Antonio Losada

Freelancer and FSWA Football Writer of the Year Finalist. Reach me @chapulana

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Does Offensive Line Strength Impact Fantasy RB Production?

One of the topics of discussion during 2019 fantasy drafts had to do with Joe Mixon’s ADP. If you remember those early days of September just before the start of the season, Mixon’s ADP was 20.6 overall, or RB11. That wasn’t a great deviation from what Mixon had done in 2018 finishing the season as the RB10. The difference is that he finished there while playing only 14 games, so his rank would have been higher on a full 16-game season. Some folks wondered why Mixon was getting off the board a little late compared to other players with less…...

Is It Time to Give Up On Mike Williams?

A lot of digital ink has been spilled musing about what the deal is with Mike Williams. Just days after he Williams was drafted we were already wondering about the future of Keenan Allen. One year later and after an injury-plagued rookie season, Shawn Siegele kept buying him. Fast-forward to last August and we were giving Williams the highest of potential floors. Just this past December we went the distance to proclaim Williams as the Chargers alpha receiver! Yet Mike Williams has already three seasons under his belt and the best he’s ever finished is as the 79th-best player overall……...

Is Allen Lazard Green Bay’s True WR2?

It’s safe to say no one predicted Allen Lazard’s second season given just what he did as an undrafted rookie in 2018. Lazard played exactly one game — one snap, actually — for the Packers in 2018. He was targeted by DeShone Kizer, caught the pass, and gained 7 yards. That’s some efficiency right there! Jokes aside, Lazard’s “real” debut-season took place in 2019 as Green Bay had so few options among its wide receiver corps that the sophomore turned into the de facto WR2 of the team by the end of the year. It took time for Lazard to…...

Should We Care About Volatility?

High-variance, volatile football players, the Will Fullers and Amari Coopers of our day, the risky bets — we all know those players, and most of all we all know about what they can do — for good and for bad. When was the last time you trusted Will Fuller or Amari Cooper to go off the charts and they let you down? You probably don’t have to go too far back in time to find out. Just this past season, Fuller went all the way to reach 53.7 PPR-points in Week 5. He surpassed 11.1 points just once in the…...

Which Anthony Miller Should We Expect in 2020?

Two years in the NFL, two years outside of the top-50 best wide receivers in fantasy football. That’s the quickest of ways I can think of to give you an overly simplified summary of what Anthony Miller’s career has been up to the end of the 2019 season. It’s not pretty and gets less so when you consider he will be playing his third season at 26 years of age. But is there still time for Miller to make amends and turn into a viable fantasy weapon? I am inclined to think Miller still has plenty of time and seasons…...

Will Deebo Samuel Keep Flying High In a Run-Heavy San Francisco Offense?

I remember the hot days of August. Actually, I miss them. They can’t get back soon enough. This past summer, most fantasy owners were anticipating their drafts while having a very clear name in their minds when it came to the San Francisco 49ers wide receiver position: Dante Pettis. As a second-year player and after finishing his rookie season posting more than 13 PPR in four of his last five games, it was reasonable to have high expectations in him and a potential second-season breakout. Flip the calendar page, put yourself at the start of 2020, and then look back…...

A Slight Increase In Opportunities Might Push Hunter Renfrow Through The Roof

As much as I love Hunter Renfrow these days (it took time for me to get there, believe me), I can’t lie to you in assessing his rookie season. Renfrow was a good first-year wide receiver, but he was far from a world-beater. In fact, Renfrow (133.5) couldn’t even beat his teammate Tyrell Williams (143.1) for the most PPR points in the season, even playing the same number of games. It was the same story for Renfrow among rookie wide receivers. He finished 2019 with the eighth-most PPR points in his 13 games played. He trailed the leader, A.J. Brown,…...

Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year extension to become the face of Arizona back in 2018 in a deal that would end paying him $30 million guaranteed and $39 million total if he completes it. Offering Johnson that deal made sense considering his 2016 season: he finished the season playing the full 16-game schedule and rushing…...

Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He carried the underdog Titans past the Patriots and Ravens, rushing for 377 yards on 64 attempts (5.9 YPC) in the playoffs. No wonder he racked up 53.75 PPR in those two games and 8.4 more FPOE to add to his already large season tally. On a per-game basis, he was…...

Will Dissly Keeps Flying Under The Radar: Is The Breakout Coming?

With the 2019 season already over I was looking at potential bargains entering the 2020 preseason with my eyes locked on the upcoming draft season. There are plenty of things that can turn a player into a buy-low candidate and put a bargain-tag next to his name: a drop in performance, a new teammate being used more on offense, a set of bad game scripts, and, perhaps most commonly, injuries. Among players to miss ample time this past season, was second-year pro Seattle Seahawks tight end Will Dissly. Dissly played only five full games before going down injured in Week…...

Does Offensive Line Strength Impact Fantasy RB Production?

One of the topics of discussion during 2019 fantasy drafts had to do with Joe Mixon’s ADP. If you remember those early days of September just before the start of the season, Mixon’s ADP was 20.6 overall, or RB11. That wasn’t a great deviation from what Mixon had done in 2018 finishing the season as the RB10. The difference is that he finished there while playing only 14 games, so his rank would have been higher on a full 16-game season. Some folks wondered why Mixon was getting off the board a little late compared to other players with less…...

Is It Time to Give Up On Mike Williams?

A lot of digital ink has been spilled musing about what the deal is with Mike Williams. Just days after he Williams was drafted we were already wondering about the future of Keenan Allen. One year later and after an injury-plagued rookie season, Shawn Siegele kept buying him. Fast-forward to last August and we were giving Williams the highest of potential floors. Just this past December we went the distance to proclaim Williams as the Chargers alpha receiver! Yet Mike Williams has already three seasons under his belt and the best he’s ever finished is as the 79th-best player overall……...

Is Allen Lazard Green Bay’s True WR2?

It’s safe to say no one predicted Allen Lazard’s second season given just what he did as an undrafted rookie in 2018. Lazard played exactly one game — one snap, actually — for the Packers in 2018. He was targeted by DeShone Kizer, caught the pass, and gained 7 yards. That’s some efficiency right there! Jokes aside, Lazard’s “real” debut-season took place in 2019 as Green Bay had so few options among its wide receiver corps that the sophomore turned into the de facto WR2 of the team by the end of the year. It took time for Lazard to…...

Should We Care About Volatility?

High-variance, volatile football players, the Will Fullers and Amari Coopers of our day, the risky bets — we all know those players, and most of all we all know about what they can do — for good and for bad. When was the last time you trusted Will Fuller or Amari Cooper to go off the charts and they let you down? You probably don’t have to go too far back in time to find out. Just this past season, Fuller went all the way to reach 53.7 PPR-points in Week 5. He surpassed 11.1 points just once in the…...

Which Anthony Miller Should We Expect in 2020?

Two years in the NFL, two years outside of the top-50 best wide receivers in fantasy football. That’s the quickest of ways I can think of to give you an overly simplified summary of what Anthony Miller’s career has been up to the end of the 2019 season. It’s not pretty and gets less so when you consider he will be playing his third season at 26 years of age. But is there still time for Miller to make amends and turn into a viable fantasy weapon? I am inclined to think Miller still has plenty of time and seasons…...

Will Deebo Samuel Keep Flying High In a Run-Heavy San Francisco Offense?

I remember the hot days of August. Actually, I miss them. They can’t get back soon enough. This past summer, most fantasy owners were anticipating their drafts while having a very clear name in their minds when it came to the San Francisco 49ers wide receiver position: Dante Pettis. As a second-year player and after finishing his rookie season posting more than 13 PPR in four of his last five games, it was reasonable to have high expectations in him and a potential second-season breakout. Flip the calendar page, put yourself at the start of 2020, and then look back…...

