Curtis Patrick

RotoViz Co-Owner. Host, Dynasty Command Center Podcast. High Stakes Dynasty Force. Top-12 FFPC Main Event Finisher. 3-time Champion, Pro Football Hall of Fame King’s Classic.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Must-Draft Running Backs for 2021 – Part 1

Curtis Patrick shares his 2021 fantasy running backs who won’t cost you a top-36 pick — but could win you a fantasy football championship.  In 2019, Curtis gave you Austin Ekeler long before anyone else had solved the Chargers backfield riddle. In 2020, he put you on Kareem Hunt when he was still being drafted at RB30 by ADP. Who’s up in 2021? Must-Draft Running Backs…...

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5 Heavily Discounted RBs With the Star Potential to be 2021 Smash Plays

Shawn Siegele looks at five heavily discounted RBs who were much better than advertised in 2020. Dave Caban has just finished the new Advanced Stats Explorer which provides a wealth of charting data for our 2021 subs. Accuracy percentages for QBs from clean and pressured pockets Broken tackles, yards after contact, and evasion rates for RBs A wealth of route data for WRs and TEs,…...

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Year 2 Wide Receivers Are Still the Biggest Edge in Fantasy, and These 2 Phenoms Going In The Middle Rounds Look Like the Next A.J. Brown or D.K. Metcalf

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in the fifth and sixth rounds based on current redraft ADP. As I wrap up my WR Target Series, it’s important to note the various emerging themes. The focus has been on roster construction through the lens of single quarterback redraft leagues, and different tiers and styles of players have surfaced. In Part 1, I outlined a…...

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4 Undervalued Foundation Backs: Can You Build Your Fantasy Teams Around These Out-of-Fashion RBs?

Shawn Siegele looks at four potentially undervalued foundation backs and judges whether human or machine is right. One of my favorite things about the RotoViz tools is the way they allow you to ask different questions and come at player value from different angles. When we use the Projection Machine, we can use the data on team tendencies, player histories, and teammate competition to craft…...

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A Tight End to Target in Each of The First 10 Rounds of Your Redraft Leagues

If you are like me, you would have multiple tight end spots in your standard redraft teams. Most people are not like me, however, and would almost happily kiss goodbye to the most volatile spot in all of the fantasy sports. Most leagues insist on starting at least one, however, and that should suffice for now. When to target a TE in your drafts can…...

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Best WR Targets for Rounds 7 and 8: These High-Floor Veterans Complement a Wide Variety of Builds

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in the seventh and eighth rounds of 2021 redraft leagues. In Part 1 of my WR Targets Series, I gave you my pick for the next Calvin Ridley in Round 9 and located a rookie with explosive upside in Round 10. Today, I’m sliding up a few rounds to bring you my next pair of wide receiver…...

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Advanced Stat Explorer

Advanced Stats Explorer Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,…...

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Can the 2021 Fourth-Year Breakout Class Follow in the Footsteps of Antonio Brown and Tyler Lockett?

Shawn Siegele dives into the class of fourth-year breakout options who hope to follow in the footsteps of Antonio Brown and Tyler Lockett. For many years, third-year WRs were the most coveted asset in fantasy. That infatuation has long since gone the way of the dodo, but the vestigial disillusionment leaves an opening for savvy owners. And the best way to take advantage isn’t to…...

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Dynasty Waivers: 5 Players to Target After Preseason Week 1

Curtis Patrick identifies a handful of dynasty dart throws and a mega priority dynasty waiver wire claim for deep dynasty waivers. Roster churn is an important facet of being a winning player in dynasty fantasy football. Monitoring NFL Training Camps and the NFL Preseason are two of the best ways to find cheap assets who could end up helping your roster someday. In deeper dynasty…...

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The Next Calvin Ridley Can Be Found In The 9th Round Plus Another Explosive Rookie To Add To Your Arsenal

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in Rounds 9 and 10 based on current redraft ADP. In my Decoding Backfields series, I focused on the tenets of roster construction and the importance of opportunity cost when selecting running backs. As I start my WR Targets Series, we’ll be using some of those insights to help us locate WRs with upside at their current…...

