Monty Phan

Lead writer focusing on high-stakes fantasy football. 2017 FFPC Main Event regular season points champion. 4-time FFPC Main Event league winner. 2018 FFPC Bare Knuckle league champ.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

FFPC Strategy Sessions: Attacking High-Stakes Dynasty Startups With One of the World’s Top Players, Part 2

While trying to find ways to fight shelter-in-place boredom in this sports-deprived environment, I’ve taken on (probably too many) new FFPC dynasty teams, which inspired this guide to how I’ve built teams in four different formats: standard (one quarterback) and superflex head-to-head leagues, and standard and superflex best-ball squads. The first part focused on my general philosophy as well as the quarterback and running back…...

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3 Early TEs Who Could Disappoint and 1 Cheaper Alternative

The calendar turning to June means the redraft season is about to pick up. If you are starting to begin your research and gather insight to prepare for your upcoming draft, you may notice some names and orders of names near the top of current ADP lists from what you may have remembered at the end of last season. Offseason hype, coach speak, free agency…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Attacking High-Stakes Dynasty Startups With One of the World’s Top Players, Part 1

Monty won’t come out and say this, of course, but he’s one of the top high-stakes players in the world. He’s also an FFPC veteran with a wealth of experience in their various formats. I asked him to discuss his approach to FFPC dynasty leagues, including startups, orphans, and rookie drafts, and I’m excited to get his thoughts on both classic and superflex leagues. In…...

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2020 Historical Distribution Scores: Why Range of Outcome Distributions Matter and You’re Probably Thinking About Upside Incorrectly

Teams that win fantasy championships have one, often multiple, player(s) that significantly outperform ADP. Conservatism rarely pushes teams to the top of their leagues’ standings. In fact, it often works against them, anchoring them to the middle of the pack. This isn’t a new idea and we often talk about upside on the site. Historically, we’ve offered a number of tools that provide snapshots of…...

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Recency Bias and the Natural Tendency to Zag: Why Zero RB Is Set to Crush in 2020

Zig when others zag. It’s a common refrain in the fantasy community, but here’s the thing: Not that many people actually do it. Over the years, RotoViz has become well-known for its contrarian beliefs, most notably with Shawn Siegele’s famous Zero RB article. More than six years later, Zero RB is still one of the most hotly debated topics in fantasy football. Zig when others…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020: Superflex QB Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Superflex QB Edition, Curtis Patrick states his case for three quarterbacks he’s buying right now. Are they good fits for your team? Read on and find out. Superflex has finally taken its place as the preferred format for new dynasty startups in the community. In 2020, over 40% of dynasty startup leagues on FPPC have been Superflex, and over…...

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3 Running Backs To Target For Future Upside

One concept that fantasy owners have become enamored with recently is the need to “buy low” and “sell high.” At its core, I don’t have an issue with that concept. If you can stay one step ahead of changing values up and down your roster, you should. However, given the right context and situation, any player can be bought or sold regardless of price. Attacking…...

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How You Draft Quarterbacks Can Determine Your Fate in Superflex Best Ball Leagues

Getting the quarterback position right in best ball leagues is one of the easiest and most effective ways to gain an advantage. Simply picking the right number of QBs in the right rounds gives you an immediate edge, before we even get to the problem of individual player selection. But what if you’re in a Superflex best ball draft? The FFPC has offered Superflex best…...

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FFPC Redraft Command Center

  Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP

Identifying Upside Fantasy Defenses For Your Top Best Ball Targets

Choosing the right defensive roster construction is one of the key tactical ingredients of a winning roster. In 20-round drafts, there are some clear takeaways. Early defenses are a trap due to the low correlation of performance from year to year, but that’s not the biggest danger. Selecting just one, or even two defenses, is one of the easiest ways to fall behind from a…...

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SuperFlex Rankings

Dynasty sF/TE Premium rankings Please subscribe to Access this content!  What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,

Best Ball Workshop: Foundations of Success – The Best 2-Round Starts May Not Be What You Expect

In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several…...

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2020 Ranges of Outcomes: Using Historical Data to Predict and Visualize 2020 Player Performance

The RotoViz Team recently released an updated version of our Range of Outcomes App. This tool helps users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. In this article, Dave Caban overviews the process of building the tool and interpreting its results. Austin Ekeler was awesome in 2019. He finished as an RB1 in seven weeks and was the RB6…...

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Sophomore Sensations: Which Second Year Wide Receiver Is Poised To Have The Best 2020 Season?

