Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2024 Is a Race to the Tier Breaks: 3 Key Tactics and 11 Priority Players to Help You Win

Shawn Siegele explores three races best-ball drafters have to win in 2024 and helps you hit the tape first with tactics from the RotoViz tools and research. The 2024 MFL10 of Death began last week in its 11th incarnation. This charity league organized by Pat Thorman includes 11 of my favorite fantasy analysts. As a one-off league with full-season scoring, it allows fantasy’s best minds…...

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Is Najee Harris Finally a Bargain? 2 Small Gap Backfields With New Offensive Coordinators

In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...

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The Unbearable Weight of Massive Opportunity: It’s Blake Corum Versus Kyren Williams, Winner-Take-All, for One of Fantasy’s Most Prestigious Assignments, or is It?

This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...

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You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

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WR Early and Often Has Dominated Best Ball Mania But Is That a Historical Fluke? Simulating Thousands of Seasons and Millions of Teams to Find the Answer

Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...

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Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

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Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 2: 2 WRs and 2 TEs Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team

On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 1: 4 Players Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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The Roster Construction Explorer Provides a Key Hack for Beating the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament

Shawn Siegele dials up the RotoViz Roster Construction Explorer and looks at a key hack for beating the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. Last year was a lot of fun in the Main Event with two teams placing in the money during the race (No. 30 overall with Ben Gretch and No. 125 overall with Colm Kelly). I loved the sweat with Ben as we…...

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Elite Onesies, Bye Weeks, and Opportunity Cost: The High-Wire Balancing Act of a Real-Life Underdog Draft

As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...

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Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

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Shawn Siegele’s 27 Priority Targets for Summer FFPC Drafts

After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...

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Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

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Combining the Rankings and ADP Apps to Crush Your Drafts: The Must-Have Picks at 2 Key Positions

As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...

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Jaylen Warren is Still Criminally Undervalued: Deciphering the Potential Outcomes for the 2024 Steelers Backfield

In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...

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Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit

While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...

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Is Week 17 All That Matters? Best Ball Mania 5 Is My Favorite Prize Structure Yet

Underdog’s Best Ball Mania 5 boasts a staggering $15,000,000 prize pool, promising to turn one lucky drafter into a millionaire and 19 others into six-figure winners. Michael Dubner breaks down the prize structure and how it impacts our drafting strategy. Two years ago, I collaborated with friend of RotoViz Peter Overzet on the viral “Week 17 is all that matters” video that became the meme…...

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Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

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2024 Is a Race to the Tier Breaks: 3 Key Tactics and 11 Priority Players to Help You Win

Shawn Siegele explores three races best-ball drafters have to win in 2024 and helps you hit the tape first with tactics from the RotoViz tools and research. The 2024 MFL10 of Death began last week in its 11th incarnation. This charity league organized by Pat Thorman includes 11 of my favorite fantasy analysts. As a one-off league with full-season scoring, it allows fantasy’s best minds…...

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Is Najee Harris Finally a Bargain? 2 Small Gap Backfields With New Offensive Coordinators

In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...

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The Unbearable Weight of Massive Opportunity: It’s Blake Corum Versus Kyren Williams, Winner-Take-All, for One of Fantasy’s Most Prestigious Assignments, or is It?

This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...

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You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

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WR Early and Often Has Dominated Best Ball Mania But Is That a Historical Fluke? Simulating Thousands of Seasons and Millions of Teams to Find the Answer

Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...

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Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

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Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 2: 2 WRs and 2 TEs Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team

On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 1: 4 Players Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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The Roster Construction Explorer Provides a Key Hack for Beating the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament

Shawn Siegele dials up the RotoViz Roster Construction Explorer and looks at a key hack for beating the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. Last year was a lot of fun in the Main Event with two teams placing in the money during the race (No. 30 overall with Ben Gretch and No. 125 overall with Colm Kelly). I loved the sweat with Ben as we…...

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Elite Onesies, Bye Weeks, and Opportunity Cost: The High-Wire Balancing Act of a Real-Life Underdog Draft

As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...

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Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

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Shawn Siegele’s 27 Priority Targets for Summer FFPC Drafts

After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...

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Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

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Combining the Rankings and ADP Apps to Crush Your Drafts: The Must-Have Picks at 2 Key Positions

As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...

