Neil Dutton

Lead Writer, soft spot for the tight end position. Will never stop loving Duke Johnson.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season…...

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Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over…...

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Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally…...

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NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin…...

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Week 15 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 15 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: Dede Stepping Into Big Role

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 14 Yahoo! DFS. As always, within this article you will see screenshots from various amazing tools that RotoViz provides, such as the Stat Explorer, GLSP Projections, Pace App, Game Splits…...

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DK Buffet Week 15: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes for either a positive or a negative reason. It informs us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +2 vs Cleveland | Total:…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 15

The Fantasy Football Ghost presents us four more players to target in Week 15 FanDuel cash games. I honestly didn’t think it could get worse than Week 13 but our players found new ways to let us down in Week 14. Ryan Griffin got injured on his first target and exited the game. Sony Michel and the Patriots looked outright confused against Kansas City en route to their…...

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Week 15 DraftKings Targets: Adapting To The Injury Carnage

The full-blown injury carnage from week 14 brings role changes for a lot of teams, and it potentially changes expectations for whole offenses. With week 15 being among the most important for year-long fantasy leagues as well, instead of breaking this down by position with a few top games, I’m going to hit each game from a DFS perspective, but also try to give some…...

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Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming Week 15

The Process Before I look to Week 15, it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 14 Rank 1 Mason Crosby, Green Bay Packers FG 3/3 XP…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 15

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 15 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 15 Reported lines are current as of December 12, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. NYJ @ BAL: Since Week 13, Robby Anderson leads the Jets in target share IMPLIED: BAL 30.75,…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 15

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 15 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – Recent Moves by Allen Robinson and Robert Woods, and Why WRs Have Been Better Than Advertised

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to examine the wide receiver position. He explains why early-round WR dominance is still holding in 2019 and looks at recent risers like Allen Robinson, Robby Anderson, and Robert Woods. Best Ball Workshop – The Key Lesson Using the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer, the key lessons from the 2019 Best Ball Workshop were clear:…...

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The 3 and Out: Placing 2019 WRs In A Historical Context

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’ll be placing 2019 wide receiver results into a historical context. To assist with this effort, I hopped into the RotoViz Screener, searched all WR seasons from 2000 to 2019, constrained the results…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – He’s No Austin Ekeler, But Can Darwin Thompson Be the Guy for KC?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious AFC backfields ahead of Week 15. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying…...

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Week 15 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 15 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Week 15 is here. If you’re still reading this, congrats on being in the playoffs. If you’ve reached this point, chances are you have a comfortable situation at the quarterback position, or you’ve been reading my articles and streaming the right signal caller. So let’s…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 15 NFC – Aaron Jones Explodes, Raheem Mostert and Boston Scott Break Out

Shawn Siegele profiles Aaron Jones’ roller coaster season, examines Raheem Mostert’s breakout, and weighs in on Boston Scott’s opportunity – a look at the NFC running back committees ahead of Week 15. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points…...

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Week 15 Buy Low Report – Tyreek Hill is Getting Elite WR1 Volume and No One Seems to Care

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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2019 Week 15 Tight End Streamers

OK, last week was not great for the streamers. But if you managed to advance despite their poor showings, congratulations. But don’t rest on those laurels yet, there is another game week closing in. This week, given the importance, I’ll look to four players, giving you the pick of the best options out there on the waiver wires of the world. As always, these players…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season…...

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Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over…...

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Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally…...

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NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin…...

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Week 15 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 15 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: Dede Stepping Into Big Role

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 14 Yahoo! DFS. As always, within this article you will see screenshots from various amazing tools that RotoViz provides, such as the Stat Explorer, GLSP Projections, Pace App, Game Splits…...

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DK Buffet Week 15: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes for either a positive or a negative reason. It informs us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +2 vs Cleveland | Total:…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 15

The Fantasy Football Ghost presents us four more players to target in Week 15 FanDuel cash games. I honestly didn’t think it could get worse than Week 13 but our players found new ways to let us down in Week 14. Ryan Griffin got injured on his first target and exited the game. Sony Michel and the Patriots looked outright confused against Kansas City en route to their…...

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Week 15 DraftKings Targets: Adapting To The Injury Carnage

The full-blown injury carnage from week 14 brings role changes for a lot of teams, and it potentially changes expectations for whole offenses. With week 15 being among the most important for year-long fantasy leagues as well, instead of breaking this down by position with a few top games, I’m going to hit each game from a DFS perspective, but also try to give some…...

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Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming Week 15

The Process Before I look to Week 15, it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 14 Rank 1 Mason Crosby, Green Bay Packers FG 3/3 XP…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 15

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 15 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 15 Reported lines are current as of December 12, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. NYJ @ BAL: Since Week 13, Robby Anderson leads the Jets in target share IMPLIED: BAL 30.75,…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 15

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 15 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – Recent Moves by Allen Robinson and Robert Woods, and Why WRs Have Been Better Than Advertised

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to examine the wide receiver position. He explains why early-round WR dominance is still holding in 2019 and looks at recent risers like Allen Robinson, Robby Anderson, and Robert Woods. Best Ball Workshop – The Key Lesson Using the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer, the key lessons from the 2019 Best Ball Workshop were clear:…...