Welcome to summer! Well, not officially yet, I suppose, but Memorial Day Weekend is often seen as the unofficial start of summer. With that in mind, I figured I would debut my first redraft-focused piece of the offseason. For all you dynasty players, no worries. There will still be plenty of content coming for you. Besides, focusing on one-year cycles (like redraft) is a useful…...

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Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....

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Can These 2 Third-Year WRs Break Into the Elite Tier?

Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being…...

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Big Surprises in the Live and Loaded Black Crown Rookie Draft: Breaking Down All 4 Rounds of the Superflex Spectacle

Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with…...

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5 Notable Fallers in High Stakes Leagues Since the NFL Draft

It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since…...

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Re-Selecting Every Rookie Draft of the Last 5 Years and Why Going Through the Exercise Might Change the Way You Draft

Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well…...

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3 Deep Sleepers Who Could Break Into Your Starting Lineup

Startup drafts can get long and tedious once you hit a certain point. The eight-hour timer between picks, the endless negotiating and postering for every selection, and the seemingly fewer options the deeper you go. You may find yourself taking guys to keep things moving after a while. Here’s something that we all know to be true but often find hard to remember and put…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Attacking High-Stakes Dynasty Startups With One of the World’s Top Players, Part 2

While trying to find ways to fight shelter-in-place boredom in this sports-deprived environment, I’ve taken on (probably too many) new FFPC dynasty teams, which inspired this guide to how I’ve built teams in four different formats: standard (one quarterback) and superflex head-to-head leagues, and standard and superflex best-ball squads. The first part focused on my general philosophy as well as the quarterback and running back…...

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3 Early TEs Who Could Disappoint and 1 Cheaper Alternative

The calendar turning to June means the redraft season is about to pick up. If you are starting to begin your research and gather insight to prepare for your upcoming draft, you may notice some names and orders of names near the top of current ADP lists from what you may have remembered at the end of last season. Offseason hype, coach speak, free agency…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Attacking High-Stakes Dynasty Startups With One of the World’s Top Players, Part 1

Monty won’t come out and say this, of course, but he’s one of the top high-stakes players in the world. He’s also an FFPC veteran with a wealth of experience in their various formats. I asked him to discuss his approach to FFPC dynasty leagues, including startups, orphans, and rookie drafts, and I’m excited to get his thoughts on both classic and superflex leagues. In…...

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2020 Historical Distribution Scores: Why Range of Outcome Distributions Matter and You’re Probably Thinking About Upside Incorrectly

Teams that win fantasy championships have one, often multiple, player(s) that significantly outperform ADP. Conservatism rarely pushes teams to the top of their leagues’ standings. In fact, it often works against them, anchoring them to the middle of the pack. This isn’t a new idea and we often talk about upside on the site. Historically, we’ve offered a number of tools that provide snapshots of…...

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Recency Bias and the Natural Tendency to Zag: Why Zero RB Is Set to Crush in 2020

Zig when others zag. It’s a common refrain in the fantasy community, but here’s the thing: Not that many people actually do it. Over the years, RotoViz has become well-known for its contrarian beliefs, most notably with Shawn Siegele’s famous Zero RB article. More than six years later, Zero RB is still one of the most hotly debated topics in fantasy football. Zig when others…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020: Superflex QB Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Superflex QB Edition, Curtis Patrick states his case for three quarterbacks he’s buying right now. Are they good fits for your team? Read on and find out. Superflex has finally taken its place as the preferred format for new dynasty startups in the community. In 2020, over 40% of dynasty startup leagues on FPPC have been Superflex, and over…...

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3 Running Backs To Target For Future Upside

One concept that fantasy owners have become enamored with recently is the need to “buy low” and “sell high.” At its core, I don’t have an issue with that concept. If you can stay one step ahead of changing values up and down your roster, you should. However, given the right context and situation, any player can be bought or sold regardless of price. Attacking…...

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How You Draft Quarterbacks Can Determine Your Fate in Superflex Best Ball Leagues

Getting the quarterback position right in best ball leagues is one of the easiest and most effective ways to gain an advantage. Simply picking the right number of QBs in the right rounds gives you an immediate edge, before we even get to the problem of individual player selection. But what if you’re in a Superflex best ball draft? The FFPC has offered Superflex best…...

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FFPC Redraft Command Center

  Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP

Identifying Upside Fantasy Defenses For Your Top Best Ball Targets

Choosing the right defensive roster construction is one of the key tactical ingredients of a winning roster. In 20-round drafts, there are some clear takeaways. Early defenses are a trap due to the low correlation of performance from year to year, but that’s not the biggest danger. Selecting just one, or even two defenses, is one of the easiest ways to fall behind from a…...

