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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Obvious Outliers at Wide Receiver – An Easy Way to Profit in Redraft and Dynasty

The NFL is constantly evolving and yet history continues to repeat itself. You may have noticed most of the same wide receivers finish in the top producing spots every year. I wrote about this in 2016 and the trend hasn’t changed. I researched the top-24 PPR WRs since 2000 and discovered a small percentage are responsible for the overwhelming majority of fantasy production.  A lot…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Building a Juggernaut During the Single-Digit Rounds

This is the second article in a multi-part series on how to attack the high-stakes Main Event, the flagship contest of the Fantasy Football Players Championship that pits 2,400 teams against each other in a race for the $500,000 grand prize. In the FFPC Strategy Sessions, we learn from one of the best, the 2017 regular season Main Event points champion, Monty Phan. As I…...

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Christian McCaffrey Is the 1.01, Plus a Key Zero-RB Target: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 4

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...

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My Take on High Stakes: How A 10-Year Vet and Multiple Titlist Plans to Attack the FFPC Main Event

One of the top high stakes players in the world and an FFPC specialist, Monty Phan begins his series focused on dominating the FFPC Main Event. Whether you’re a beginner hoping to cut through those first several seasons of ineptitude or a top player looking to pick the brain of a peer, Monty’s series covers the key tactical elements for taking home your league title…....

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Vaccinate Your Fantasy Team Against an AB Negative Outcome

There are currently head to toe problems with Jon Gruden’s flashy new wide receiver acquisition in Oakland. While it will be an abject disaster for the Raiders if Antonio Brown misses games, who are the fantasy players that stand to benefit? Fortunately, we have a pretty good model for that outcome, since the Raiders ditched their star receiver on purpose last year after Week 6,…...

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The Bright Lights Are Back for Hollywood Higgins

Sources: #Browns WR Antonio Callaway is being suspended 4 games for a violation of the NFL’s substance abuse policy. He had been appealing this ruling. This may party explain why he’s been running with the reserves. — Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) August 9, 2019 This one tweet from Ian Rapoport pretty much consigns Antonio Callaway to the Cleveland Browns dog house. No, not the Dawg Pound…....

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Miles Sanders and Kenyan Drake Headline the Biggest Movers – 5 Risers and 5 Fallers in the FFPC

The superstars may be insulated, but for everyone else, livelihoods rest on the result of each training camp practice. Fantasy owners sit on the edge of their collective seats, waiting for each new highlight, each new beat report, each new coaching interview. Missing a single solitary revelation could be the difference between drafting D’Onta Foreman 15 minutes after he’s been released or waiting too long…...

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These 5 WRs Excel at Scoring Touchdowns and Nothing Will Slow Them Down

Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and thus score…...

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Sam Darnold May Be The Reason Denny Carter Didn’t Draft A QB In Apex Experts (Again)

Denny Carter doesn’t draft quarterbacks in the Apex Experts League, and it doesn’t slow him down. Last year, he won the title. Only 15 QBs were taken during this year’s festivities. Since the experts are playing this out for cash, we can assume they believe it’s the best way to win. Ben Roethlisberger, Kirk Cousins, Mitchell Trubisky, Josh Allen, and Tom Brady weren’t selected. Tom…...

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Finding Phillip Lindsay: 1 Rookie RB Poised for a Massive Depth Chart Climb

We don’t know if a Phillip Lindsay lurks in the 2019 rookie class. But we do know the conditions that cultivated his breakout season. If we can identify that Goldilocks Zone that sustains fantasy life on the deepest of depth charts, maybe we find another. This summer, there is one team whose depth chart bears an intriguing resemblance to the 2018 Broncos–and one player on…...

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Begin Your Fantasy Draft with One of These 4 First-Round Studs – NFC South Division Preview

Welcome to Part 3 of the NFL Division Preview Series. Each installment will include my prediction of each team’s record and divisional finish. Along the way I’ll point out fantasy studs, mid-round values, late-round gems, and a breakout player from each division. Be sure to check out the other division previews on the NFC East and NFC North. NFC South Atlanta (10-6) New Orleans (10-6)…...

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I Own Marquez Valdes-Scantling Everywhere – Time to Sell or Should We Keep Buying the Kenny Golladay Clone?

Over the last 100 days, Marquez Valdes-Scantling is the No. 1 riser at the wide receiver position. He’s screamed up 127 picks during that time, continuing to rise since Cort Smith profiled his ascent a month ago. As an older, former small-school receiver with big-time athleticism, Valdes-Scantling shares a lot of attributes with 2018 breakout star Kenny Golladay. But the differences may be crucial. Can…...