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The 3 and Out: Placing 2019 WRs In A Historical Context

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’ll be placing 2019 wide receiver results into a historical context. To assist with this effort, I hopped into the RotoViz Screener, searched all WR seasons from 2000 to 2019, constrained the results…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – He’s No Austin Ekeler, But Can Darwin Thompson Be the Guy for KC?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious AFC backfields ahead of Week 15. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying…...

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Week 15 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 15 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Week 15 is here. If you’re still reading this, congrats on being in the playoffs. If you’ve reached this point, chances are you have a comfortable situation at the quarterback position, or you’ve been reading my articles and streaming the right signal caller. So let’s…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 15 NFC – Aaron Jones Explodes, Raheem Mostert and Boston Scott Break Out

Shawn Siegele profiles Aaron Jones’ roller coaster season, examines Raheem Mostert’s breakout, and weighs in on Boston Scott’s opportunity – a look at the NFC running back committees ahead of Week 15. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points…...

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Week 15 Buy Low Report – Tyreek Hill is Getting Elite WR1 Volume and No One Seems to Care

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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2019 Week 15 Tight End Streamers

OK, last week was not great for the streamers. But if you managed to advance despite their poor showings, congratulations. But don’t rest on those laurels yet, there is another game week closing in. This week, given the importance, I’ll look to four players, giving you the pick of the best options out there on the waiver wires of the world. As always, these players…...

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Wide Receiver Target Report: Week 15

We are back once again with our weekly look at the wide receivers who saw the most targets in the last week of NFL action. Here’s the full list of WRs who commanded at least 10 targets in the last week of NFL action. Double-Digit Targets in Week 15 QUICK THOUGHTS You could be somewhat forgiven for thinking that 2019 has been a down season…...

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Why Do We Care About Expected Points? An Explanation in 4 Correlation Matrices

If you spend any time reading RotoViz, eventually you’ll hear us talking about expected points. Expected points (EP) are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation — down, distance, and field position. In other words, expected points allow us to transform raw opportunity, such as carries and targets, directly into fantasy points. From there we can…...

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Breshad Perriman’s Career Day Plunges the Fantasy Semifinals Into Chaos and Leads WRs in Points Over Expectation

Shawn Siegele looks at all the top wide receiver performances from Week 15, including big games from Breshad Perriman, Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker. The 2019 fantasy semifinals included plenty of shootouts. Thirteen WRs scored 20 or more points. Julio Jones and Chris Conley combined for 36 in the final stanza alone as they led their squads to improbable comebacks. The Week 15 fantasy points over…...

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Week 16 Waiver Wire Advice: Top Targets at Each Position

Looking for Week 16 waiver wire advice for fantasy football? You’ve come to the right place. We’ll give you some of the top targets at each position so that when you submit a waiver claim, you do it with confidence. We’re doing things a little different this week and only showing players that are worth consideration for Week 16, since fantasy’s championship weekend has finally…...

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NFL Week 15: Coin Flips

Monty Phan wraps up the weekend of NFL action. If you’re wondering what caused the greatest uproar in the NFL Twitterverse yesterday, it should come as no surprise that it was what everyone believed to be a miscommunicated call between Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Dak Prescott that could have had a huge effect on the rest of the game. It was the pregame coin…...

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Week 15 Primetime Slate DFS Breakdown

Who are the best plays for the Week 15 DFS primetime slate on DraftKings and FanDuel? Tyler Loechner runs through notes on the primetime short slate featuring SNF/MNF games.((An important note: I’m writing this column with tournaments and GPPs top of mind. Cash game plays on short slates are usually easier to figure out because the options are so thin; tournaments require quite a bit…...

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Dollars Per Opportunity: Dede Stepping Into Big Role

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our Game Level Similarity Projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Week 14 Yahoo! DFS. As always, within this article you will see screenshots from various amazing tools that RotoViz provides, such as the Stat Explorer, GLSP Projections, Pace App, Game Splits…...

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DK Buffet Week 15: Key Stats for the Main Slate on DraftKings

When I’m looking into the DFS slate each week, I like to go game by game and identify players or situations that intrigue me. In every game, on every team, there’s a situation that’s relevant for DFS purposes for either a positive or a negative reason. It informs us of how we should be attacking each slate. Arizona Cardinals Spread: +2 vs Cleveland | Total:…...

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FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 15

The Fantasy Football Ghost presents us four more players to target in Week 15 FanDuel cash games. I honestly didn’t think it could get worse than Week 13 but our players found new ways to let us down in Week 14. Ryan Griffin got injured on his first target and exited the game. Sony Michel and the Patriots looked outright confused against Kansas City en route to their…...