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Jaylen Warren is Still Criminally Undervalued: Deciphering the Potential Outcomes for the 2024 Steelers Backfield

In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...

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Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit

While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...

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Is Week 17 All That Matters? Best Ball Mania 5 Is My Favorite Prize Structure Yet

Underdog’s Best Ball Mania 5 boasts a staggering $15,000,000 prize pool, promising to turn one lucky drafter into a millionaire and 19 others into six-figure winners. Michael Dubner breaks down the prize structure and how it impacts our drafting strategy. Two years ago, I collaborated with friend of RotoViz Peter Overzet on the viral “Week 17 is all that matters” video that became the meme…...

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Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

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2024 Is a Race to the Tier Breaks: 3 Key Tactics and 11 Priority Players to Help You Win

Shawn Siegele explores three races best-ball drafters have to win in 2024 and helps you hit the tape first with tactics from the RotoViz tools and research. The 2024 MFL10 of Death began last week in its 11th incarnation. This charity league organized by Pat Thorman includes 11 of my favorite fantasy analysts. As a one-off league with full-season scoring, it allows fantasy’s best minds…...

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Is Najee Harris Finally a Bargain? 2 Small Gap Backfields With New Offensive Coordinators

In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...

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The Unbearable Weight of Massive Opportunity: It’s Blake Corum Versus Kyren Williams, Winner-Take-All, for One of Fantasy’s Most Prestigious Assignments, or is It?

This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...

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You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

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WR Early and Often Has Dominated Best Ball Mania But Is That a Historical Fluke? Simulating Thousands of Seasons and Millions of Teams to Find the Answer

Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...

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Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

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Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 2: 2 WRs and 2 TEs Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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Stuck in a Bad-Draft-Slot Rut? Mix Things Up and Get Your Guys with the All-Reach Team

On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...

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Forgiveness is the Key to Healing, Part 1: 4 Players Who Burned Best Ball Teams Last Season, But Deserve Another Chance in 2024

Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...

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The Roster Construction Explorer Provides a Key Hack for Beating the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament

Shawn Siegele dials up the RotoViz Roster Construction Explorer and looks at a key hack for beating the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. Last year was a lot of fun in the Main Event with two teams placing in the money during the race (No. 30 overall with Ben Gretch and No. 125 overall with Colm Kelly). I loved the sweat with Ben as we…...

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Elite Onesies, Bye Weeks, and Opportunity Cost: The High-Wire Balancing Act of a Real-Life Underdog Draft

As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...

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Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

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Shawn Siegele’s 27 Priority Targets for Summer FFPC Drafts

After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...

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Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

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Combining the Rankings and ADP Apps to Crush Your Drafts: The Must-Have Picks at 2 Key Positions

As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...

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Jaylen Warren is Still Criminally Undervalued: Deciphering the Potential Outcomes for the 2024 Steelers Backfield

In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...

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Correlation, Causation, Humility-Based Drafting, and the Importance of a Top-10 QB: How the Falcons Talked Themselves Into Michael Penix and How You Can Profit

While the Falcons’ selection of Michael Penix at No. 8 overall was a head scratcher — especially after the team signed Kirk Cousins — we can at least take solace in the fact that some explanation for the pick has since been made public. Here’s Albert Breer explaining how head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot pitched owner Arthur Blank on the notion…...

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Is Week 17 All That Matters? Best Ball Mania 5 Is My Favorite Prize Structure Yet

Underdog’s Best Ball Mania 5 boasts a staggering $15,000,000 prize pool, promising to turn one lucky drafter into a millionaire and 19 others into six-figure winners. Michael Dubner breaks down the prize structure and how it impacts our drafting strategy. Two years ago, I collaborated with friend of RotoViz Peter Overzet on the viral “Week 17 is all that matters” video that became the meme…...

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Troy Franklin Checks (Almost) All the Boxes and Is the Steal of Every Draft

When we’re talking about players who check all the boxes, we typically mean that they are players who perhaps don’t jump off the page, yet they do a little bit of everything. Justin Jefferson’s prospect profile didn’t wow us with massive market shares or blazing speed, but he was good at everything: he declared early, he broke out early, he hit all our favorite production…...

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