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SuperFlex Rankings

Dynasty sF/TE Premium rankings Please subscribe to Access this content!  What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,

Best Ball Workshop: Foundations of Success – The Best 2-Round Starts May Not Be What You Expect

In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several…...

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2020 Ranges of Outcomes: Using Historical Data to Predict and Visualize 2020 Player Performance

The RotoViz Team recently released an updated version of our Range of Outcomes App. This tool helps users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. In this article, Dave Caban overviews the process of building the tool and interpreting its results. Austin Ekeler was awesome in 2019. He finished as an RB1 in seven weeks and was the RB6…...

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Sophomore Sensations: Which Second Year Wide Receiver Is Poised To Have The Best 2020 Season?

Welcome to summer! Well, not officially yet, I suppose, but Memorial Day Weekend is often seen as the unofficial start of summer. With that in mind, I figured I would debut my first redraft-focused piece of the offseason. For all you dynasty players, no worries. There will still be plenty of content coming for you. Besides, focusing on one-year cycles (like redraft) is a useful…...

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Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....

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Can These 2 Third-Year WRs Break Into the Elite Tier?

Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being…...

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Big Surprises in the Live and Loaded Black Crown Rookie Draft: Breaking Down All 4 Rounds of the Superflex Spectacle

Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with…...

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5 Notable Fallers in High Stakes Leagues Since the NFL Draft

It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since…...

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Re-Selecting Every Rookie Draft of the Last 5 Years and Why Going Through the Exercise Might Change the Way You Draft

Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well…...

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3 Deep Sleepers Who Could Break Into Your Starting Lineup

Startup drafts can get long and tedious once you hit a certain point. The eight-hour timer between picks, the endless negotiating and postering for every selection, and the seemingly fewer options the deeper you go. You may find yourself taking guys to keep things moving after a while. Here’s something that we all know to be true but often find hard to remember and put…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Attacking High-Stakes Dynasty Startups With One of the World’s Top Players, Part 2

While trying to find ways to fight shelter-in-place boredom in this sports-deprived environment, I’ve taken on (probably too many) new FFPC dynasty teams, which inspired this guide to how I’ve built teams in four different formats: standard (one quarterback) and superflex head-to-head leagues, and standard and superflex best-ball squads. The first part focused on my general philosophy as well as the quarterback and running back…...

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3 Early TEs Who Could Disappoint and 1 Cheaper Alternative

The calendar turning to June means the redraft season is about to pick up. If you are starting to begin your research and gather insight to prepare for your upcoming draft, you may notice some names and orders of names near the top of current ADP lists from what you may have remembered at the end of last season. Offseason hype, coach speak, free agency…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Attacking High-Stakes Dynasty Startups With One of the World’s Top Players, Part 1

Monty won’t come out and say this, of course, but he’s one of the top high-stakes players in the world. He’s also an FFPC veteran with a wealth of experience in their various formats. I asked him to discuss his approach to FFPC dynasty leagues, including startups, orphans, and rookie drafts, and I’m excited to get his thoughts on both classic and superflex leagues. In…...

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2020 Historical Distribution Scores: Why Range of Outcome Distributions Matter and You’re Probably Thinking About Upside Incorrectly

Teams that win fantasy championships have one, often multiple, player(s) that significantly outperform ADP. Conservatism rarely pushes teams to the top of their leagues’ standings. In fact, it often works against them, anchoring them to the middle of the pack. This isn’t a new idea and we often talk about upside on the site. Historically, we’ve offered a number of tools that provide snapshots of…...

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Recency Bias and the Natural Tendency to Zag: Why Zero RB Is Set to Crush in 2020

Zig when others zag. It’s a common refrain in the fantasy community, but here’s the thing: Not that many people actually do it. Over the years, RotoViz has become well-known for its contrarian beliefs, most notably with Shawn Siegele’s famous Zero RB article. More than six years later, Zero RB is still one of the most hotly debated topics in fantasy football. Zig when others…...

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Dynasty Trade Targets 2020: Superflex QB Edition

In Dynasty Trade Targets 2020 – Superflex QB Edition, Curtis Patrick states his case for three quarterbacks he’s buying right now. Are they good fits for your team? Read on and find out. Superflex has finally taken its place as the preferred format for new dynasty startups in the community. In 2020, over 40% of dynasty startup leagues on FPPC have been Superflex, and over…...

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3 Running Backs To Target For Future Upside

One concept that fantasy owners have become enamored with recently is the need to “buy low” and “sell high.” At its core, I don’t have an issue with that concept. If you can stay one step ahead of changing values up and down your roster, you should. However, given the right context and situation, any player can be bought or sold regardless of price. Attacking…...

