Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Best Ball Workshop: Foundations of Success – The Best 2-Round Starts May Not Be What You Expect

In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several lessons, we’ll take a look at the RB and WR positions from multiple angles and develop our big picture 2020 tactics. Today we start with the foundation of your roster. We’re often told you can’t…...

Big Surprises in the Live and Loaded Black Crown Rookie Draft: Breaking Down All 4 Rounds of the Superflex Spectacle

Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with multiple flexes to fill out the 11 starting spots. The recent startup included a fun quirk where drafters were able to select a rookie pick instead of a veteran. In a risky, high-upside approach meant…...

Re-Selecting Every Rookie Draft of the Last 5 Years and Why Going Through the Exercise Might Change the Way You Draft

Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well do rookies hold trade value? Last week, I used the Dynasty ADP tool to investigate whether rookie buzz created an opening to buy veteran RBs. Today, we’ll use it to examine each of the last…...

The 10 Most Undervalued Players in Dynasty Startups Are All Discounted By Multiple Rounds

As startups explode in the aftermath of the NFL Draft, this is the perfect time to develop your dynasty strategy for 2020. Beyond the Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide and our deep research on the best players and tactics in rookie drafts, we’ve also been focusing on how to build your overall roster. Curtis Patrick’s Dynasty Startup Cheat Sheet helps you build the perfect core by selecting those players with the best age/ranking profile relative to ADP. In today’s exercise, we’ll use the RotoViz tools to find the most extreme startup values. Our partners at the FFPC host an excellent…...

Does Post-Draft Hype Provide a Dynasty Buying Opportunity for Veteran RBs?

The 2020 NFL Draft created more carnage than usual at the RB position. Teams selected 10 running backs in the first 100 picks, more than any other draft in the last five years. And it’s not like there were a lot of wide open jobs. Only the Miami Dolphins – who didn’t select an early RB but traded for Matt Breida – appeared to have a clear starting role available. Does all of the hype surrounding the NFL Draft provide a window to buy veteran RBs in dynasty? This is a complicated question, but we can begin with one simple…...

Navigating Treacherous 2020 Rookie Drafts: Player Targets and Trade Options for Every Pick in Round 1

The 2020 rookie draft season is the craziest in recent memory. Player values were scrambled by an entertaining reality event. Generational prospect Jonathan Taylor fell to No. 41 overall and landed with a team that has both an established young starter and one of the better receiving backs. By contrast, Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the first back off the board into a dream landing spot. The three other big-name RBs landed with the teams that ranked No. 30, No. 31, and No. 32 in receiving Expected Points to the backs. That’s not a misprint or exaggeration. They were literally the three…...

WR Prospect Lab: Day 3 Receivers Are Almost Free in Rookie Drafts – 8 Key Fliers to Stash and Watch

In Part 3 of the WR Prospect Lab rankings, Shawn Siegele provides eight key fliers to stash at the end of rookie drafts. With rookie drafts in full effect and owners starting to get comfortable with the high-profile selections, it’s time to discuss the best sleeper and flier options for rebuilders and deep league owners. We’ve previously discussed the upset No. 1 receiver among the six stars selected on Day 1. Rounds 2 and 3 of the reality draft brought another big surprise at the top of our Day 2 rankings. In a draft where the big names may be…...

Superflex Is Wild: Breaking Down 3 Rounds of an Experts League Rookie Draft

Shawn Siegele breaks down the first three rounds of a superflex rookie draft featuring some of the top experts in fantasy. With rookie draft season already in full swing and set to take off this weekend, I wanted to take a closer look at the completed rookie draft from one of my most competitive leagues. A few weeks ago I had a chance to participate in an auction startup commished by Michael Leone. If you haven’t participated in a slow auction startup, I strongly recommend it. If you want Christian McCaffrey, you have that option. If you want Saquon Barkley,…...

3-Round Superflex Rookie Mock – Live Updates Throughout the 2020 NFL Draft

Shawn Siegele projects the first three rounds of 2020 rookie mocks with live updates as players are selected in the 2020 NFL Draft. Where will the top prospects go in rookie drafts? That’s the question on everyone’s mind as the 2020 NFL draft gets ready to kick off. My three-round rookie mock looks at where I expect the market to end up after owners get a chance to digest this weekend’s moves. As the NFL Draft progresses, I’ll update the rookie mock with new player comps from the Box Score Scout and new projections from the RB Prospect Lab and…...

2020 WR Prospect Lab Rankings Update – Potential Stars and Impending Busts Headline a Wild Day 2

Day 2 offers your best opportunity to beat the draft at wide receiver. Shawn Siegele updates the WR Prospect Lab Rankings with a look at the second- and third-round receivers who could define your rookie draft. The second round started with a bang at WR with Tee Higgins and Michael Pittman Jr. going at No. 33 and No. 34. Were they the best picks in the round? Can they compare to the receivers selected in Round 1? The WR Prospect Lab helps us answer those questions. The WR Prospect Lab Breakout age and career yardage share are the keys to…...

Best Ball Workshop: Foundations of Success – The Best 2-Round Starts May Not Be What You Expect

In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several lessons, we’ll take a look at the RB and WR positions from multiple angles and develop our big picture 2020 tactics. Today we start with the foundation of your roster. We’re often told you can’t…...

