Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Why Danny Woodhead Is a Trap Player and Melvin Gordon a Must Own

Earlier this summer Justin Winn provided an excellent breakdown of his Projection Machine outlook for the San Diego Chargers fantasy positions. Danny Woodhead is projected for 77 receptions compared to only 29 for Melvin Gordon. Those numbers feel right, but do they properly represent the range of outcomes? Let’s use the RotoViz Screener to get a sense of what we can expect in terms of RB receptions based…...

Fantasy Drafters Are Targeting the Wrong Breakout WR in Indianapolis

The Indianapolis passing game is probably going to give us league-winners due to volume and opportunity. The Colts play fast, and they lost 161 targets in free agency. Andrew Luck will be throwing to an uncluttered depth chart. In fact, we could see multiple league-winners in the Colts passing game . . . and Donte Moncrief still not be among them…....

Top 15 Zero RB Candidates for 2016: No. 10 to No. 6

The list of Top 15 Zero RB candidates had a big year in 2015. The Top 5 included league-winners Devonta Freeman and Doug Martin. It also contained serviceable pass-catching backs Duke Johnson and Charles Sims. David Johnson clocked in at No. 7…....

Jamaal Charles ADP

Using RB-RB to Build a High Upside MFL10 Lineup

My preferred lineup construction for MFL10s has four WRs and a TE through the first five picks. This approach had the top win percentage in 2015, and although the future will obviously not perfectly resemble the past, there are plenty of reasons to prefer such a start, RB Apocalypse or not. However, we never want to stop questioning our conclusions. What trends could make this…...

Jordan Howard, Tyler Ervin, and the RB Goldilocks Zone

During the NFL Draft, San Jose State product Tyler Ervin was selected with the 119th pick. Last season Ervin gained over 1,900 yards from scrimmage, scored 15 touchdowns, and caught 45 passes. He ran a 4.41 forty and jumped 40.5 inches to be a clear combine winner…....

Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 11 to 15

The list of Top 15 Zero RB candidates (it should really be the Top 15 Zero RB RB Candidates, but that’s a little too The Los Angeles Angels). had a big year in 2015. The Top 5 included league-winners Devonta Freeman and Doug Martin…....

One Athletic Superfreak Soon to Emerge from the Shadows

If I had to make a list of the running backs in the mix to finish as the overall RB1 in 2017, it would include Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles, David Johnson, Todd Gurley, Lamar Miller, Devonta Freeman, and Ezekiel Elliott. That’s about it, except for one name. It would also include Jerick McKinnon. But before we get into that … What about Adrian Peterson? Purple…...

98 Players Were Taken in the RotoViz Rookie Draft – Find Out Where Myles Jack and the IDPs Landed

The 12 owners of the RotoViz dynasty league recently concluded our rookie draft. With 18 starters, 60 roster spots, and full IDP, you can understand why the draft went 98 players deep. 27 prospects were involved in trades, and that doesn’t include the future picks or veteran players from those swaps. You’re probably not in a league that needs to know 98 rookies, but then…...

A Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Zero RB Universe

So long and thanks for all the fish. – Douglas Adams When Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting came out in November 2013, I certainly had no idea of what was about to follow. Now with the debut of Fantasyland’s Zero RB episode, it felt appropriate to offer a Hitchhiker’s Guide. Hopefully it answers questions you might have had after listening. As…...

6 Wild Contract League Trades and What They Can Tell Us About Player Value

I always find it fascinating to watch how GMs in the NFL, NBA, and MLB handle contracts, especially those that have negative trade value. The Baltimore Ravens are one of the top organizations in sports and GM Ozzie Newsome has proven himself to be very cap and free agent savvy, often allowing home grown talent to depart. Instead of overpaying, he’ll accept the compensatory picks…...

47 Picks and 1 Vikings-Style Power Pass: The Entire RSO Rookie Draft in One Place

The RotoViz crew recently participated in the rookie draft for our Reality Sports Online league. It’s a 16-team contract league requiring eight starters from the RB, WR, and TE slots. With a limited number of roster spots and a$155 million salary cap, executing in the rookie draft is paramount. I’ve covered the first 24 picks in great detail: age, athletic numbers, relevant articles, charts, and…...

2016 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Player-by-Player Look at the RSO

As we roll into Round 2 of the Reality Sports Online rookie draft, seismic shock waves are in store. If we take rookie ADP as gospel, there were no fewer than five big surprises in this round. I’ll take a closer look at why most of these picks were justified, and if you want more information on our wild contract league, make sure to check…...