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How You Draft Quarterbacks Can Determine Your Fate in Superflex Best Ball Leagues

Getting the quarterback position right in best ball leagues is one of the easiest and most effective ways to gain an advantage. Simply picking the right number of QBs in the right rounds gives you an immediate edge, before we even get to the problem of individual player selection. But what if you’re in a Superflex best ball draft? The FFPC has offered Superflex best…...

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FFPC Redraft Command Center

  Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP

Identifying Upside Fantasy Defenses For Your Top Best Ball Targets

Choosing the right defensive roster construction is one of the key tactical ingredients of a winning roster. In 20-round drafts, there are some clear takeaways. Early defenses are a trap due to the low correlation of performance from year to year, but that’s not the biggest danger. Selecting just one, or even two defenses, is one of the easiest ways to fall behind from a…...

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SuperFlex Rankings

Dynasty sF/TE Premium rankings Please subscribe to Access this content!  What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat Explorer,

Best Ball Workshop: Foundations of Success – The Best 2-Round Starts May Not Be What You Expect

In the first five lessons of the 2020 Best Ball Workshop, we used the Roster Construction Explorer to provide the latest intel on each of the onesie positions. The insights from the 2019 Workshop led to sky-high win rates overall and dynamic results at the onesie positions. Now in Lesson 6, we move to the marquee positions of RB and WR. In the next several…...

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2020 Ranges of Outcomes: Using Historical Data to Predict and Visualize 2020 Player Performance

The RotoViz Team recently released an updated version of our Range of Outcomes App. This tool helps users to better understand a player’s realistic range of outcomes for the coming season. In this article, Dave Caban overviews the process of building the tool and interpreting its results. Austin Ekeler was awesome in 2019. He finished as an RB1 in seven weeks and was the RB6…...

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Sophomore Sensations: Which Second Year Wide Receiver Is Poised To Have The Best 2020 Season?

Welcome to summer! Well, not officially yet, I suppose, but Memorial Day Weekend is often seen as the unofficial start of summer. With that in mind, I figured I would debut my first redraft-focused piece of the offseason. For all you dynasty players, no worries. There will still be plenty of content coming for you. Besides, focusing on one-year cycles (like redraft) is a useful…...

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Predicting Future NFL Draft Capital for Wide Receivers

First off, predicting the NFL Draft pick by pick is truly impossible. That’s not what we’re trying to do here. When it comes to fantasy football we like to see wide receivers drafted in Rounds 1-3 of the NFL Draft. Those receivers typically produce fantasy points at a much higher rate than those drafted later or not at all. “Okay, cool. Yeah. Draft capital matters…....

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Can These 2 Third-Year WRs Break Into the Elite Tier?

Year 2 has always been a big year for wide receivers, and last year’s sophomore class certainly did not disappoint: four different players eclipsed the breakout threshold of 200 PPR points, the most since 2015, rewarding owners who took advantage of perhaps the biggest edge in fantasy football. Success doesn’t come cheap though, as all the previous breakouts from the 2018 draft class are being…...

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Big Surprises in the Live and Loaded Black Crown Rookie Draft: Breaking Down All 4 Rounds of the Superflex Spectacle

Last night, Curtis Patrick held the inaugural rookie draft for the Black Crown Dynasty League live on zoom. It was a raucous and festive occasion with many of my favorite writers in the dynasty community – T.J. Calkins, Ryan McDowell, Patrick Kerrane, J.J. Zachariason, Rich Hribar, Matthew Freedman, Scott Barrett, Tyler Buecher, Danny Kelly, and John Daigle. This is a Superflex, TE Premium league with…...

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5 Notable Fallers in High Stakes Leagues Since the NFL Draft

It seems like 100 years or more since the 2020 NFL Draft. But I assure you, it was only last month. Since the last name was called at the event, nearly 150 high stakes drafts have taken place over at the FFPC. I thought it would be interesting to take a look at five players who have experienced something of a drop in popularity since…...

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Re-Selecting Every Rookie Draft of the Last 5 Years and Why Going Through the Exercise Might Change the Way You Draft

Shawn Siegele goes through the last five rookie drafts and explores what each draft would look like if it took place today. It’s always fun to go back and ask the question What if? It can also help us calibrate our expectations for the future. What should be the core of our dynasty startup teams? What is the hit rate for rookie picks? How well…...

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3 Deep Sleepers Who Could Break Into Your Starting Lineup

Startup drafts can get long and tedious once you hit a certain point. The eight-hour timer between picks, the endless negotiating and postering for every selection, and the seemingly fewer options the deeper you go. You may find yourself taking guys to keep things moving after a while. Here’s something that we all know to be true but often find hard to remember and put…...

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