Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

Author Archive

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Is Jordan Taylor a Better Prospect Than Cody Latimer?

No. That’s a pretty simple answer, but it may tell us something about the two players that the question even occurred to me (or anyone). Taylor’s name popped in my memory after seeing a Rotoworld blurb that referenced an article on the Broncos official site. From Rotoworld: Broncos UDFA WR Jordan Taylor reportedly made a “massive impression” during Organized Team Activities. 6-foot-4 and 209 pounds with 4.52 wheels,…...

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RotoViz Radio: Matt Waldman – Episode 71

Episode 71 (July 24, 2015): The seventy-first show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle). If you’re a listener of the show who isn’t subscribing yet to RotoViz you can get a special 20% subscription discount through the podcast. Guest: Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) Matt is the proprietor & author of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio and a writer for Footballguys. In his RotoViz Radio debut,…...

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Running Back Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

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Is Sam Bradford Good For Jordan Matthews’ Fantasy Value?

Jordan Matthews had a satisfying rookie season for those who believed in him as a prospect. Matthews caught an impressive eight touchdowns on his way to a fantasy WR3 finish. JMatt had a few huge games that masked his really weak games, but he proved he had the athleticism to play in the NFL, which many questioned (even though his combine had already given us…...

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Quarterback Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

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The Lowdown: Projecting Nick Foles and Can Andy Dalton Improve?

Nick Foles From ESPN.com; Rams reporter Nick Wagner was asked to project Nick Foles: That’s a tough question to answer at this point because we still need to see how he fits and how well he grasps the new offense. By Foles’ own admission, this offense is much different from what he had in Philadelphia. That’s not a surprise but it means it will take some…...

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Mock Madness: Using Zero RB To Create A Monster

When I draft my fantasy football teams, I usually follow the best player available (BPA) approach. Frequently, BPA will morph into Zero RB based on the players on the board, but flexibility is the key. Completing a number of mocks is the key point of preparation for any draft season. In this piece, I’ll examine the results of one recent mock and look at how a Zero…...

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The Numbers Game: Nick Giffen (RotoDoc), Math PhD & Data Scientist – Episode 8

Episode 8 (July 23, 2015): The eighth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Adrian Peterson, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, and Cashing In

Adrian Peterson Here’s Peterson’s ADP in dynasty startups since the beginning of the year. Peterson has almost returned to the same ADP he enjoyed last summer at this time, and with news that he’s re-worked his contract with the Vikings, I’d expect his ADP (and trade value) to inch even higher. While we project Peterson to have a solid 2015 (currently projected to finish as RB5), it’s…...

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Is Terrance Williams Being Overlooked?

The Dallas offense is probably the most talked about in the entire league this offseason and for good reason. The Cowboys offense was a fantasy goldmine in 2014. Tony Romo was outstanding, Dez Bryant was his typical dominant self, and DeMarco Murray turned out the best fantasy season he’s ever had. But, for some reason, all is quiet on the Terrance Williams front. With Murray joining the…...

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Daily Fantasy Sports First Impressions: FanDuel Week 1 Pricing

It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I…...

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An Open Letter To Norv Turner; Subtitle: Play Jarius Wright

The Vikings are one of the most popular break-out picks this offseason and for good reason. The defense improved greatly after just one season under Mike Zimmer, Norv Turner is calling plays, Teddy Bridgewater looks like he could be a long term solution to their quarterback problem, and the team will see the return of Adrian Peterson as well as the addition of Mike Wallace…....

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Wide Receivers Who Consistently Outperform Their ADPs

In 2014, six of the top-10, and 16 of the top-24 wide receivers outperformed their ADPs (all WR1 and WR2’s). The purpose of this article is not to project where any of these players finish in 2015 – but only to look at potential opportunities to draft players that are consistently undervalued and, using the WR Similarity Score App, assess their chances to outperform their current…...

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Dynasty: The 4 Safest Second Round Rookie Picks

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode found that only around one in four rookies drafted in the second round of rookie drafts succeed. Success in this case meaning a top 24 finish for a running back or wide receiver or a top 12 finish for a quarterback or tight end.((As the sample in question plays more seasons over time, I think we can expect that hit rate…...

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The Lowdown: Washington Running Game and the Cowboys’ Backfield

Washington Running Game From RealRedskins.com: “Who will carry the ball? Gruden has assured us on multiple occasions that Alfred Morris is still the workhorse running back so until I see something different I’ll believe him. Morris carried 265 times last year so let’s say stays right around in that area. Rookie Matt Jones should get the 40 carries that the departed Roy Helu had last…...

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The 8 Breakout WRs You Must Own in 2015

Breakout WRs are frequently the league-winning players in fantasy football since they’re an important part of both a Zero RB and a RB-RB approach. In 2013 RotoViz helped pick Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery, and that led to some pretty crazy results. The big winner in 2014 was DeAndre Hopkins. While 2015 doesn’t have a no-brainer selection in terms of both profile and price, the…...