The 6 Prospects I Want in Every 2016 Rookie Draft

You might have read the headline and thought, well, our draft only has 3 rounds. Or, didn’t you say we should trade out of this draft entirely? (Or you might have read the alternate headline and thought: This intro doesn’t make sense.)…...

2016 Rookie Drafts: An In-Depth Look at Round 1

Every year I like to do a detailed rookie draft projection after the reality draft is over. This year I decided to do something slightly different. We’re currently in the middle of our Reality Sports Online rookie draft, a rollicking 16-team, contract league. Why not roll this draft and the potential insights into my article?…...

Controversial Best Ball Conjectures and the 2016 MFL10 of Death

With the NFL Draft in the rear view and rookie drafts an omnipresent feature of the fantasy landscape, it’s time to turn our attention to the summer’s other highlight: MFL10s. To jump into what will be our extensive best ball coverage, I thought it might be fun to look at the 2016 MFL10 of Death. Real leagues tend to be more fun to cover than hypothetical…...

Targets, Flyers, Deep Sleepers, and Zombies: A Look at 13 Late Round Rookie WRs

With the 2016 NFL Draft in the books, we now have a glimpse of how the league views this class at the wide receiver position. The hit rate for receivers outside the top 100 picks is trivial, but you don’t want to miss out on players like Antonio Brown and Stefon Diggs. Contrary to what you often hear, it was easy to pick those players…...

Why Danny Woodhead Is a Trap Player and Melvin Gordon a Must Own

Earlier this summer Justin Winn provided an excellent breakdown of his Projection Machine outlook for the San Diego Chargers fantasy positions. Danny Woodhead is projected for 77 receptions compared to only 29 for Melvin Gordon. Those numbers feel right, but do they properly represent the range of outcomes? Let’s use the RotoViz Screener to get a sense of what we can expect in terms of RB receptions based…...

Fantasy Drafters Are Targeting the Wrong Breakout WR in Indianapolis

The Indianapolis passing game is probably going to give us league-winners due to volume and opportunity. The Colts play fast, and they lost 161 targets in free agency. Andrew Luck will be throwing to an uncluttered depth chart. In fact, we could see multiple league-winners in the Colts passing game . . . and Donte Moncrief still not be among them…....

Top 15 Zero RB Candidates for 2016: No. 10 to No. 6

The list of Top 15 Zero RB candidates had a big year in 2015. The Top 5 included league-winners Devonta Freeman and Doug Martin. It also contained serviceable pass-catching backs Duke Johnson and Charles Sims. David Johnson clocked in at No. 7…....

Jamaal Charles ADP

Using RB-RB to Build a High Upside MFL10 Lineup

My preferred lineup construction for MFL10s has four WRs and a TE through the first five picks. This approach had the top win percentage in 2015, and although the future will obviously not perfectly resemble the past, there are plenty of reasons to prefer such a start, RB Apocalypse or not. However, we never want to stop questioning our conclusions. What trends could make this…...

Jordan Howard, Tyler Ervin, and the RB Goldilocks Zone

During the NFL Draft, San Jose State product Tyler Ervin was selected with the 119th pick. Last season Ervin gained over 1,900 yards from scrimmage, scored 15 touchdowns, and caught 45 passes. He ran a 4.41 forty and jumped 40.5 inches to be a clear combine winner…....

Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 11 to 15

The list of Top 15 Zero RB candidates (it should really be the Top 15 Zero RB RB Candidates, but that’s a little too The Los Angeles Angels). had a big year in 2015. The Top 5 included league-winners Devonta Freeman and Doug Martin…....

One Athletic Superfreak Soon to Emerge from the Shadows

If I had to make a list of the running backs in the mix to finish as the overall RB1 in 2017, it would include Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles, David Johnson, Todd Gurley, Lamar Miller, Devonta Freeman, and Ezekiel Elliott. That’s about it, except for one name. It would also include Jerick McKinnon. But before we get into that … What about Adrian Peterson? Purple…...

98 Players Were Taken in the RotoViz Rookie Draft – Find Out Where Myles Jack and the IDPs Landed

The 12 owners of the RotoViz dynasty league recently concluded our rookie draft. With 18 starters, 60 roster spots, and full IDP, you can understand why the draft went 98 players deep. 27 prospects were involved in trades, and that doesn’t include the future picks or veteran players from those swaps. You’re probably not in a league that needs to know 98 rookies, but then…...

A Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Zero RB Universe

So long and thanks for all the fish. – Douglas Adams When Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting came out in November 2013, I certainly had no idea of what was about to follow. Now with the debut of Fantasyland’s Zero RB episode, it felt appropriate to offer a Hitchhiker’s Guide. Hopefully it answers questions you might have had after listening. As…...

6 Wild Contract League Trades and What They Can Tell Us About Player Value

I always find it fascinating to watch how GMs in the NFL, NBA, and MLB handle contracts, especially those that have negative trade value. The Baltimore Ravens are one of the top organizations in sports and GM Ozzie Newsome has proven himself to be very cap and free agent savvy, often allowing home grown talent to depart. Instead of overpaying, he’ll accept the compensatory picks…...

47 Picks and 1 Vikings-Style Power Pass: The Entire RSO Rookie Draft in One Place

The RotoViz crew recently participated in the rookie draft for our Reality Sports Online league. It’s a 16-team contract league requiring eight starters from the RB, WR, and TE slots. With a limited number of roster spots and a$155 million salary cap, executing in the rookie draft is paramount. I’ve covered the first 24 picks in great detail: age, athletic numbers, relevant articles, charts, and…...

2016 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Player-by-Player Look at the RSO

As we roll into Round 2 of the Reality Sports Online rookie draft, seismic shock waves are in store. If we take rookie ADP as gospel, there were no fewer than five big surprises in this round. I’ll take a closer look at why most of these picks were justified, and if you want more information on our wild contract league, make sure to check…...

The 6 Prospects I Want in Every 2016 Rookie Draft

You might have read the headline and thought, well, our draft only has 3 rounds. Or, didn’t you say we should trade out of this draft entirely? (Or you might have read the alternate headline and thought: This intro doesn’t make sense.)…...

2016 Rookie Drafts: An In-Depth Look at Round 1

Every year I like to do a detailed rookie draft projection after the reality draft is over. This year I decided to do something slightly different. We’re currently in the middle of our Reality Sports Online rookie draft, a rollicking 16-team, contract league. Why not roll this draft and the potential insights into my article?…...

Controversial Best Ball Conjectures and the 2016 MFL10 of Death

With the NFL Draft in the rear view and rookie drafts an omnipresent feature of the fantasy landscape, it’s time to turn our attention to the summer’s other highlight: MFL10s. To jump into what will be our extensive best ball coverage, I thought it might be fun to look at the 2016 MFL10 of Death. Real leagues tend to be more fun to cover than hypothetical…...

Targets, Flyers, Deep Sleepers, and Zombies: A Look at 13 Late Round Rookie WRs

With the 2016 NFL Draft in the books, we now have a glimpse of how the league views this class at the wide receiver position. The hit rate for receivers outside the top 100 picks is trivial, but you don’t want to miss out on players like Antonio Brown and Stefon Diggs. Contrary to what you often hear, it was easy to pick those players…...

Why Danny Woodhead Is a Trap Player and Melvin Gordon a Must Own

Earlier this summer Justin Winn provided an excellent breakdown of his Projection Machine outlook for the San Diego Chargers fantasy positions. Danny Woodhead is projected for 77 receptions compared to only 29 for Melvin Gordon. Those numbers feel right, but do they properly represent the range of outcomes? Let’s use the RotoViz Screener to get a sense of what we can expect in terms of RB receptions based…...

Fantasy Drafters Are Targeting the Wrong Breakout WR in Indianapolis

The Indianapolis passing game is probably going to give us league-winners due to volume and opportunity. The Colts play fast, and they lost 161 targets in free agency. Andrew Luck will be throwing to an uncluttered depth chart. In fact, we could see multiple league-winners in the Colts passing game . . . and Donte Moncrief still not be among them…....

Top 15 Zero RB Candidates for 2016: No. 10 to No. 6

The list of Top 15 Zero RB candidates had a big year in 2015. The Top 5 included league-winners Devonta Freeman and Doug Martin. It also contained serviceable pass-catching backs Duke Johnson and Charles Sims. David Johnson clocked in at No. 7…....

Jamaal Charles ADP

Using RB-RB to Build a High Upside MFL10 Lineup

My preferred lineup construction for MFL10s has four WRs and a TE through the first five picks. This approach had the top win percentage in 2015, and although the future will obviously not perfectly resemble the past, there are plenty of reasons to prefer such a start, RB Apocalypse or not. However, we never want to stop questioning our conclusions. What trends could make this…...