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ADP Technical Analysis

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Less Than 1% of Drafters Follow These 2 Guidelines to Turn a WR-WR Start into a Roster That Can Beat Christian McCaffrey Teams

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explores how two structural guidelines can turn a late-round draft pick into a roster that can rival any Christian McCaffrey team. During the past two months, Shawn Siegele put out a number of articles detailing how to make the best of a late-round draft pick in best ball. One of the key tenets of his argument is picking the elite wide receivers. It…...

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The Next J.K. Dobbins Headlines the 2021 Class of Potential True Freshman Breakout Candidates.

Hello and welcome to the 2021 Breakout Freshman Special! We’ll be taking a look at the top-50 true freshman in the nation set to kick off their college football careers! Why look ahead so far? For starters, one of the many things we look for here at RotoViz when it comes to predicting NFL success for draft prospects is an early breakout in college. If…...

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What History Can Tell Us About Fantasy Football Sleepers and How to Locate Them in 2021

Shawn Siegele uses the RotoViz tools to break down the history of sleepers in fantasy football. How do we find the deep impact players in 2021? This is Sleepers Week on Stealing Bananas. Ben Gretch and I are looking at how to find them, what their impact is, and which targets we’re drafting in 2021. One element that I mention on the show but wanted…...

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Reverse Engineering the Perfect Best Ball Roster to Win $100,000

Originally published August 9th, Zachary Krueger helps you prepare for FFPC best ball tournaments by reverse engineering the perfect draft. A few weeks ago I outlined in my recent article Reverse Engineering Your FFPC Best Ball Slim Draft Could be the Key to Winning $100,000 how Shawn Siegele and I tackled one of our builds in the FFPC best ball tournament. Today we head back to…...

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Robert Woods Is Being Drafted At His Ceiling – His 3 Discount Options Are Going At Or Below Their Floors

Shawn Siegele continues the Discount Series with a look at three WRs who can provide Robert Woods’ production without the WR13 price tag. Robert Woods’ price is crazy. Now Woods is a good player, and the Rams offense should be better. I wouldn’t be surprised if he had a career year. But when relatively minor elements of a 29-year-old receiver’s profile are pushing his ADP…...

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The Receiver RotoViz Can’t Stop Drafting – Plus 2 Other Late-Round Second-Year Breakout Candidates

Originally published August 5, Corbin Young reminds us of inexpensive second-year breakout candidates, including one who blew up in the first preseason game. In a recent article, I looked at three second-year breakout wide receivers. We used Blair Andrews’ previous research to help identify players. That article included three second-year receivers ready to breakout in 2021. But none of those three players are particularly cheap, with…...

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How to Press the Advantage of Your Travis Kelce Teams: 99% of Drafters Ignore These 3 Simple Steps That Will Double Your Expected Win Rates

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explains the three roster-building guidelines to follow after drafting Travis Kelce and running back in the first two rounds to more than double your baseline win rate. In the 2019 season when Christian McCaffrey had the legendary 448.4 PPR fantasy point season, best ball managers that had him on their team won an insane 36.9% of the time. Considering 8.3% is the baseline…...

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Finding The Intersection Between Value and Upside: Three Tight Ends To Target In Single-Season Leagues

Sam Wallace uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify three tight ends with favorable early-season schedules that are also priced at a value. In my latest piece, I sought to identify three quarterbacks with the perfect blend of early-season value and upside for those in single-quarterback leagues. Today, the goal is the same, but the position is different: tight ends. A notoriously tricky…...

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Dual Threat Quarterbacks and Small School Playmakers Headline 17 Players to Watch from Notre Dame and the Group of Five

Travis May breaks down several potential early-round quarterbacks, perhaps the best small-school running backs in the nation, and some highly productive receivers who could earn some serious draft capital. Travis helps you understand their athletic and production profiles, tells you where they rank now in devy, and projects their future NFL Draft capital. Notre Dame and Group of Five Preview… Membership Required You must be...