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Which WR2s Are Most Likely to Post a Top 24 season?

In 2014, five teams had TWO wide receivers finish in the top 24 (PPR). Ten WRs came from five offenses leaving only 14 other teams to fill the balance of the top 24. The remaining 13 NFL teams, 40 percent of the league were devoid of consistent top WR production. With so many teams not even having one WR in the top 24, how worthy is a…...

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Learning To Love Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram has long been a punchline. Now that his rookie contract is over we can safely say the Saints’ decision to draft him was a mistake. But neither of those things matter now. What does matter is that Ingram is cheaper than he should be, and is shaping up to be a potential league-winner in 2015. He may have been a punchline before, but here’s…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

Dynasty Debate: Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

The Demaryius Thomas Effect Alshon Jeffery looks primed to provide plenty of fantasy football production for his owners in 2015, but where does Kevin White come into the picture, and will his presence come at the expense of Jeffery? Is it possible that the pendulum could actually swing in White’s favor, and if so, when?   Jeffery has the clear advantage in the short term…...

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Alex Smith Probably Isn’t Tom Brady Circa 2007, But He Might Be Closer Than You Think

A year ago, I wrote an ill-fated Banana Stand article half-seriously projecting a Tom Brady 2007 style breakout for Alex Smith. I should probably be embarrassed by that piece, but admitting you like Alex Smith is a little like advertising your bad dynasty trades. I’d rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong ones, as the former should lead to much…...

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Is Jordan Taylor a Better Prospect Than Cody Latimer?

No. That’s a pretty simple answer, but it may tell us something about the two players that the question even occurred to me (or anyone). Taylor’s name popped in my memory after seeing a Rotoworld blurb that referenced an article on the Broncos official site. From Rotoworld: Broncos UDFA WR Jordan Taylor reportedly made a “massive impression” during Organized Team Activities. 6-foot-4 and 209 pounds with 4.52 wheels,…...

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RotoViz Radio: Matt Waldman – Episode 71

Episode 71 (July 24, 2015): The seventy-first show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle). If you’re a listener of the show who isn’t subscribing yet to RotoViz you can get a special 20% subscription discount through the podcast. Guest: Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) Matt is the proprietor & author of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio and a writer for Footballguys. In his RotoViz Radio debut,…...

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Running Back Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

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Is Sam Bradford Good For Jordan Matthews’ Fantasy Value?

Jordan Matthews had a satisfying rookie season for those who believed in him as a prospect. Matthews caught an impressive eight touchdowns on his way to a fantasy WR3 finish. JMatt had a few huge games that masked his really weak games, but he proved he had the athleticism to play in the NFL, which many questioned (even though his combine had already given us…...

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Quarterback Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

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The Lowdown: Projecting Nick Foles and Can Andy Dalton Improve?

Nick Foles From ESPN.com; Rams reporter Nick Wagner was asked to project Nick Foles: That’s a tough question to answer at this point because we still need to see how he fits and how well he grasps the new offense. By Foles’ own admission, this offense is much different from what he had in Philadelphia. That’s not a surprise but it means it will take some…...

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Mock Madness: Using Zero RB To Create A Monster

When I draft my fantasy football teams, I usually follow the best player available (BPA) approach. Frequently, BPA will morph into Zero RB based on the players on the board, but flexibility is the key. Completing a number of mocks is the key point of preparation for any draft season. In this piece, I’ll examine the results of one recent mock and look at how a Zero…...

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The Numbers Game: Nick Giffen (RotoDoc), Math PhD & Data Scientist – Episode 8

Episode 8 (July 23, 2015): The eighth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Adrian Peterson, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, and Cashing In

Adrian Peterson Here’s Peterson’s ADP in dynasty startups since the beginning of the year. Peterson has almost returned to the same ADP he enjoyed last summer at this time, and with news that he’s re-worked his contract with the Vikings, I’d expect his ADP (and trade value) to inch even higher. While we project Peterson to have a solid 2015 (currently projected to finish as RB5), it’s…...

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Is Terrance Williams Being Overlooked?

The Dallas offense is probably the most talked about in the entire league this offseason and for good reason. The Cowboys offense was a fantasy goldmine in 2014. Tony Romo was outstanding, Dez Bryant was his typical dominant self, and DeMarco Murray turned out the best fantasy season he’s ever had. But, for some reason, all is quiet on the Terrance Williams front. With Murray joining the…...

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jordan matthews 2017

Daily Fantasy Sports First Impressions: FanDuel Week 1 Pricing

It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I…...

