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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Backup or Not, Kenyan Drake Can Ball

While much of the attention this draft season will focus on Alabama’s Derrick Henry, I might actually be more intrigued by his teammate Kenyan Drake. Not because Henry isn’t good, but because Drake has some fascinating data points…....

Can We Use Efficiency to Evaluate WR Prospects with Low Market Share?

One of the most frequent questions I get asked about my work, especially market share,[1]percentage of team receptions, receiving yards, or receiving touchdowns is “what if Player X had really good teammates that prevented him from dominating his team’s market share?” I think this is a really great question, and I intend to answer it eventually, but today we’re going to look at a related…...

Are we forgetting about Arkansas’ Jonathan Williams?

When it comes to NFL Draft prospects, I’ve developed a reputation for being an ageist, which might not be unwarranted. Considering that, you can imagine my disappointment that there is only one running back prospect, Ezekiel Elliott, who will play his rookie year at age 21…....

Corey Coleman and Josh Doctson faced 22 common foes. Here’s how they fared.

Three of the top six wide receiver prospects for the 2016 NFL Draft are from the Big 12, which means that we have a massive sample size to compare the careers of Sterling Shepard, Corey Coleman and Josh Doctson against common foes. In fact, all three round robin matchups feature at least 18 shared opponents. Today, we’re going to dive into the performances of Coleman…...

What Demarcus Ayers Has in Common With TY Hilton, Antonio Brown

After the invitee list for the 2016 NFL combine was announced last week, I spent some time updating my wide receiver database. One thing I am paying more attention to this year is contributions in the return game, especially after last year’s realization that there is hidden value in special teams stats. As it turns out, Houston wide receiver Demarcus Ayers is one of this class’…...

Laquon Treadwell is Basically Donte Moncrief (With More Hype)

A recent report from Tony Pauline indicated that Laquon Treadwell‘s camp would be happy if ran the forty-yard dash in the 4.5 range, with the possibility that he’s slower than that. Considering Treadwell recently was selected as the number one overall pick in our rookie mock draft, this report made me cringe. As you may remember, I’ve been skeptical of Treadwell before, so this is just…...

2016 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Pre-Combine)

The Super Bowl is this weekend and after that we’re in full-blown prospect mode. To get your draft season started off on the right foot, I wrangled up some of the sharpest minds in dynasty fantasy football and conducted a mock draft…....

Confessions of a Carson Wentz Skeptic

North Dakota State quarterback Carson Wentz has been all the rage at this week’s Senior Bowl. Some scouts, including recent podcast guest Jeff Risdon, even think he could go in the top-15 overall in this year’s NFL draft. But has the hype gone too far?…...

Tyler Boyd Fantasy

Visualizing Breakout Age for the 2016 Receiver Class

For several years now, Team RotoViz has been working to make sense of the intersection of age and production in prospect evaluation. If you read the 2015 edition of this article, I go into much more detail about the matter. The bottom line appears to be this: players who are good at a young age in college tend to be good in the NFL too…....

Box Score Scouting 2016’s Top Tight Ends

My esteemed colleague, Charles Kleinheksel, recently published an update to the RotoViz Scouting Index (RSI) and asked me to follow up with some commentary about the wide receivers and tight ends. While I still need to do that wide receiver piece, I thought maybe this could double as my tight end reaction article. After all, my first glance at the crop left me feeling a bit like…...

Braxton Miller the RB over Braxton Miller the WR

Anthony Calatayud recently made the case for Braxton Miller, the wide receiver prospect, but I’m here today to introduce you to Braxton Miller, the running back. Maybe it’s silly for me to suggest that a guy who just spent a year becoming a wide receiver should revert back to his run-heavy ways, but let’s be real: Braxton Miller is a MASSIVE GAMBLE as a receiver…....

Keyarris Garrett, 2016’s Great Height Hope

If you look at the top 25 wide receiver prospects in this year’s class, there aren’t many really big guys. The list of reputable pass-catchers who are typically listed above 6 feet, 2 inches and 215 pounds is limited to:…...