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Must-Draft Running Backs for 2021 – Part 1

Curtis Patrick shares his 2021 fantasy running backs who won’t cost you a top-36 pick — but could win you a fantasy football championship.  In 2019, Curtis gave you Austin Ekeler long before anyone else had solved the Chargers backfield riddle. In 2020, he put you on Kareem Hunt when he was still being drafted at RB30 by ADP. Who’s up in 2021? Must-Draft Running Backs…...

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5 Heavily Discounted RBs With the Star Potential to be 2021 Smash Plays

Shawn Siegele looks at five heavily discounted RBs who were much better than advertised in 2020. Dave Caban has just finished the new Advanced Stats Explorer which provides a wealth of charting data for our 2021 subs. Accuracy percentages for QBs from clean and pressured pockets Broken tackles, yards after contact, and evasion rates for RBs A wealth of route data for WRs and TEs,…...

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Year 2 Wide Receivers Are Still the Biggest Edge in Fantasy, and These 2 Phenoms Going In The Middle Rounds Look Like the Next A.J. Brown or D.K. Metcalf

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in the fifth and sixth rounds based on current redraft ADP. As I wrap up my WR Target Series, it’s important to note the various emerging themes. The focus has been on roster construction through the lens of single quarterback redraft leagues, and different tiers and styles of players have surfaced. In Part 1, I outlined a…...

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4 Undervalued Foundation Backs: Can You Build Your Fantasy Teams Around These Out-of-Fashion RBs?

Shawn Siegele looks at four potentially undervalued foundation backs and judges whether human or machine is right. One of my favorite things about the RotoViz tools is the way they allow you to ask different questions and come at player value from different angles. When we use the Projection Machine, we can use the data on team tendencies, player histories, and teammate competition to craft…...

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A Tight End to Target in Each of The First 10 Rounds of Your Redraft Leagues

If you are like me, you would have multiple tight end spots in your standard redraft teams. Most people are not like me, however, and would almost happily kiss goodbye to the most volatile spot in all of the fantasy sports. Most leagues insist on starting at least one, however, and that should suffice for now. When to target a TE in your drafts can…...

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Best WR Targets for Rounds 7 and 8: These High-Floor Veterans Complement a Wide Variety of Builds

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in the seventh and eighth rounds of 2021 redraft leagues. In Part 1 of my WR Targets Series, I gave you my pick for the next Calvin Ridley in Round 9 and located a rookie with explosive upside in Round 10. Today, I’m sliding up a few rounds to bring you my next pair of wide receiver…...

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Advanced Stat Explorer

Advanced Stats Explorer Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,…...

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Can the 2021 Fourth-Year Breakout Class Follow in the Footsteps of Antonio Brown and Tyler Lockett?

Shawn Siegele dives into the class of fourth-year breakout options who hope to follow in the footsteps of Antonio Brown and Tyler Lockett. For many years, third-year WRs were the most coveted asset in fantasy. That infatuation has long since gone the way of the dodo, but the vestigial disillusionment leaves an opening for savvy owners. And the best way to take advantage isn’t to…...

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Dynasty Waivers: 5 Players to Target After Preseason Week 1

Curtis Patrick identifies a handful of dynasty dart throws and a mega priority dynasty waiver wire claim for deep dynasty waivers. Roster churn is an important facet of being a winning player in dynasty fantasy football. Monitoring NFL Training Camps and the NFL Preseason are two of the best ways to find cheap assets who could end up helping your roster someday. In deeper dynasty…...

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The Next Calvin Ridley Can Be Found In The 9th Round Plus Another Explosive Rookie To Add To Your Arsenal

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in Rounds 9 and 10 based on current redraft ADP. In my Decoding Backfields series, I focused on the tenets of roster construction and the importance of opportunity cost when selecting running backs. As I start my WR Targets Series, we’ll be using some of those insights to help us locate WRs with upside at their current…...