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An Open Letter To Norv Turner; Subtitle: Play Jarius Wright

The Vikings are one of the most popular break-out picks this offseason and for good reason. The defense improved greatly after just one season under Mike Zimmer, Norv Turner is calling plays, Teddy Bridgewater looks like he could be a long term solution to their quarterback problem, and the team will see the return of Adrian Peterson as well as the addition of Mike Wallace…....

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Wide Receivers Who Consistently Outperform Their ADPs

In 2014, six of the top-10, and 16 of the top-24 wide receivers outperformed their ADPs (all WR1 and WR2’s). The purpose of this article is not to project where any of these players finish in 2015 – but only to look at potential opportunities to draft players that are consistently undervalued and, using the WR Similarity Score App, assess their chances to outperform their current…...

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Dynasty: The 4 Safest Second Round Rookie Picks

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode found that only around one in four rookies drafted in the second round of rookie drafts succeed. Success in this case meaning a top 24 finish for a running back or wide receiver or a top 12 finish for a quarterback or tight end.((As the sample in question plays more seasons over time, I think we can expect that hit rate…...

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The Lowdown: Washington Running Game and the Cowboys’ Backfield

Washington Running Game From RealRedskins.com: “Who will carry the ball? Gruden has assured us on multiple occasions that Alfred Morris is still the workhorse running back so until I see something different I’ll believe him. Morris carried 265 times last year so let’s say stays right around in that area. Rookie Matt Jones should get the 40 carries that the departed Roy Helu had last…...

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The 8 Breakout WRs You Must Own in 2015

Breakout WRs are frequently the league-winning players in fantasy football since they’re an important part of both a Zero RB and a RB-RB approach. In 2013 RotoViz helped pick Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery, and that led to some pretty crazy results. The big winner in 2014 was DeAndre Hopkins. While 2015 doesn’t have a no-brainer selection in terms of both profile and price, the…...

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Which WR2s Are Most Likely to Post a Top 24 season?

In 2014, five teams had TWO wide receivers finish in the top 24 (PPR). Ten WRs came from five offenses leaving only 14 other teams to fill the balance of the top 24. The remaining 13 NFL teams, 40 percent of the league were devoid of consistent top WR production. With so many teams not even having one WR in the top 24, how worthy is a…...

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Learning To Love Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram has long been a punchline. Now that his rookie contract is over we can safely say the Saints’ decision to draft him was a mistake. But neither of those things matter now. What does matter is that Ingram is cheaper than he should be, and is shaping up to be a potential league-winner in 2015. He may have been a punchline before, but here’s…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

Dynasty Debate: Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

The Demaryius Thomas Effect Alshon Jeffery looks primed to provide plenty of fantasy football production for his owners in 2015, but where does Kevin White come into the picture, and will his presence come at the expense of Jeffery? Is it possible that the pendulum could actually swing in White’s favor, and if so, when?   Jeffery has the clear advantage in the short term…...

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Alex Smith Probably Isn’t Tom Brady Circa 2007, But He Might Be Closer Than You Think

A year ago, I wrote an ill-fated Banana Stand article half-seriously projecting a Tom Brady 2007 style breakout for Alex Smith. I should probably be embarrassed by that piece, but admitting you like Alex Smith is a little like advertising your bad dynasty trades. I’d rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong ones, as the former should lead to much…...

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Is Jordan Taylor a Better Prospect Than Cody Latimer?

No. That’s a pretty simple answer, but it may tell us something about the two players that the question even occurred to me (or anyone). Taylor’s name popped in my memory after seeing a Rotoworld blurb that referenced an article on the Broncos official site. From Rotoworld: Broncos UDFA WR Jordan Taylor reportedly made a “massive impression” during Organized Team Activities. 6-foot-4 and 209 pounds with 4.52 wheels,…...

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RotoViz Radio: Matt Waldman – Episode 71

Episode 71 (July 24, 2015): The seventy-first show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle). If you’re a listener of the show who isn’t subscribing yet to RotoViz you can get a special 20% subscription discount through the podcast. Guest: Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) Matt is the proprietor & author of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio and a writer for Footballguys. In his RotoViz Radio debut,…...

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Running Back Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

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Is Sam Bradford Good For Jordan Matthews’ Fantasy Value?

Jordan Matthews had a satisfying rookie season for those who believed in him as a prospect. Matthews caught an impressive eight touchdowns on his way to a fantasy WR3 finish. JMatt had a few huge games that masked his really weak games, but he proved he had the athleticism to play in the NFL, which many questioned (even though his combine had already given us…...

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Quarterback Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

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perfect fantasy draft

The Lowdown: Projecting Nick Foles and Can Andy Dalton Improve?

Nick Foles From ESPN.com; Rams reporter Nick Wagner was asked to project Nick Foles: That’s a tough question to answer at this point because we still need to see how he fits and how well he grasps the new offense. By Foles’ own admission, this offense is much different from what he had in Philadelphia. That’s not a surprise but it means it will take some…...