2016 NFL Draft Prospect: Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma (Tyler Lockett 2.0??)

Is Sterling Shepard this year’s Tyler Lockett? Maybe. Is Sterling Shepard one of the best receivers in Oklahoma history and a future top 100 pick? Almost certainly. As the Sooner great winds down his career in the Orange Bowl, and potentially the National Championship game, I offer a first look at Shepard’s NFL potential, his college comparables and hypothesize about his athleticism. Let’s dive in…....

Tyler Boyd Fantasy

2016 NFL Draft Prospect: Tyler Boyd, WR, Pitt

At the risk of this article getting lost in the bowl-preview shuffle, I want to make one thing very clear right away: Tyler Boyd is a legitimate threat to be my #1 wide receiver prospect for the 2016 NFL Draft…....

Bowl Prospect Preview: Paul Perkins, RB, UCLA

With all due respect to Kareem Hunt and Donnel Pumphrey, when Paul Perkins takes the field on December 26th, he will be the best running back prospect of bowl season so far. In fact, CBSsports currently has the UCLA star ranked as the No. 5 running back prospect for the 2016 NFL Draft. So what makes Perkins such an intriguing prospect? Let’s take a closer look…....

Bowl Prospect Preview: Donnel Pumphrey, RB, San Diego State

Let’s just get this over with: Donnel Pumphrey is a small running back. There I said it. But the thing about Pumphrey’s three-year career is that he’s nearly unmatched in terms of productivity. As Matt Freedman and I have discussed on the RotoViz College Football Show, Pumphrey has almost nothing left to prove on the collegiate level, which means the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve could be his…...

Backup or Not, Kenyan Drake Can Ball

While much of the attention this draft season will focus on Alabama’s Derrick Henry, I might actually be more intrigued by his teammate Kenyan Drake. Not because Henry isn’t good, but because Drake has some fascinating data points…....

Can We Use Efficiency to Evaluate WR Prospects with Low Market Share?

One of the most frequent questions I get asked about my work, especially market share,[1]percentage of team receptions, receiving yards, or receiving touchdowns is “what if Player X had really good teammates that prevented him from dominating his team’s market share?” I think this is a really great question, and I intend to answer it eventually, but today we’re going to look at a related…...

Are we forgetting about Arkansas’ Jonathan Williams?

When it comes to NFL Draft prospects, I’ve developed a reputation for being an ageist, which might not be unwarranted. Considering that, you can imagine my disappointment that there is only one running back prospect, Ezekiel Elliott, who will play his rookie year at age 21…....

Corey Coleman and Josh Doctson faced 22 common foes. Here’s how they fared.

Three of the top six wide receiver prospects for the 2016 NFL Draft are from the Big 12, which means that we have a massive sample size to compare the careers of Sterling Shepard, Corey Coleman and Josh Doctson against common foes. In fact, all three round robin matchups feature at least 18 shared opponents. Today, we’re going to dive into the performances of Coleman…...

What Demarcus Ayers Has in Common With TY Hilton, Antonio Brown

After the invitee list for the 2016 NFL combine was announced last week, I spent some time updating my wide receiver database. One thing I am paying more attention to this year is contributions in the return game, especially after last year’s realization that there is hidden value in special teams stats. As it turns out, Houston wide receiver Demarcus Ayers is one of this class’…...

Laquon Treadwell is Basically Donte Moncrief (With More Hype)

A recent report from Tony Pauline indicated that Laquon Treadwell‘s camp would be happy if ran the forty-yard dash in the 4.5 range, with the possibility that he’s slower than that. Considering Treadwell recently was selected as the number one overall pick in our rookie mock draft, this report made me cringe. As you may remember, I’ve been skeptical of Treadwell before, so this is just…...

2016 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Pre-Combine)

The Super Bowl is this weekend and after that we’re in full-blown prospect mode. To get your draft season started off on the right foot, I wrangled up some of the sharpest minds in dynasty fantasy football and conducted a mock draft…....

Confessions of a Carson Wentz Skeptic

North Dakota State quarterback Carson Wentz has been all the rage at this week’s Senior Bowl. Some scouts, including recent podcast guest Jeff Risdon, even think he could go in the top-15 overall in this year’s NFL draft. But has the hype gone too far?…...

Tyler Boyd Fantasy

Visualizing Breakout Age for the 2016 Receiver Class

For several years now, Team RotoViz has been working to make sense of the intersection of age and production in prospect evaluation. If you read the 2015 edition of this article, I go into much more detail about the matter. The bottom line appears to be this: players who are good at a young age in college tend to be good in the NFL too…....