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ADP Technical Analysis

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Less Than 1% of Drafters Follow These 2 Guidelines to Turn a WR-WR Start into a Roster That Can Beat Christian McCaffrey Teams

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explores how two structural guidelines can turn a late-round draft pick into a roster that can rival any Christian McCaffrey team. During the past two months, Shawn Siegele put out a number of articles detailing how to make the best of a late-round draft pick in best ball. One of the key tenets of his argument is picking the elite wide receivers. It…...

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The Next J.K. Dobbins Headlines the 2021 Class of Potential True Freshman Breakout Candidates.

Hello and welcome to the 2021 Breakout Freshman Special! We’ll be taking a look at the top-50 true freshman in the nation set to kick off their college football careers! Why look ahead so far? For starters, one of the many things we look for here at RotoViz when it comes to predicting NFL success for draft prospects is an early breakout in college. If…...

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What History Can Tell Us About Fantasy Football Sleepers and How to Locate Them in 2021

Shawn Siegele uses the RotoViz tools to break down the history of sleepers in fantasy football. How do we find the deep impact players in 2021? This is Sleepers Week on Stealing Bananas. Ben Gretch and I are looking at how to find them, what their impact is, and which targets we’re drafting in 2021. One element that I mention on the show but wanted…...

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Reverse Engineering the Perfect Best Ball Roster to Win $100,000

Originally published August 9th, Zachary Krueger helps you prepare for FFPC best ball tournaments by reverse engineering the perfect draft. A few weeks ago I outlined in my recent article Reverse Engineering Your FFPC Best Ball Slim Draft Could be the Key to Winning $100,000 how Shawn Siegele and I tackled one of our builds in the FFPC best ball tournament. Today we head back to…...

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Robert Woods Is Being Drafted At His Ceiling – His 3 Discount Options Are Going At Or Below Their Floors

Shawn Siegele continues the Discount Series with a look at three WRs who can provide Robert Woods’ production without the WR13 price tag. Robert Woods’ price is crazy. Now Woods is a good player, and the Rams offense should be better. I wouldn’t be surprised if he had a career year. But when relatively minor elements of a 29-year-old receiver’s profile are pushing his ADP…...

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The Receiver RotoViz Can’t Stop Drafting – Plus 2 Other Late-Round Second-Year Breakout Candidates

Originally published August 5, Corbin Young reminds us of inexpensive second-year breakout candidates, including one who blew up in the first preseason game. In a recent article, I looked at three second-year breakout wide receivers. We used Blair Andrews’ previous research to help identify players. That article included three second-year receivers ready to breakout in 2021. But none of those three players are particularly cheap, with…...

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How to Press the Advantage of Your Travis Kelce Teams: 99% of Drafters Ignore These 3 Simple Steps That Will Double Your Expected Win Rates

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explains the three roster-building guidelines to follow after drafting Travis Kelce and running back in the first two rounds to more than double your baseline win rate. In the 2019 season when Christian McCaffrey had the legendary 448.4 PPR fantasy point season, best ball managers that had him on their team won an insane 36.9% of the time. Considering 8.3% is the baseline…...

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Finding The Intersection Between Value and Upside: Three Tight Ends To Target In Single-Season Leagues

Sam Wallace uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify three tight ends with favorable early-season schedules that are also priced at a value. In my latest piece, I sought to identify three quarterbacks with the perfect blend of early-season value and upside for those in single-quarterback leagues. Today, the goal is the same, but the position is different: tight ends. A notoriously tricky…...

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Dual Threat Quarterbacks and Small School Playmakers Headline 17 Players to Watch from Notre Dame and the Group of Five

Travis May breaks down several potential early-round quarterbacks, perhaps the best small-school running backs in the nation, and some highly productive receivers who could earn some serious draft capital. Travis helps you understand their athletic and production profiles, tells you where they rank now in devy, and projects their future NFL Draft capital. Notre Dame and Group of Five Preview… Membership Required You must be...