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Two James White Dopplegangers Have One Key Metric In Their Favor As They Try to Replicate His Breakout

Last season James White ranked No. 6 and Tarik Cohen slotted in at No. 5 on our target list of the best Zero RB Candidates. They finished at RB7  and RB11 overall. Both players are going off the board at palatable ADPs again in 2019. But what if we had a quick hack for finding the next breakout receiving backs at an even greater discount? …...

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The Rams Wide Receivers are the New Patriots Backfield: The Case for Cooper Kupp

“You want the cheapest Patriots running back” has been a refrain for quite a while now. It’s a thought that went from tongue-in-cheek to spot on. There has typically been value in getting that position right for your fantasy team. That got me thinking, are there other crowded position groups to which we could apply this same logic? Enter the WR corps for the Sean…...

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Why Buy Marquez Valdes-Scantling When This WR is Cheaper?

“You pay for this, but they give you that.” That classic Neil Young lyric came to mind as I was researching this year’s “Why Buy?” series. So often, we’re confident of what we’re going to get when we spend that sixth-round pick on the next big thing, but in reality, we rarely know exactly what we’re buying. The solution? Pay less for the same upside…....

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Duke Johnson Traded To Houston: Fantasy Impact for the Texans and Browns

Duke Johnson asked for a trade away from the Cleveland Browns this offseason — making him the only player that wanted out of suddenly-exciting Cleveland — and he finally got his wish, as the Browns traded him to the Houston Texans for a 2020 draft pick. The move comes days after Houston cut ties with D’Onta Foreman, who was thought to be locked in to the team’s…...

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A Minefield of Downside Risk: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 3

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...

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If You Don’t Play In a Deep Enough League to Own Brian Hill, Put Him On Your Watch List Now

Brian Hill crested 1,600 yards rushing in both his sophomore and junior seasons at Wyoming. He declared for the 2017 NFL draft and was selected in the fifth round by the Atlanta Falcons. Then he disappeared. You Can’t Spell America Without Erica Hill was released by the Falcons that October and spent time on their practice squad until the Bengals signed him that November. He…...

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How to Win the Flex in 2019: Zero RB Is Set Up to Dominate Fantasy Drafts Yet Again

The Flex position is arguably the most important position in fantasy because it’s one of the easiest positions to generate more value over average than your opponents. Whatever strategy fits your particular league format, that strategy should be based on putting an elite player in the Flex position. That’s a quote from Shawn Siegele’s original article explaining why the Flex position wins championships. “Win the…...

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Win The Flex App

WIN THE FLEX APP Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat

The Obvious Outliers at Wide Receiver – An Easy Way to Profit in Redraft and Dynasty

The NFL is constantly evolving and yet history continues to repeat itself. You may have noticed most of the same wide receivers finish in the top producing spots every year. I wrote about this in 2016 and the trend hasn’t changed. I researched the top-24 PPR WRs since 2000 and discovered a small percentage are responsible for the overwhelming majority of fantasy production.  A lot…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Building a Juggernaut During the Single-Digit Rounds

This is the second article in a multi-part series on how to attack the high-stakes Main Event, the flagship contest of the Fantasy Football Players Championship that pits 2,400 teams against each other in a race for the $500,000 grand prize. In the FFPC Strategy Sessions, we learn from one of the best, the 2017 regular season Main Event points champion, Monty Phan. As I…...

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Christian McCaffrey Is the 1.01, Plus a Key Zero-RB Target: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 4

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...

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My Take on High Stakes: How A 10-Year Vet and Multiple Titlist Plans to Attack the FFPC Main Event

One of the top high stakes players in the world and an FFPC specialist, Monty Phan begins his series focused on dominating the FFPC Main Event. Whether you’re a beginner hoping to cut through those first several seasons of ineptitude or a top player looking to pick the brain of a peer, Monty’s series covers the key tactical elements for taking home your league title…....

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Vaccinate Your Fantasy Team Against an AB Negative Outcome

There are currently head to toe problems with Jon Gruden’s flashy new wide receiver acquisition in Oakland. While it will be an abject disaster for the Raiders if Antonio Brown misses games, who are the fantasy players that stand to benefit? Fortunately, we have a pretty good model for that outcome, since the Raiders ditched their star receiver on purpose last year after Week 6,…...