Box Score Scouting 2016’s Top Tight Ends

My esteemed colleague, Charles Kleinheksel, recently published an update to the RotoViz Scouting Index (RSI) and asked me to follow up with some commentary about the wide receivers and tight ends. While I still need to do that wide receiver piece, I thought maybe this could double as my tight end reaction article. After all, my first glance at the crop left me feeling a bit like…...

Braxton Miller the RB over Braxton Miller the WR

Anthony Calatayud recently made the case for Braxton Miller, the wide receiver prospect, but I’m here today to introduce you to Braxton Miller, the running back. Maybe it’s silly for me to suggest that a guy who just spent a year becoming a wide receiver should revert back to his run-heavy ways, but let’s be real: Braxton Miller is a MASSIVE GAMBLE as a receiver…....

Keyarris Garrett, 2016’s Great Height Hope

If you look at the top 25 wide receiver prospects in this year’s class, there aren’t many really big guys. The list of reputable pass-catchers who are typically listed above 6 feet, 2 inches and 215 pounds is limited to:…...

2016 NFL Draft Prospect: Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma (Tyler Lockett 2.0??)

Is Sterling Shepard this year’s Tyler Lockett? Maybe. Is Sterling Shepard one of the best receivers in Oklahoma history and a future top 100 pick? Almost certainly. As the Sooner great winds down his career in the Orange Bowl, and potentially the National Championship game, I offer a first look at Shepard’s NFL potential, his college comparables and hypothesize about his athleticism. Let’s dive in…....

Tyler Boyd Fantasy

2016 NFL Draft Prospect: Tyler Boyd, WR, Pitt

At the risk of this article getting lost in the bowl-preview shuffle, I want to make one thing very clear right away: Tyler Boyd is a legitimate threat to be my #1 wide receiver prospect for the 2016 NFL Draft…....

Bowl Prospect Preview: Paul Perkins, RB, UCLA

With all due respect to Kareem Hunt and Donnel Pumphrey, when Paul Perkins takes the field on December 26th, he will be the best running back prospect of bowl season so far. In fact, CBSsports currently has the UCLA star ranked as the No. 5 running back prospect for the 2016 NFL Draft. So what makes Perkins such an intriguing prospect? Let’s take a closer look…....

Bowl Prospect Preview: Donnel Pumphrey, RB, San Diego State

Let’s just get this over with: Donnel Pumphrey is a small running back. There I said it. But the thing about Pumphrey’s three-year career is that he’s nearly unmatched in terms of productivity. As Matt Freedman and I have discussed on the RotoViz College Football Show, Pumphrey has almost nothing left to prove on the collegiate level, which means the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve could be his…...

Backup or Not, Kenyan Drake Can Ball

While much of the attention this draft season will focus on Alabama’s Derrick Henry, I might actually be more intrigued by his teammate Kenyan Drake. Not because Henry isn’t good, but because Drake has some fascinating data points…....

Can We Use Efficiency to Evaluate WR Prospects with Low Market Share?

One of the most frequent questions I get asked about my work, especially market share,[1]percentage of team receptions, receiving yards, or receiving touchdowns is “what if Player X had really good teammates that prevented him from dominating his team’s market share?” I think this is a really great question, and I intend to answer it eventually, but today we’re going to look at a related…...

Are we forgetting about Arkansas’ Jonathan Williams?

When it comes to NFL Draft prospects, I’ve developed a reputation for being an ageist, which might not be unwarranted. Considering that, you can imagine my disappointment that there is only one running back prospect, Ezekiel Elliott, who will play his rookie year at age 21…....

Corey Coleman and Josh Doctson faced 22 common foes. Here’s how they fared.

Three of the top six wide receiver prospects for the 2016 NFL Draft are from the Big 12, which means that we have a massive sample size to compare the careers of Sterling Shepard, Corey Coleman and Josh Doctson against common foes. In fact, all three round robin matchups feature at least 18 shared opponents. Today, we’re going to dive into the performances of Coleman…...

