Sean McVay’s Excitement Over Terrance Ferguson Should Get Fantasy Managers Hyped Up as Well
Image Credit: Brian Murphy/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Terrance Ferguson.

Terrance Ferguson was one of the biggest winners of the pre-draft process after putting up some impressive numbers at the NFL combine. But Ferguson is more than a workout warrior, posting solid production over the entirety of his college career at Oregon.

After the Rams drafted Ferguson with the 46th pick in this year’s draft, head coach Sean McVay had some flattering things to say about him, including comparing him to Travis Kelce and former Washington standout Chris Cooley. Will the high praise lead to early production from Ferguson, or will he get lost in a crowded Rams’ receiving corps?

If you want to dive deeper into the 2025 rookie class, pick up the 2025 RotoViz Rookie Draft Guide and check out the rest of our rookie preview series:

Quarterbacks

Running Backs

Wide Receivers

Tight Ends

Terrance Ferguson’s NFL Comps

Ferguson came to Oregon as a four-star recruit and 10th-ranked tight end in a loaded 2021 high school class. He saw his production increase every year in Eugene, culminating in a 15% dominator rating during his senior season. His counting stats could have been even higher if not for missing two games (the first absences of his entire football career) after having his appendix removed in the middle of the 2024 season.

According to Ferguson’s advanced stats, he may have been slightly more efficient in his junior season playing alongside Bo Nix, but his production profile with Dillon Gabriel last season still ranked among the best in the 2025 class. His 0.062 points earned per route (PE/R) from 2024 fell only behind Harold Fannin Jr. (0.105 PE/R), Gunnar Helm (0.077), and Colston Loveland (0.076), while his 2.5 yards per route run (YPRR) was also fourth in the class behind Fannin (4.0 YPRR), Tyler Warren (3.0), and Loveland (2.9).

Ferguson was a menace after the catch, with his 3.5 yards after contact per reception in 2024 leading the entire draft class, and his 8.8 yards after the catch per reception in 2024 only trailing Elijah Arroyo. Ferguson was able to do all of this despite seeing his evasion rate (EVAS%) drop to 14.0% (9.3% broken tackle rate, 4.7% forced missed tackle rate) after hitting at least 25.0% in each of his previous two seasons.

One concerning aspect of Ferguson’s profile is that his reliability as a receiver declined over the course of his college career. After posting a 100% on-target catch percentage (OTC%) as a freshman on 18 catchable targets (CT), that number fell to 96.9% on 36 CT in 2022, then to 90.7% on 46 CT in 2023, and hit a low point of 83.3% on 54 CT in 2024, a mark that only bested Luke Lachey and Loveland among the draft class. Given his poor OTC% from 2024, it should not come as a surprise that Ferguson’s 9.3% drop rate only trailed Gavin Bartholomew.

It is fair to wonder if Ferguson’s mid-season surgery negatively impacted some aspects of his play last year. However, he appeared fully recovered for the NFL combine, excelling in the event’s athletic testing.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Kevin Szafraniec

Full-time Cat Dad, Sneakerhead, Record Collector, LOTR Fanboy, and Jeopardy Enthusiast. Fantasy football writer and beatmaker in my free time. Follow me on X and Bluesky @thecatdadff

Week 15 WR Advanced Stats: Luther Burden III Needs to Be a Priority Target in All Formats This Offseason

Kevin Szafraniec uses RotoViz’s Advanced Stats Explorer to uncover under-the-radar trends at the wide receiver position from the first 15 weeks of the 2025 NFL season. Luther Burden III was something of a polarizing prospect heading into the 2025 NFL Draft. His pedigree and early-career usage at Missouri screamed superstar, while concerns about his attitude and on-field performance during his final year with the Tigers were…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Week 16 Waivers: It’s About Time Fantasy Managers Put Some Respect on Blake Corum’s Name

Kevin Szafraniec highlights the best players available on waivers in 50% or more of ESPN and Yahoo leagues heading into Week 16. Blake Corum has been a staple of this article all season. Even when his ownership sat below 10%, he was still consistently ranked in the top two running back tiers based on a decent amount of standalone value and the massive potential of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Week 15 Monday Review: Round 1 of the Fantasy Playoffs Has Had No Shortage of Fireworks

Kevin Szafraniec discusses the biggest storylines of Week 15 with the help of RotoViz’s industry-leading suite of tools, most notably the Monday Review Tool. As we head into Monday night’s showdown between the Steelers and Dolphins, fantasy managers have already been treated to three 40-point PPR performances this week, with another four players checking in at 30-plus points. If we are looking at TE-premium leagues,…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Week 15 WR Advanced Stats: Luther Burden III Needs to Be a Priority Target in All Formats This Offseason

Kevin Szafraniec uses RotoViz’s Advanced Stats Explorer to uncover under-the-radar trends at the wide receiver position from the first 15 weeks of the 2025 NFL season. Luther Burden III was something of a polarizing prospect heading into the 2025 NFL Draft. His pedigree and early-career usage at Missouri screamed superstar, while concerns about his attitude and on-field performance during his final year with the Tigers were…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Week 16 Waivers: It’s About Time Fantasy Managers Put Some Respect on Blake Corum’s Name

Kevin Szafraniec highlights the best players available on waivers in 50% or more of ESPN and Yahoo leagues heading into Week 16. Blake Corum has been a staple of this article all season. Even when his ownership sat below 10%, he was still consistently ranked in the top two running back tiers based on a decent amount of standalone value and the massive potential of…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Week 15 Monday Review: Round 1 of the Fantasy Playoffs Has Had No Shortage of Fireworks

Kevin Szafraniec discusses the biggest storylines of Week 15 with the help of RotoViz’s industry-leading suite of tools, most notably the Monday Review Tool. As we head into Monday night’s showdown between the Steelers and Dolphins, fantasy managers have already been treated to three 40-point PPR performances this week, with another four players checking in at 30-plus points. If we are looking at TE-premium leagues,…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.