Big Surprises in the Live and Loaded Black Crown Rookie Draft: Breaking Down All 4 Rounds of the Superflex Spectacle

Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with multiple flexes to fill out the 11 starting spots. The recent startup included a fun quirk where drafters were able to select a rookie pick instead of a veteran. In a risky, high-upside approach meant…...

Re-Selecting Every Rookie Draft of the Last 5 Years and Why Going Through the Exercise Might Change the Way You Draft

Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well do rookies hold trade value? Last week, I used the Dynasty ADP tool to investigate whether rookie buzz created an opening to buy veteran RBs. Today, we’ll use it to examine each of the last…...

The 10 Most Undervalued Players in Dynasty Startups Are All Discounted By Multiple Rounds

As startups explode in the aftermath of the NFL Draft, this is the perfect time to develop your dynasty strategy for 2020. Beyond the Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide and our deep research on the best players and tactics in rookie drafts, we’ve also been focusing on how to build your overall roster. Curtis Patrick’s Dynasty Startup Cheat Sheet helps you build the perfect core by selecting those players with the best age/ranking profile relative to ADP. In today’s exercise, we’ll use the RotoViz tools to find the most extreme startup values. Our partners at the FFPC host an excellent…...

Does Post-Draft Hype Provide a Dynasty Buying Opportunity for Veteran RBs?

The 2020 NFL Draft created more carnage than usual at the RB position. Teams selected 10 running backs in the first 100 picks, more than any other draft in the last five years. And it’s not like there were a lot of wide open jobs. Only the Miami Dolphins – who didn’t select an early RB but traded for Matt Breida – appeared to have a clear starting role available. Does all of the hype surrounding the NFL Draft provide a window to buy veteran RBs in dynasty? This is a complicated question, but we can begin with one simple…...

Navigating Treacherous 2020 Rookie Drafts: Player Targets and Trade Options for Every Pick in Round 1

The 2020 rookie draft season is the craziest in recent memory. Player values were scrambled by an entertaining reality event. Generational prospect Jonathan Taylor fell to No. 41 overall and landed with a team that has both an established young starter and one of the better receiving backs. By contrast, Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the first back off the board into a dream landing spot. The three other big-name RBs landed with the teams that ranked No. 30, No. 31, and No. 32 in receiving Expected Points to the backs. That’s not a misprint or exaggeration. They were literally the three…...

WR Prospect Lab: Day 3 Receivers Are Almost Free in Rookie Drafts – 8 Key Fliers to Stash and Watch

In Part 3 of the WR Prospect Lab rankings, Shawn Siegele provides eight key fliers to stash at the end of rookie drafts. With rookie drafts in full effect and owners starting to get comfortable with the high-profile selections, it’s time to discuss the best sleeper and flier options for rebuilders and deep league owners. We’ve previously discussed the upset No. 1 receiver among the six stars selected on Day 1. Rounds 2 and 3 of the reality draft brought another big surprise at the top of our Day 2 rankings. In a draft where the big names may be…...

Superflex Is Wild: Breaking Down 3 Rounds of an Experts League Rookie Draft

Shawn Siegele breaks down the first three rounds of a superflex rookie draft featuring some of the top experts in fantasy. With rookie draft season already in full swing and set to take off this weekend, I wanted to take a closer look at the completed rookie draft from one of my most competitive leagues. A few weeks ago I had a chance to participate in an auction startup commished by Michael Leone. If you haven’t participated in a slow auction startup, I strongly recommend it. If you want Christian McCaffrey, you have that option. If you want Saquon Barkley,…...

3-Round Superflex Rookie Mock – Live Updates Throughout the 2020 NFL Draft

Shawn Siegele projects the first three rounds of 2020 rookie mocks with live updates as players are selected in the 2020 NFL Draft. Where will the top prospects go in rookie drafts? That’s the question on everyone’s mind as the 2020 NFL draft gets ready to kick off. My three-round rookie mock looks at where I expect the market to end up after owners get a chance to digest this weekend’s moves. As the NFL Draft progresses, I’ll update the rookie mock with new player comps from the Box Score Scout and new projections from the RB Prospect Lab and…...

2020 WR Prospect Lab Rankings Update – Potential Stars and Impending Busts Headline a Wild Day 2

Day 2 offers your best opportunity to beat the draft at wide receiver. Shawn Siegele updates the WR Prospect Lab Rankings with a look at the second- and third-round receivers who could define your rookie draft. The second round started with a bang at WR with Tee Higgins and Michael Pittman Jr. going at No. 33 and No. 34. Were they the best picks in the round? Can they compare to the receivers selected in Round 1? The WR Prospect Lab helps us answer those questions. The WR Prospect Lab Breakout age and career yardage share are the keys to…...

3-Round Superflex Rookie Mock – Live Updates Throughout the 2020 NFL Draft

Shawn Siegele projects the first three rounds of 2020 rookie mocks with live updates as players are selected in the 2020 NFL Draft. Where will the top prospects go in rookie drafts? That’s the question on everyone’s mind as the 2020 NFL draft gets ready to kick off. My three-round…...

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