How to Smash the NFL Draft: Key RB Receiving Stats, Plus Other Advanced Metrics To Gain a Fantasy Edge
Image Credit: Chris McDill/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Jahmyr Gibbs.

The NFL Draft is only hours away, and when it comes we will get our most telling indication of how our favorite prospects’ NFL careers might go. Nothing predicts NFL success better than draft position, in part because nothing determines early NFL opportunity quite like draft position. But just because draft position is the most predictive metric, that doesn’t mean it’s entirely efficient. . .

For the full intro, make sure to check out Part 1, where I tackle the rushing metrics that help predict NFL success. As you get ready for the draft over the next three days, make sure you check out the rest of our pre-draft rookie content, powered by the RotoViz tools and enhanced with Sports Info Solutions’ advanced metrics.

Breakaway Rush Score: Including Breakaway Receptions to Make BRS Even More Dynamic – Dave Caban
Jaxon Smith-Njigba and a Multi-definitional View of Wide Receiver Breakout Age – Blair Andrews
Using Regression Trees to Predict Where the Values of Top WR Prospects – Dave Caban
Anthony Richardson, Israel Abanikanda, and the 2023 Draft Age Database – Blair Andrews
Quarterback Stats You Need to Know and What It Means for the Controversial Will Levis – Stefan Lako
The Small School Backs and Late-Round Prospects Who Star in Backfield Dominator Rating – Blair Andrews
2023 Rookie Rankings and Advanced Stats: The Elite Tier – Shawn Siegele
2023 Rookie Rankings and Advanced Stats: Potential Breakout Stars – Shawn Siegele
2023 Rookie Rankings and Advanced Stats: The Undervalued Upside Options – Shawn Siegele

How to Smash the NFL Draft at the Running Back Position

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Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 3: The 2026 Wide Receiver Freak Score Leaderboard

We’ve already explored the top running back and tight end athletes in the 2026 rookie class. In both groups we found players setting new records and forcing us to rethink both our models and our priors. But Freak Scores were designed first and foremost to find wide receiver profiles with an advantage in the red zone and around the goal line. The theory has always…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models, Part 2: The 2026 Tight End Freak Score Leaderboard

Last time, we looked at the freak athletes of the 2026 class at the running back position, including one prospect who literally forces us to rescale the metric (look for some updates on that front coming soon). No RB who ran at the combine has a Freak Score below 50 — no RB who participated was slower than 4.56 seconds in the 40-yard dash. And the…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

The Upcoming Rookie Class Is Breaking the Models: The 2026 Running Back Freak Score Leaderboard

At RotoViz, we like to look at NFL prospects’ collegiate production as a foundational data point in making predictions. The best predictor of whether a player will succeed in the NFL is whether they succeeded in college. But it would be a mistake to think that size and speed don’t matter. Indeed, for a long time, we’ve relied on Freak Scores to find wide receiver…...

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