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Week 15 DraftKings Targets: Adapting To The Injury Carnage

The full-blown injury carnage from week 14 brings role changes for a lot of teams, and it potentially changes expectations for whole offenses. With week 15 being among the most important for year-long fantasy leagues as well, instead of breaking this down by position with a few top games, I’m going to hit each game from a DFS perspective, but also try to give some…...

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Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming Week 15

The Process Before I look to Week 15, it is important to observe if the selection process was effective. Here is a recap of last week’s recommendations. If you need a refresher on what to look for when analyzing kickers, read the Week 2 Fantasy Football Kicker Streaming article.  Name, Team Stat Line Week 14 Rank 1 Mason Crosby, Green Bay Packers FG 3/3 XP…...

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16 Stats to Know for DFS in Week 15

Utilizing RotoViz’s suite of creative tools, metrics, and filterable stats (all of which just keep getting better!), I unearthed 16 key stats to help you crush your Week 15 NFL DFS lineups. Vegas lines for Week 15 Reported lines are current as of December 12, 2019.[1]Provided by footballlocks.com. NYJ @ BAL: Since Week 13, Robby Anderson leads the Jets in target share IMPLIED: BAL 30.75,…...

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NFL FanDuel GPPs: What The Lineup Optimizer Is Telling Us To Do in Week 15

Michael Dubner uses the DFS Lineup Optimizer and other RotoViz tools to prepare for Week 15 GPPs on FanDuel. Large-field GPPs are primarily won in three key areas: 1) player projections, 2) roster construction, and 3) ownership. Groupthink can run rampant through the fantasy football grapevines and cause DFSers to concentrate on just one scenario in a player’s possible range of outcomes. What was once…...

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Best Ball Win Rates – Recent Moves by Allen Robinson and Robert Woods, and Why WRs Have Been Better Than Advertised

Shawn Siegele uses the Best Ball Win Rates tool to examine the wide receiver position. He explains why early-round WR dominance is still holding in 2019 and looks at recent risers like Allen Robinson, Robby Anderson, and Robert Woods. Best Ball Workshop – The Key Lesson Using the insights from Mike Beers’ Roster Construction Explorer, the key lessons from the 2019 Best Ball Workshop were clear:…...

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The 3 and Out: Placing 2019 WRs In A Historical Context

The 3 and Out uses several RotoViz Apps to uncover significant workload changes; league, team, and player-specific trends; and hidden but powerful statistics. Welcome back to The 3 and Out! In this week’s edition, we’ll be placing 2019 wide receiver results into a historical context. To assist with this effort, I hopped into the RotoViz Screener, searched all WR seasons from 2000 to 2019, constrained the results…...

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Zero RB Watch List: AFC Week 15 – He’s No Austin Ekeler, But Can Darwin Thompson Be the Guy for KC?

Blair Andrews examines the running back workloads for the most contentious AFC backfields ahead of Week 15. Almost every fantasy team can use a breakout RB, whether they were drafted as a Zero-RB squad or not. The Zero RB Watch List helps to find these breakout stars before they hit. But it also helps you understand which of the high-profile backs you should be buying…...

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Week 15 QB Rankings, Streaming Options, and 2-QB Plays

Giana Pacinelli provides QB streaming options, 2-QB plays, and overall QB rankings for Week 15 of the 2019 fantasy football season. Week 15 is here. If you’re still reading this, congrats on being in the playoffs. If you’ve reached this point, chances are you have a comfortable situation at the quarterback position, or you’ve been reading my articles and streaming the right signal caller. So let’s…...

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Zero RB Watch List: Week 15 NFC – Aaron Jones Explodes, Raheem Mostert and Boston Scott Break Out

Shawn Siegele profiles Aaron Jones’ roller coaster season, examines Raheem Mostert’s breakout, and weighs in on Boston Scott’s opportunity – a look at the NFC running back committees ahead of Week 15. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into the advanced stats for every team. Much of our focus is on how RBs score their points. We use expected points…...

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Week 15 Buy Low Report – Tyreek Hill is Getting Elite WR1 Volume and No One Seems to Care

The Strength of Schedule Streaming app allows you to see which players have the easiest or most difficult upcoming schedules, a potentially league-winning edge that gives you the opportunity to buy players right before they explode in plus matchups. Welcome back to the Buy Low Report. As usual, we will combine insight from the SoS Streaming App and the RotoViz Screener to identify players who…...

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2019 Week 15 Tight End Streamers

OK, last week was not great for the streamers. But if you managed to advance despite their poor showings, congratulations. But don’t rest on those laurels yet, there is another game week closing in. This week, given the importance, I’ll look to four players, giving you the pick of the best options out there on the waiver wires of the world. As always, these players…...

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