by gleaning insights from the Underdog and FFPC Roster Construction Explorers. If you understand what works year-in and year-out in best ball, you can lean into winning strategies and avoid getting overconfident when chasing the previous year’s flukes.

Mike Beers’ best ball tools educated a mini-generation on the importance of the QB Window, and it was an area where our subs profited again in 2022 with league-winning early Window QBs like Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow. But we also want to keep our eyes peeled for areas where the RCE might have a hard time anticipating a coming year’s trends. That’s especially true if drafters also don’t appear to see what’s on the horizon.

For almost a decade in fantasy, the QB position generated relatively little interest, as most savvy drafters understood the value of Late Round QB within the player and scoring environment of the time. As the NFL has changed, bringing hybrid QBs and analytics-infused offenses that lean into the pass even in run scripts, the early-round QB has been reborn. Add in the rise of Superflex, and QB is no longer an ignored position.

In today’s piece I’m going to dive into some elements of the 2023 QB landscape that have infused my draft plan with a contrarian approach that will lift your squad to epic success or reduce it to smoldering ashes.

Come With Me on a Journey Into Complete Roster Destruction

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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Shawn Siegele redrafts and then ranks every rookie class of the last decade, including a deeper dive into the fortunes of 2025 rookies. Conducted after Week 10 a year ago, this exercise was among my favorites of the 2024 calendar. It’ll consist of two basic parts: I’ll re-draft each of the last 10 rookie classes, profiling risers and fallers, and breaking down the differences between…...

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You must be a member to access this content.

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