Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers. Well-validated models are the best and most unbiased forecast of NFL receiver production there is.((The air yards model combined four separate machine learning models into one ensemble model. The models used included a Bayesian neural net, a nearest neighbors algorithm, a random forest algorithm and a…...

Editor’s Note: John Lapinski won the 2017 RotoViz Writing Contest. His winning entry is here; the following version has been updated to reflect the NFL draft. If you’d like to write for RotoViz, we have a standing offer for new writers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Earlier this offseason I looked at which teams got lucky in 2016 from a sabermetrics perspective regarding won-loss record. Using each team’s Pythagorean win percentage, we can use their 2017 schedules to give an estimate of wins for each team in 2017…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Going into the 2016 season, me and my RotoViz Report podcast co-host Anthony Amico were on an island, given our love for Jay Ajayi as a value in the middle rounds…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

I first read about yards before contact or “vision yards” in this article by Zero RB inventor Shawn Siegele. He explained that while it’s useful to see which running backs had the best blocking, it also helps to identify which backs got more than what was blocked on average…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log...

Not since Greg Bell suited up for the 1990 Raiders a year after scoring 15 rushing touchdowns for the Rams has a single-season rushing touchdown leader played for a different team the next season. Sadly, Bell’s landmark is now consigned to history, after the Eagles signed former Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount to a one-year deal…. Membership Required You must be a member to access...

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

We posted our 2017 dynasty rookie rankings earlier this week; now it’s time for us to plant some flags as individual analysts. Here are five rookies I like more than our overall rookie rankings. Jonnu Smith, TE, Tennessee Titans RotoViz Rank 31.4 — My Rank 15 I’m handily the highest on Jonnu Smith, so let me briefly explain why. Smith earned the highest likelihood of…...

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks are about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

We just released our 2017 Post-Draft rookie rankings, where 23 RotoViz contributors ranked the rookies 1-50 (or even deeper in some cases). The composite rankings are great because the provide a bit of a wisdom of the crowd approach to rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

The Los Angeles Chargers made waves on draft day, selecting Clemson’s Mike Williams seventh overall. For a team loaded with pass catchers including Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, and Dontrelle Inman, the move signified a lack of faith in Keenan Allen’s ability to stay healthy and produce at a WR1 level…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in...

Now that the NFL draft is complete, and the initial wave of undrafted free agent signings is over, it’s time to update our rookie rankings. The RotoViz crew got together at our lab and cooked up a fresh batch of dynasty fantasy football rookie ranks…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

After the NFL draft ended, and the people of Philadelphia booed Roger Goodell for the final time (at least to his face), the process of adding players who had not heard their names called by the NFL teams began…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Once the NFL draft ends, there is one thing we can be certain of every year: Rookie Derangement Syndrome is going to set in. That means the hype and excitement over rookie picks is about to peak. Everyone wants to move up in the draft, acquire more picks, or simply get “their guy”…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

If you’ve been reading RotoViz for any significant amount of time, you’re undoubtedly familiar with Shawn Siegele’s Zero RB article. And while some may disagree after the 2016 “RB revival,” zero RB is a viable strategy in MFL10s, but it requires you to find consistent production in the mid-to-late rounds of the draft…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership...

This year two running backs – Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey – were taken in the first round of the NFL draft. In solidarity, dynasty owners are drafting them with top-three rookie picks. This synchronicity has occurred 18 times in the last nine years, with noteworthy results…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

Now that the draft is over I’m excited to report that I’ve finished my air yards model for NFL receivers…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...