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The Bright Lights Are Back for Hollywood Higgins

Sources: #Browns WR Antonio Callaway is being suspended 4 games for a violation of the NFL’s substance abuse policy. He had been appealing this ruling. This may party explain why he’s been running with the reserves. — Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) August 9, 2019 This one tweet from Ian Rapoport pretty much consigns Antonio Callaway to the Cleveland Browns dog house. No, not the Dawg Pound…....

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Miles Sanders and Kenyan Drake Headline the Biggest Movers – 5 Risers and 5 Fallers in the FFPC

The superstars may be insulated, but for everyone else, livelihoods rest on the result of each training camp practice. Fantasy owners sit on the edge of their collective seats, waiting for each new highlight, each new beat report, each new coaching interview. Missing a single solitary revelation could be the difference between drafting D’Onta Foreman 15 minutes after he’s been released or waiting too long…...

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These 5 WRs Excel at Scoring Touchdowns and Nothing Will Slow Them Down

Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and thus score…...

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Sam Darnold May Be The Reason Denny Carter Didn’t Draft A QB In Apex Experts (Again)

Denny Carter doesn’t draft quarterbacks in the Apex Experts League, and it doesn’t slow him down. Last year, he won the title. Only 15 QBs were taken during this year’s festivities. Since the experts are playing this out for cash, we can assume they believe it’s the best way to win. Ben Roethlisberger, Kirk Cousins, Mitchell Trubisky, Josh Allen, and Tom Brady weren’t selected. Tom…...

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Finding Phillip Lindsay: 1 Rookie RB Poised for a Massive Depth Chart Climb

We don’t know if a Phillip Lindsay lurks in the 2019 rookie class. But we do know the conditions that cultivated his breakout season. If we can identify that Goldilocks Zone that sustains fantasy life on the deepest of depth charts, maybe we find another. This summer, there is one team whose depth chart bears an intriguing resemblance to the 2018 Broncos–and one player on…...

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Begin Your Fantasy Draft with One of These 4 First-Round Studs – NFC South Division Preview

Welcome to Part 3 of the NFL Division Preview Series. Each installment will include my prediction of each team’s record and divisional finish. Along the way I’ll point out fantasy studs, mid-round values, late-round gems, and a breakout player from each division. Be sure to check out the other division previews on the NFC East and NFC North. NFC South Atlanta (10-6) New Orleans (10-6)…...

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I Own Marquez Valdes-Scantling Everywhere – Time to Sell or Should We Keep Buying the Kenny Golladay Clone?

Over the last 100 days, Marquez Valdes-Scantling is the No. 1 riser at the wide receiver position. He’s screamed up 127 picks during that time, continuing to rise since Cort Smith profiled his ascent a month ago. As an older, former small-school receiver with big-time athleticism, Valdes-Scantling shares a lot of attributes with 2018 breakout star Kenny Golladay. But the differences may be crucial. Can…...

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Two James White Dopplegangers Have One Key Metric In Their Favor As They Try to Replicate His Breakout

Last season James White ranked No. 6 and Tarik Cohen slotted in at No. 5 on our target list of the best Zero RB Candidates. They finished at RB7  and RB11 overall. Both players are going off the board at palatable ADPs again in 2019. But what if we had a quick hack for finding the next breakout receiving backs at an even greater discount? …...

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The Rams Wide Receivers are the New Patriots Backfield: The Case for Cooper Kupp

“You want the cheapest Patriots running back” has been a refrain for quite a while now. It’s a thought that went from tongue-in-cheek to spot on. There has typically been value in getting that position right for your fantasy team. That got me thinking, are there other crowded position groups to which we could apply this same logic? Enter the WR corps for the Sean…...

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Why Buy Marquez Valdes-Scantling When This WR is Cheaper?

“You pay for this, but they give you that.” That classic Neil Young lyric came to mind as I was researching this year’s “Why Buy?” series. So often, we’re confident of what we’re going to get when we spend that sixth-round pick on the next big thing, but in reality, we rarely know exactly what we’re buying. The solution? Pay less for the same upside…....

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Duke Johnson Traded To Houston: Fantasy Impact for the Texans and Browns

Duke Johnson asked for a trade away from the Cleveland Browns this offseason — making him the only player that wanted out of suddenly-exciting Cleveland — and he finally got his wish, as the Browns traded him to the Houston Texans for a 2020 draft pick. The move comes days after Houston cut ties with D’Onta Foreman, who was thought to be locked in to the team’s…...