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Mock Madness: Using Zero RB To Create A Monster

When I draft my fantasy football teams, I usually follow the best player available (BPA) approach. Frequently, BPA will morph into Zero RB based on the players on the board, but flexibility is the key. Completing a number of mocks is the key point of preparation for any draft season. In this piece, I’ll examine the results of one recent mock and look at how a Zero…...

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The Numbers Game: Nick Giffen (RotoDoc), Math PhD & Data Scientist – Episode 8

Episode 8 (July 23, 2015): The eighth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Adrian Peterson, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, and Cashing In

Adrian Peterson Here’s Peterson’s ADP in dynasty startups since the beginning of the year. Peterson has almost returned to the same ADP he enjoyed last summer at this time, and with news that he’s re-worked his contract with the Vikings, I’d expect his ADP (and trade value) to inch even higher. While we project Peterson to have a solid 2015 (currently projected to finish as RB5), it’s…...

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Is Terrance Williams Being Overlooked?

The Dallas offense is probably the most talked about in the entire league this offseason and for good reason. The Cowboys offense was a fantasy goldmine in 2014. Tony Romo was outstanding, Dez Bryant was his typical dominant self, and DeMarco Murray turned out the best fantasy season he’s ever had. But, for some reason, all is quiet on the Terrance Williams front. With Murray joining the…...

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jordan matthews 2017

Daily Fantasy Sports First Impressions: FanDuel Week 1 Pricing

It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I…...

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An Open Letter To Norv Turner; Subtitle: Play Jarius Wright

The Vikings are one of the most popular break-out picks this offseason and for good reason. The defense improved greatly after just one season under Mike Zimmer, Norv Turner is calling plays, Teddy Bridgewater looks like he could be a long term solution to their quarterback problem, and the team will see the return of Adrian Peterson as well as the addition of Mike Wallace…....

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Wide Receivers Who Consistently Outperform Their ADPs

In 2014, six of the top-10, and 16 of the top-24 wide receivers outperformed their ADPs (all WR1 and WR2’s). The purpose of this article is not to project where any of these players finish in 2015 – but only to look at potential opportunities to draft players that are consistently undervalued and, using the WR Similarity Score App, assess their chances to outperform their current…...

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Dynasty: The 4 Safest Second Round Rookie Picks

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode found that only around one in four rookies drafted in the second round of rookie drafts succeed. Success in this case meaning a top 24 finish for a running back or wide receiver or a top 12 finish for a quarterback or tight end.((As the sample in question plays more seasons over time, I think we can expect that hit rate…...

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The Lowdown: Washington Running Game and the Cowboys’ Backfield

Washington Running Game From RealRedskins.com: “Who will carry the ball? Gruden has assured us on multiple occasions that Alfred Morris is still the workhorse running back so until I see something different I’ll believe him. Morris carried 265 times last year so let’s say stays right around in that area. Rookie Matt Jones should get the 40 carries that the departed Roy Helu had last…...

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The 8 Breakout WRs You Must Own in 2015

Breakout WRs are frequently the league-winning players in fantasy football since they’re an important part of both a Zero RB and a RB-RB approach. In 2013 RotoViz helped pick Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery, and that led to some pretty crazy results. The big winner in 2014 was DeAndre Hopkins. While 2015 doesn’t have a no-brainer selection in terms of both profile and price, the…...

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Which WR2s Are Most Likely to Post a Top 24 season?

In 2014, five teams had TWO wide receivers finish in the top 24 (PPR). Ten WRs came from five offenses leaving only 14 other teams to fill the balance of the top 24. The remaining 13 NFL teams, 40 percent of the league were devoid of consistent top WR production. With so many teams not even having one WR in the top 24, how worthy is a…...

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Learning To Love Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram has long been a punchline. Now that his rookie contract is over we can safely say the Saints’ decision to draft him was a mistake. But neither of those things matter now. What does matter is that Ingram is cheaper than he should be, and is shaping up to be a potential league-winner in 2015. He may have been a punchline before, but here’s…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

Dynasty Debate: Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

The Demaryius Thomas Effect Alshon Jeffery looks primed to provide plenty of fantasy football production for his owners in 2015, but where does Kevin White come into the picture, and will his presence come at the expense of Jeffery? Is it possible that the pendulum could actually swing in White’s favor, and if so, when?   Jeffery has the clear advantage in the short term…...

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Alex Smith Probably Isn’t Tom Brady Circa 2007, But He Might Be Closer Than You Think

A year ago, I wrote an ill-fated Banana Stand article half-seriously projecting a Tom Brady 2007 style breakout for Alex Smith. I should probably be embarrassed by that piece, but admitting you like Alex Smith is a little like advertising your bad dynasty trades. I’d rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong ones, as the former should lead to much…...

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