Kevin Szafraniec breaks down how the arrival of Ben Johnson in Chicago will alter the Bears’ approach in 2025 and explains why it may be wise to temper expectations for a wholesale turnaround from Caleb Williams and company in Year 1. When it comes to coaching hires, Chicago’s signing of former Lions’ offensive coordinator Ben Johnson was about as big as they get. Last offseason,…...

We’ve examined six small gap backfields in two previous articles, including three with rookies adding to the uncertainty and the one team with three rushers inside the top 150 in ADP. In the past, we’ve looked at big-gap and small-gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or…...

Kevin Szafraniec details the steps the Giants have taken this offseason to turn the franchise around and explains why not even continued struggles on offense can slow down Malik Nabers’ ascension to superstar status. Brian Daboll’s tenure as the Giants’ head coach started off with a promising debut in 2022, finishing the season with a winning record and making a trip to the divisional round…...

Shawn Siegele explores the profile of a controversial 2025 wide receiver option. Is he an overrated cult favorite in a ready-made bust situation, or is he the most important fantasy WR in all of football? After the first 10 WRs are off the board in 2025, we have very limited options for additional, non-rookie WRs who might join that group in 2026. Fortunately, we do…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains how continuing to operate with Buffalo’s offensive blueprint from 2024 should keep Josh Allen’s elite fantasy production going for the foreseeable future and why 2025 could be the year he and the Bills get over the hump in the AFC. Over the past five seasons, the Buffalo Bills have won five AFC East championships. During that span, they have made it to…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains why there will be a thin path to success for a rebuilding Saints’ roster in 2025, but their top fantasy assets still have a chance to deliver through quantity, if not by quality. Since Drew Brees retired in 2021, the Saints have been perpetuating a rebuild, often at the expense of their salary cap via contract restructures and stopgap signings. To be…...

Kevin Szafraniec details why the Steelers are ready to continue their winning ways with an upgraded defense and a rejuvenated rushing attack, despite the additions of Aaron Rodgers and D.K. Metcalf garnering the majority of the attention this offseason.  Year in and year out, Mike Tomlin has proved that he knows what it takes to keep the Steelers on the positive side of the win…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains how the arrival of Klint Kubiak could produce a sea change across the Seahawks offense and why Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet are set up to become the primary beneficiaries. Following Seattle’s 14-year run under Pete Carroll, 2024 saw the Seahawks go in a new direction with first-time head coach Mike Macdonald. By nearly all accounts, Macdonald’s first season at the…...

Kevin Szafraniec details why Indianapolis’ current quarterback situation has the potential to limit the 2025 upside of the entire offense and how perpetuating the situation could have negative effects on the team’s long-term outlook. Quarterback purgatory can be a reality for NFL franchises, and the Colts currently find themselves in the midst of this situation. The Colts have constructed a solid roster and, after two…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains why the Commanders’ moves this offseason have them in win-now mode, but the fragility of their offense could be cause for concern for their Super Bowl aspirations and fantasy managers alike. Washington caught lightning in a bottle in 2024, as Jayden Daniels and a new coaching staff transformed one of the worst teams in the league from the year prior into a…...

Kevin Szafraniec discusses whether the New England front office has done everything possible to put franchise quarterback Drake Maye in the best position to succeed or if the Patriots are hindering him from reaching his ceiling. The Patriots franchise has been on a steady decline since Tom Brady left Foxboro for the sunny beaches of Tampa Bay. Bill Belichick hung around for four additional seasons,…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains why the drop-off in Tampa Bay’s high-scoring offense will not be as dramatic as many are predicting following Liam Coen’s move to Jacksonville this offseason. Following a successful three-year stint with Tom Brady at the helm, the Buccaneers appeared to be heading into a rebuild in 2023 after the retirement of the storied signal caller. In to replace the legendary quarterback came…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains why Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty could pace their respective positions in 2025 and how the Raiders’ offseason overhaul in the front office and on the sidelines will help them do it. Since moving to Las Vegas in 2020, the Raiders have only recorded one winning season and have been largely mediocre, sporting a 36-48 record over the past five seasons. Unfortunately,…...

In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where there is an ADP gap of 98.5…...

Kevin Szafraniec explains why turnover on Detroit’s coaching staff could lead to a shift in how the Lions win games this season. But fantasy managers need not worry too much; Detroit’s superstars should continue to score fantasy points in bunches. Detroit head coach Dan Campbell and general manager Brad Holmes have transformed the Lions from a perennial punchline into one of the most explosive and…...