A Slight Increase In Opportunities Might Push Hunter Renfrow Through The Roof

As much as I love Hunter Renfrow these days (it took time for me to get there, believe me), I can’t lie to you in assessing his rookie season. Renfrow was a good first-year wide receiver, but he was far from a world-beater. In fact, Renfrow (133.5) couldn’t even beat his teammate Tyrell Williams (143.1) for the most PPR points in the season, even playing the same number of games. It was the same story for Renfrow among rookie wide receivers. He finished 2019 with the eighth-most PPR points in his 13 games played. He trailed the leader, A.J. Brown,…...

Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year extension to become the face of Arizona back in 2018 in a deal that would end paying him $30 million guaranteed and $39 million total if he completes it. Offering Johnson that deal made sense considering his 2016 season: he finished the season playing the full 16-game schedule and rushing…...

Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He carried the underdog Titans past the Patriots and Ravens, rushing for 377 yards on 64 attempts (5.9 YPC) in the playoffs. No wonder he racked up 53.75 PPR in those two games and 8.4 more FPOE to add to his already large season tally. On a per-game basis, he was…...

Will Dissly Keeps Flying Under The Radar: Is The Breakout Coming?

With the 2019 season already over I was looking at potential bargains entering the 2020 preseason with my eyes locked on the upcoming draft season. There are plenty of things that can turn a player into a buy-low candidate and put a bargain-tag next to his name: a drop in performance, a new teammate being used more on offense, a set of bad game scripts, and, perhaps most commonly, injuries. Among players to miss ample time this past season, was second-year pro Seattle Seahawks tight end Will Dissly. Dissly played only five full games before going down injured in Week…...

Does Offensive Line Strength Impact Fantasy RB Production?

One of the topics of discussion during 2019 fantasy drafts had to do with Joe Mixon’s ADP. If you remember those early days of September just before the start of the season, Mixon’s ADP was 20.6 overall, or RB11. That wasn’t a great deviation from what Mixon had done in…...

Is It Time to Give Up On Mike Williams?

A lot of digital ink has been spilled musing about what the deal is with Mike Williams. Just days after he Williams was drafted we were already wondering about the future of Keenan Allen. One year later and after an injury-plagued rookie season, Shawn Siegele kept buying him. Fast-forward to…...

Is Allen Lazard Green Bay’s True WR2?

It’s safe to say no one predicted Allen Lazard’s second season given just what he did as an undrafted rookie in 2018. Lazard played exactly one game — one snap, actually — for the Packers in 2018. He was targeted by DeShone Kizer, caught the pass, and gained 7 yards…....

Should We Care About Volatility?

High-variance, volatile football players, the Will Fullers and Amari Coopers of our day, the risky bets — we all know those players, and most of all we all know about what they can do — for good and for bad. When was the last time you trusted Will Fuller or…...

Which Anthony Miller Should We Expect in 2020?

Two years in the NFL, two years outside of the top-50 best wide receivers in fantasy football. That’s the quickest of ways I can think of to give you an overly simplified summary of what Anthony Miller’s career has been up to the end of the 2019 season. It’s not…...

Will Deebo Samuel Keep Flying High In a Run-Heavy San Francisco Offense?

I remember the hot days of August. Actually, I miss them. They can’t get back soon enough. This past summer, most fantasy owners were anticipating their drafts while having a very clear name in their minds when it came to the San Francisco 49ers wide receiver position: Dante Pettis. As…...

Is There Anything Left In David Johnson’s Tank?

There is nothing official — at least at the time of this writing — regarding David Johnson’s future (or lack of it) as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. Johnson, in fact, is in the middle of one of the most lucrative contracts in the NFL after signing a three-year…...

Derrick Henry is Awesome. Do Not Draft Derrick Henry

In the 2019 regular season, Derrick Henry led all running backs in fantasy points over expectation (FPOE) with 82.5. It was the 15th-highest FPOE mark among all RBs since 2000. In 2018, he was 11th among RBs with 37.4. In fact, he’s never had a season with negative FPOE. He…...

Will Dissly Keeps Flying Under The Radar: Is The Breakout Coming?

With the 2019 season already over I was looking at potential bargains entering the 2020 preseason with my eyes locked on the upcoming draft season. There are plenty of things that can turn a player into a buy-low candidate and put a bargain-tag next to his name: a drop in…...

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