NOTE: Our tools will be updated each week as soon as data from our stats provider is available. Generally, data from Sunday’s games will be available early Tuesday afternoon. For an immediate look at the games from the previous weekend, please check out our Monday Review tool which includes a collection of preliminary stats.
While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...
Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...
Wide receivers are flying off fantasy football draft boards earlier than ever, creating a “WR avalanche” that’s reshaping best ball. Michael Dubner dives deep into the new best ball WR avalanche landscape, explores why WRs are going earlier than ever, and reveals the best ways to navigate the WR avalanche so you don’t get buried. Should we lean into Zero RB to get ahead of…...
Shawn Siegele explores three races best-ball drafters have to win in 2024 and helps you hit the tape first with tactics from the RotoViz tools and research. The 2024 MFL10 of Death began last week in its 11th incarnation. This charity league organized by Pat Thorman includes 11 of my favorite fantasy analysts. As a one-off league with full-season scoring, it allows fantasy’s best minds…...
In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...
This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...
Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...
Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...
Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...
Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....
Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...
On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...
Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...
Shawn Siegele dials up the RotoViz Roster Construction Explorer and looks at a key hack for beating the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. Last year was a lot of fun in the Main Event with two teams placing in the money during the race (No. 30 overall with Ben Gretch and No. 125 overall with Colm Kelly). I loved the sweat with Ben as we…...
As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...
The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...
After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...
Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...
As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...
In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...
While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...
Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...
Wide receivers are flying off fantasy football draft boards earlier than ever, creating a “WR avalanche” that’s reshaping best ball. Michael Dubner dives deep into the new best ball WR avalanche landscape, explores why WRs are going earlier than ever, and reveals the best ways to navigate the WR avalanche so you don’t get buried. Should we lean into Zero RB to get ahead of…...
Shawn Siegele explores three races best-ball drafters have to win in 2024 and helps you hit the tape first with tactics from the RotoViz tools and research. The 2024 MFL10 of Death began last week in its 11th incarnation. This charity league organized by Pat Thorman includes 11 of my favorite fantasy analysts. As a one-off league with full-season scoring, it allows fantasy’s best minds…...
In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...
This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...
Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...
Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...
Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...
Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....
Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...
On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...
Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...
Shawn Siegele dials up the RotoViz Roster Construction Explorer and looks at a key hack for beating the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. Last year was a lot of fun in the Main Event with two teams placing in the money during the race (No. 30 overall with Ben Gretch and No. 125 overall with Colm Kelly). I loved the sweat with Ben as we…...
As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...
The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...
After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...
Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...
As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...
In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...
While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...
Welcome to our first team-specific projection of 2024. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands of times. This year, I have added steps to better understand how a player’s fantasy scoring could…...
Wide receivers are flying off fantasy football draft boards earlier than ever, creating a “WR avalanche” that’s reshaping best ball. Michael Dubner dives deep into the new best ball WR avalanche landscape, explores why WRs are going earlier than ever, and reveals the best ways to navigate the WR avalanche so you don’t get buried. Should we lean into Zero RB to get ahead of…...
Shawn Siegele explores three races best-ball drafters have to win in 2024 and helps you hit the tape first with tactics from the RotoViz tools and research. The 2024 MFL10 of Death began last week in its 11th incarnation. This charity league organized by Pat Thorman includes 11 of my favorite fantasy analysts. As a one-off league with full-season scoring, it allows fantasy’s best minds…...
In the past, we’ve looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and…...
This side of Kyle Shanahan, there is no one in the NFL touted for their offensive genius quite like Sean McVay, who took over as the head coach of the Rams at the age of 30 in 2017 and immediately turned a troubled slog of an offense into a juggernaut. Truly, McVay and Shanahan are entwined, because they each served at the feet of the…...
Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...
Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...
Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...
Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....
Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...
On some podcast episodes, Shawn has noted — when lamenting the preponderance of late picks in his Best Ball Mania 5 portfolio — that if you don’t get a top-10 pick, you basically don’t have access to any first-round values. (Of course, that assumes a rational drafter takes Garrett Wilson ahead of ADP, leaving you with A.J. Brown as an ADP — but not rankings…...
Cautionary tales abound warning of the risks involved when dealing with unrequited love. Just turn on any Lifetime movie if you don’t believe me. As a fantasy football player, at times I have found myself to be just as irrational as any scorned lover in a made-for-TV movie. Being too quick to write off an underperforming player, and/or refusing to heed evidence that is contrary…...
Shawn Siegele dials up the RotoViz Roster Construction Explorer and looks at a key hack for beating the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. Last year was a lot of fun in the Main Event with two teams placing in the money during the race (No. 30 overall with Ben Gretch and No. 125 overall with Colm Kelly). I loved the sweat with Ben as we…...
As results try to stay ahead of wide receiver inflation, the 2024 landscape offers serious pressure to load up on the position early, especially as RB options in Rounds 2 through 5 are less appealing. Yet this is easier said than done in some ways. It’s also more important than ever to come away with at least one — and in some cases preferably two…...
The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...
After an exciting 2023 FFPC season where he placed two Main Event teams and reached an FFPC best ball finals for the third straight year, Shawn Siegele provides an early look at his priority targets for the summer. In the past, I’ve put my priority targets list out in August to get subscribers ready for their most important Main Event and home league drafts. As…...
Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...
As a drafter, my style is a little unique in that I place less emphasis on having my own player takes and more on more general drafting skills. I want to focus on being able to: Navigate tiers within positions effectively Make good decisions on risers and fallers Position myself where I’m able to take the best values in the middle rounds without getting locked…...
In 2023, Jaylen Warren outpaced Najee Harris in PPR points despite receiving 50 fewer opportunities than the former first-round pick. Since Warren’s rookie year, it has been evident to most people (at least outside of the Steelers organization) that the former undrafted free agent is — to put it bluntly — just a flat-out better football player than Harris. With the two Steelers running backs’…...
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