Jordan Howard, Tyler Ervin, and the RB Goldilocks Zone

During the NFL Draft, San Jose State product Tyler Ervin was selected with the 119th pick. Last season Ervin gained over 1,900 yards from scrimmage, scored 15 touchdowns, and caught 45 passes. He ran a 4.41 forty and jumped 40.5 inches to be a clear combine winner…....

Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 11 to 15

The list of Top 15 Zero RB candidates (it should really be the Top 15 Zero RB RB Candidates, but that’s a little too The Los Angeles Angels). had a big year in 2015. The Top 5 included league-winners Devonta Freeman and Doug Martin…....

One Athletic Superfreak Soon to Emerge from the Shadows

If I had to make a list of the running backs in the mix to finish as the overall RB1 in 2017, it would include Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles, David Johnson, Todd Gurley, Lamar Miller, Devonta Freeman, and Ezekiel Elliott. That’s about it, except for one name. It would also include Jerick McKinnon. But before we get into that … What about Adrian Peterson? Purple…...

98 Players Were Taken in the RotoViz Rookie Draft – Find Out Where Myles Jack and the IDPs Landed

The 12 owners of the RotoViz dynasty league recently concluded our rookie draft. With 18 starters, 60 roster spots, and full IDP, you can understand why the draft went 98 players deep. 27 prospects were involved in trades, and that doesn’t include the future picks or veteran players from those swaps. You’re probably not in a league that needs to know 98 rookies, but then…...

A Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Zero RB Universe

So long and thanks for all the fish. – Douglas Adams When Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting came out in November 2013, I certainly had no idea of what was about to follow. Now with the debut of Fantasyland’s Zero RB episode, it felt appropriate to offer a Hitchhiker’s Guide. Hopefully it answers questions you might have had after listening. As…...

6 Wild Contract League Trades and What They Can Tell Us About Player Value

I always find it fascinating to watch how GMs in the NFL, NBA, and MLB handle contracts, especially those that have negative trade value. The Baltimore Ravens are one of the top organizations in sports and GM Ozzie Newsome has proven himself to be very cap and free agent savvy, often allowing home grown talent to depart. Instead of overpaying, he’ll accept the compensatory picks…...

47 Picks and 1 Vikings-Style Power Pass: The Entire RSO Rookie Draft in One Place

The RotoViz crew recently participated in the rookie draft for our Reality Sports Online league. It’s a 16-team contract league requiring eight starters from the RB, WR, and TE slots. With a limited number of roster spots and a$155 million salary cap, executing in the rookie draft is paramount. I’ve covered the first 24 picks in great detail: age, athletic numbers, relevant articles, charts, and…...

2016 Rookie Drafts Round 2: A Player-by-Player Look at the RSO

As we roll into Round 2 of the Reality Sports Online rookie draft, seismic shock waves are in store. If we take rookie ADP as gospel, there were no fewer than five big surprises in this round. I’ll take a closer look at why most of these picks were justified, and if you want more information on our wild contract league, make sure to check…...

The 6 Prospects I Want in Every 2016 Rookie Draft

You might have read the headline and thought, well, our draft only has 3 rounds. Or, didn’t you say we should trade out of this draft entirely? (Or you might have read the alternate headline and thought: This intro doesn’t make sense.)…...

2016 Rookie Drafts: An In-Depth Look at Round 1

Every year I like to do a detailed rookie draft projection after the reality draft is over. This year I decided to do something slightly different. We’re currently in the middle of our Reality Sports Online rookie draft, a rollicking 16-team, contract league. Why not roll this draft and the potential insights into my article?…...

Controversial Best Ball Conjectures and the 2016 MFL10 of Death

With the NFL Draft in the rear view and rookie drafts an omnipresent feature of the fantasy landscape, it’s time to turn our attention to the summer’s other highlight: MFL10s. To jump into what will be our extensive best ball coverage, I thought it might be fun to look at the 2016 MFL10 of Death. Real leagues tend to be more fun to cover than hypothetical…...

Targets, Flyers, Deep Sleepers, and Zombies: A Look at 13 Late Round Rookie WRs

With the 2016 NFL Draft in the books, we now have a glimpse of how the league views this class at the wide receiver position. The hit rate for receivers outside the top 100 picks is trivial, but you don’t want to miss out on players like Antonio Brown and Stefon Diggs. Contrary to what you often hear, it was easy to pick those players…...

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