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A Minefield of Downside Risk: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 3

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...

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If You Don’t Play In a Deep Enough League to Own Brian Hill, Put Him On Your Watch List Now

Brian Hill crested 1,600 yards rushing in both his sophomore and junior seasons at Wyoming. He declared for the 2017 NFL draft and was selected in the fifth round by the Atlanta Falcons. Then he disappeared. You Can’t Spell America Without Erica Hill was released by the Falcons that October and spent time on their practice squad until the Bengals signed him that November. He…...

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How to Win the Flex in 2019: Zero RB Is Set Up to Dominate Fantasy Drafts Yet Again

The Flex position is arguably the most important position in fantasy because it’s one of the easiest positions to generate more value over average than your opponents. Whatever strategy fits your particular league format, that strategy should be based on putting an elite player in the Flex position. That’s a quote from Shawn Siegele’s original article explaining why the Flex position wins championships. “Win the…...

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Win The Flex App

WIN THE FLEX APP Please subscribe to Access this content!     What’s included in your subscription? Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager. Revolutionary Tools Including the NFL Stat

The Obvious Outliers at Wide Receiver – An Easy Way to Profit in Redraft and Dynasty

The NFL is constantly evolving and yet history continues to repeat itself. You may have noticed most of the same wide receivers finish in the top producing spots every year. I wrote about this in 2016 and the trend hasn’t changed. I researched the top-24 PPR WRs since 2000 and discovered a small percentage are responsible for the overwhelming majority of fantasy production.  A lot…...

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FFPC Strategy Sessions: Building a Juggernaut During the Single-Digit Rounds

This is the second article in a multi-part series on how to attack the high-stakes Main Event, the flagship contest of the Fantasy Football Players Championship that pits 2,400 teams against each other in a race for the $500,000 grand prize. In the FFPC Strategy Sessions, we learn from one of the best, the 2017 regular season Main Event points champion, Monty Phan. As I…...

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Christian McCaffrey Is the 1.01, Plus a Key Zero-RB Target: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 4

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...

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My Take on High Stakes: How A 10-Year Vet and Multiple Titlist Plans to Attack the FFPC Main Event

One of the top high stakes players in the world and an FFPC specialist, Monty Phan begins his series focused on dominating the FFPC Main Event. Whether you’re a beginner hoping to cut through those first several seasons of ineptitude or a top player looking to pick the brain of a peer, Monty’s series covers the key tactical elements for taking home your league title…....

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Vaccinate Your Fantasy Team Against an AB Negative Outcome

There are currently head to toe problems with Jon Gruden’s flashy new wide receiver acquisition in Oakland. While it will be an abject disaster for the Raiders if Antonio Brown misses games, who are the fantasy players that stand to benefit? Fortunately, we have a pretty good model for that outcome, since the Raiders ditched their star receiver on purpose last year after Week 6,…...

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The Bright Lights Are Back for Hollywood Higgins

Sources: #Browns WR Antonio Callaway is being suspended 4 games for a violation of the NFL’s substance abuse policy. He had been appealing this ruling. This may party explain why he’s been running with the reserves. — Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) August 9, 2019 This one tweet from Ian Rapoport pretty much consigns Antonio Callaway to the Cleveland Browns dog house. No, not the Dawg Pound…....

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Miles Sanders and Kenyan Drake Headline the Biggest Movers – 5 Risers and 5 Fallers in the FFPC

The superstars may be insulated, but for everyone else, livelihoods rest on the result of each training camp practice. Fantasy owners sit on the edge of their collective seats, waiting for each new highlight, each new beat report, each new coaching interview. Missing a single solitary revelation could be the difference between drafting D’Onta Foreman 15 minutes after he’s been released or waiting too long…...

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These 5 WRs Excel at Scoring Touchdowns and Nothing Will Slow Them Down

Last year I found that while it may be difficult to project touchdowns year-over-year, touchdowns usually regress to the mean based on a wide receiver’s targets and receiving yards. Every year there are outliers who catch touchdowns at a higher or lower rate than one would expect based on their targets and yards in that season. Perception about a player’s ability to score touchdowns — and thus score…...

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Sam Darnold May Be The Reason Denny Carter Didn’t Draft A QB In Apex Experts (Again)

Denny Carter doesn’t draft quarterbacks in the Apex Experts League, and it doesn’t slow him down. Last year, he won the title. Only 15 QBs were taken during this year’s festivities. Since the experts are playing this out for cash, we can assume they believe it’s the best way to win. Ben Roethlisberger, Kirk Cousins, Mitchell Trubisky, Josh Allen, and Tom Brady weren’t selected. Tom…...