What Demarcus Ayers Has in Common With TY Hilton, Antonio Brown

After the invitee list for the 2016 NFL combine was announced last week, I spent some time updating my wide receiver database. One thing I am paying more attention to this year is contributions in the return game, especially after last year’s realization that there is hidden value in special teams stats. As it turns out, Houston wide receiver Demarcus Ayers is one of this class’…...

Laquon Treadwell is Basically Donte Moncrief (With More Hype)

A recent report from Tony Pauline indicated that Laquon Treadwell‘s camp would be happy if ran the forty-yard dash in the 4.5 range, with the possibility that he’s slower than that. Considering Treadwell recently was selected as the number one overall pick in our rookie mock draft, this report made me cringe. As you may remember, I’ve been skeptical of Treadwell before, so this is just…...

2016 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Pre-Combine)

The Super Bowl is this weekend and after that we’re in full-blown prospect mode. To get your draft season started off on the right foot, I wrangled up some of the sharpest minds in dynasty fantasy football and conducted a mock draft…....

Confessions of a Carson Wentz Skeptic

North Dakota State quarterback Carson Wentz has been all the rage at this week’s Senior Bowl. Some scouts, including recent podcast guest Jeff Risdon, even think he could go in the top-15 overall in this year’s NFL draft. But has the hype gone too far?…...

Tyler Boyd Fantasy

Visualizing Breakout Age for the 2016 Receiver Class

For several years now, Team RotoViz has been working to make sense of the intersection of age and production in prospect evaluation. If you read the 2015 edition of this article, I go into much more detail about the matter. The bottom line appears to be this: players who are good at a young age in college tend to be good in the NFL too…....

Box Score Scouting 2016’s Top Tight Ends

My esteemed colleague, Charles Kleinheksel, recently published an update to the RotoViz Scouting Index (RSI) and asked me to follow up with some commentary about the wide receivers and tight ends. While I still need to do that wide receiver piece, I thought maybe this could double as my tight end reaction article. After all, my first glance at the crop left me feeling a bit like…...

Braxton Miller the RB over Braxton Miller the WR

Anthony Calatayud recently made the case for Braxton Miller, the wide receiver prospect, but I’m here today to introduce you to Braxton Miller, the running back. Maybe it’s silly for me to suggest that a guy who just spent a year becoming a wide receiver should revert back to his run-heavy ways, but let’s be real: Braxton Miller is a MASSIVE GAMBLE as a receiver…....

Keyarris Garrett, 2016’s Great Height Hope

If you look at the top 25 wide receiver prospects in this year’s class, there aren’t many really big guys. The list of reputable pass-catchers who are typically listed above 6 feet, 2 inches and 215 pounds is limited to:…...

2016 NFL Draft Prospect: Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma (Tyler Lockett 2.0??)

Is Sterling Shepard this year’s Tyler Lockett? Maybe. Is Sterling Shepard one of the best receivers in Oklahoma history and a future top 100 pick? Almost certainly. As the Sooner great winds down his career in the Orange Bowl, and potentially the National Championship game, I offer a first look at Shepard’s NFL potential, his college comparables and hypothesize about his athleticism. Let’s dive in…....

Tyler Boyd Fantasy

2016 NFL Draft Prospect: Tyler Boyd, WR, Pitt

At the risk of this article getting lost in the bowl-preview shuffle, I want to make one thing very clear right away: Tyler Boyd is a legitimate threat to be my #1 wide receiver prospect for the 2016 NFL Draft…....

Bowl Prospect Preview: Paul Perkins, RB, UCLA

With all due respect to Kareem Hunt and Donnel Pumphrey, when Paul Perkins takes the field on December 26th, he will be the best running back prospect of bowl season so far. In fact, CBSsports currently has the UCLA star ranked as the No. 5 running back prospect for the 2016 NFL Draft. So what makes Perkins such an intriguing prospect? Let’s take a closer look…....

Bowl Prospect Preview: Donnel Pumphrey, RB, San Diego State

Let’s just get this over with: Donnel Pumphrey is a small running back. There I said it. But the thing about Pumphrey’s three-year career is that he’s nearly unmatched in terms of productivity. As Matt Freedman and I have discussed on the RotoViz College Football Show, Pumphrey has almost nothing left to prove on the collegiate level, which means the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve could be his…...

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