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Must-Draft Running Backs for 2021 – Part 1

Curtis Patrick shares his 2021 fantasy running backs who won’t cost you a top-36 pick — but could win you a fantasy football championship.  In 2019, Curtis gave you Austin Ekeler long before anyone else had solved the Chargers backfield riddle. In 2020, he put you on Kareem Hunt when he was still being drafted at RB30 by ADP. Who’s up in 2021? Must-Draft Running Backs…...

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5 Heavily Discounted RBs With the Star Potential to be 2021 Smash Plays

Shawn Siegele looks at five heavily discounted RBs who were much better than advertised in 2020. Dave Caban has just finished the new Advanced Stats Explorer which provides a wealth of charting data for our 2021 subs. Accuracy percentages for QBs from clean and pressured pockets Broken tackles, yards after contact, and evasion rates for RBs A wealth of route data for WRs and TEs,…...

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Year 2 Wide Receivers Are Still the Biggest Edge in Fantasy, and These 2 Phenoms Going In The Middle Rounds Look Like the Next A.J. Brown or D.K. Metcalf

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in the fifth and sixth rounds based on current redraft ADP. As I wrap up my WR Target Series, it’s important to note the various emerging themes. The focus has been on roster construction through the lens of single quarterback redraft leagues, and different tiers and styles of players have surfaced. In Part 1, I outlined a…...

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4 Undervalued Foundation Backs: Can You Build Your Fantasy Teams Around These Out-of-Fashion RBs?

Shawn Siegele looks at four potentially undervalued foundation backs and judges whether human or machine is right. One of my favorite things about the RotoViz tools is the way they allow you to ask different questions and come at player value from different angles. When we use the Projection Machine, we can use the data on team tendencies, player histories, and teammate competition to craft…...

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A Tight End to Target in Each of The First 10 Rounds of Your Redraft Leagues

If you are like me, you would have multiple tight end spots in your standard redraft teams. Most people are not like me, however, and would almost happily kiss goodbye to the most volatile spot in all of the fantasy sports. Most leagues insist on starting at least one, however, and that should suffice for now. When to target a TE in your drafts can…...

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Best WR Targets for Rounds 7 and 8: These High-Floor Veterans Complement a Wide Variety of Builds

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in the seventh and eighth rounds of 2021 redraft leagues. In Part 1 of my WR Targets Series, I gave you my pick for the next Calvin Ridley in Round 9 and located a rookie with explosive upside in Round 10. Today, I’m sliding up a few rounds to bring you my next pair of wide receiver…...

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Advanced Stat Explorer

Advanced Stats Explorer Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,…...

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Can the 2021 Fourth-Year Breakout Class Follow in the Footsteps of Antonio Brown and Tyler Lockett?

Shawn Siegele dives into the class of fourth-year breakout options who hope to follow in the footsteps of Antonio Brown and Tyler Lockett. For many years, third-year WRs were the most coveted asset in fantasy. That infatuation has long since gone the way of the dodo, but the vestigial disillusionment leaves an opening for savvy owners. And the best way to take advantage isn’t to…...

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Dynasty Waivers: 5 Players to Target After Preseason Week 1

Curtis Patrick identifies a handful of dynasty dart throws and a mega priority dynasty waiver wire claim for deep dynasty waivers. Roster churn is an important facet of being a winning player in dynasty fantasy football. Monitoring NFL Training Camps and the NFL Preseason are two of the best ways to find cheap assets who could end up helping your roster someday. In deeper dynasty…...

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The Next Calvin Ridley Can Be Found In The 9th Round Plus Another Explosive Rookie To Add To Your Arsenal

Sam Wallace identifies his favorite wide receiver targets in Rounds 9 and 10 based on current redraft ADP. In my Decoding Backfields series, I focused on the tenets of roster construction and the importance of opportunity cost when selecting running backs. As I start my WR Targets Series, we’ll be using some of those insights to help us locate WRs with upside at their current…...