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Finding Phillip Lindsay: 1 Rookie RB Poised for a Massive Depth Chart Climb

We don’t know if a Phillip Lindsay lurks in the 2019 rookie class. But we do know the conditions that cultivated his breakout season. If we can identify that Goldilocks Zone that sustains fantasy life on the deepest of depth charts, maybe we find another. This summer, there is one team whose depth chart bears an intriguing resemblance to the 2018 Broncos–and one player on…...

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Begin Your Fantasy Draft with One of These 4 First-Round Studs – NFC South Division Preview

Welcome to Part 3 of the NFL Division Preview Series. Each installment will include my prediction of each team’s record and divisional finish. Along the way I’ll point out fantasy studs, mid-round values, late-round gems, and a breakout player from each division. Be sure to check out the other division previews on the NFC East and NFC North. NFC South Atlanta (10-6) New Orleans (10-6)…...

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I Own Marquez Valdes-Scantling Everywhere – Time to Sell or Should We Keep Buying the Kenny Golladay Clone?

Over the last 100 days, Marquez Valdes-Scantling is the No. 1 riser at the wide receiver position. He’s screamed up 127 picks during that time, continuing to rise since Cort Smith profiled his ascent a month ago. As an older, former small-school receiver with big-time athleticism, Valdes-Scantling shares a lot of attributes with 2018 breakout star Kenny Golladay. But the differences may be crucial. Can…...

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Two James White Dopplegangers Have One Key Metric In Their Favor As They Try to Replicate His Breakout

Last season James White ranked No. 6 and Tarik Cohen slotted in at No. 5 on our target list of the best Zero RB Candidates. They finished at RB7  and RB11 overall. Both players are going off the board at palatable ADPs again in 2019. But what if we had a quick hack for finding the next breakout receiving backs at an even greater discount? …...

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The Rams Wide Receivers are the New Patriots Backfield: The Case for Cooper Kupp

“You want the cheapest Patriots running back” has been a refrain for quite a while now. It’s a thought that went from tongue-in-cheek to spot on. There has typically been value in getting that position right for your fantasy team. That got me thinking, are there other crowded position groups to which we could apply this same logic? Enter the WR corps for the Sean…...

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Why Buy Marquez Valdes-Scantling When This WR is Cheaper?

“You pay for this, but they give you that.” That classic Neil Young lyric came to mind as I was researching this year’s “Why Buy?” series. So often, we’re confident of what we’re going to get when we spend that sixth-round pick on the next big thing, but in reality, we rarely know exactly what we’re buying. The solution? Pay less for the same upside…....

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Duke Johnson Traded To Houston: Fantasy Impact for the Texans and Browns

Duke Johnson asked for a trade away from the Cleveland Browns this offseason — making him the only player that wanted out of suddenly-exciting Cleveland — and he finally got his wish, as the Browns traded him to the Houston Texans for a 2020 draft pick. The move comes days after Houston cut ties with D’Onta Foreman, who was thought to be locked in to the team’s…...

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A Minefield of Downside Risk: How Season-Long Game Script Affects Running Back Production, Part 3

Welcome back to my NFL Game Script series, where I examine how game script affects running back fantasy production in season-long redraft and best ball formats. In Part 1, I broke up our running back sample into quartiles based on their teams’ preseason Vegas Win Totals: Quartile 1 is composed of players from teams with a Vegas Win Total of 9.5 or higher. Quartile 2…...

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If You Don’t Play In a Deep Enough League to Own Brian Hill, Put Him On Your Watch List Now

Brian Hill crested 1,600 yards rushing in both his sophomore and junior seasons at Wyoming. He declared for the 2017 NFL draft and was selected in the fifth round by the Atlanta Falcons. Then he disappeared. You Can’t Spell America Without Erica Hill was released by the Falcons that October and spent time on their practice squad until the Bengals signed him that November. He…...

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How to Win the Flex in 2019: Zero RB Is Set Up to Dominate Fantasy Drafts Yet Again

The Flex position is arguably the most important position in fantasy because it’s one of the easiest positions to generate more value over average than your opponents. Whatever strategy fits your particular league format, that strategy should be based on putting an elite player in the Flex position. That’s a quote from Shawn Siegele’s original article explaining why the Flex position wins championships. “Win the…...

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Win The Flex App

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