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ADP Technical Analysis

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Less Than 1% of Drafters Follow These 2 Guidelines to Turn a WR-WR Start into a Roster That Can Beat Christian McCaffrey Teams

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explores how two structural guidelines can turn a late-round draft pick into a roster that can rival any Christian McCaffrey team. During the past two months, Shawn Siegele put out a number of articles detailing how to make the best of a late-round draft pick in best ball. One of the key tenets of his argument is picking the elite wide receivers. It…...

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The Next J.K. Dobbins Headlines the 2021 Class of Potential True Freshman Breakout Candidates.

Hello and welcome to the 2021 Breakout Freshman Special! We’ll be taking a look at the top-50 true freshman in the nation set to kick off their college football careers! Why look ahead so far? For starters, one of the many things we look for here at RotoViz when it comes to predicting NFL success for draft prospects is an early breakout in college. If…...

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What History Can Tell Us About Fantasy Football Sleepers and How to Locate Them in 2021

Shawn Siegele uses the RotoViz tools to break down the history of sleepers in fantasy football. How do we find the deep impact players in 2021? This is Sleepers Week on Stealing Bananas. Ben Gretch and I are looking at how to find them, what their impact is, and which targets we’re drafting in 2021. One element that I mention on the show but wanted…...

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Reverse Engineering the Perfect Best Ball Roster to Win $100,000

Originally published August 9th, Zachary Krueger helps you prepare for FFPC best ball tournaments by reverse engineering the perfect draft. A few weeks ago I outlined in my recent article Reverse Engineering Your FFPC Best Ball Slim Draft Could be the Key to Winning $100,000 how Shawn Siegele and I tackled one of our builds in the FFPC best ball tournament. Today we head back to…...

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Robert Woods Is Being Drafted At His Ceiling – His 3 Discount Options Are Going At Or Below Their Floors

Shawn Siegele continues the Discount Series with a look at three WRs who can provide Robert Woods’ production without the WR13 price tag. Robert Woods’ price is crazy. Now Woods is a good player, and the Rams offense should be better. I wouldn’t be surprised if he had a career year. But when relatively minor elements of a 29-year-old receiver’s profile are pushing his ADP…...

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The Receiver RotoViz Can’t Stop Drafting – Plus 2 Other Late-Round Second-Year Breakout Candidates

Originally published August 5, Corbin Young reminds us of inexpensive second-year breakout candidates, including one who blew up in the first preseason game. In a recent article, I looked at three second-year breakout wide receivers. We used Blair Andrews’ previous research to help identify players. That article included three second-year receivers ready to breakout in 2021. But none of those three players are particularly cheap, with…...

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How to Press the Advantage of Your Travis Kelce Teams: 99% of Drafters Ignore These 3 Simple Steps That Will Double Your Expected Win Rates

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet explains the three roster-building guidelines to follow after drafting Travis Kelce and running back in the first two rounds to more than double your baseline win rate. In the 2019 season when Christian McCaffrey had the legendary 448.4 PPR fantasy point season, best ball managers that had him on their team won an insane 36.9% of the time. Considering 8.3% is the baseline…...

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Finding The Intersection Between Value and Upside: Three Tight Ends To Target In Single-Season Leagues

Sam Wallace uses the Strength of Schedule Streaming App to identify three tight ends with favorable early-season schedules that are also priced at a value. In my latest piece, I sought to identify three quarterbacks with the perfect blend of early-season value and upside for those in single-quarterback leagues. Today, the goal is the same, but the position is different: tight ends. A notoriously tricky…...

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Dual Threat Quarterbacks and Small School Playmakers Headline 17 Players to Watch from Notre Dame and the Group of Five

Travis May breaks down several potential early-round quarterbacks, perhaps the best small-school running backs in the nation, and some highly productive receivers who could earn some serious draft capital. Travis helps you understand their athletic and production profiles, tells you where they rank now in devy, and projects their future NFL Draft capital. Notre Dame and Group of Five Preview… Membership Required You must be...

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