In 2014, nine of the top-12 running backs outperformed their ADPs. Seventeen of the top-24 (representing all RB1 and RB2’s) outperformed their ADPs. As was the case with my previous article, which covered wide receivers who consistently outperformed their ADPs, the purpose of this article is not to project where any of these players finish in 2015. We’re looking at opportunities to draft players that…...

Let me preface my thoughts by saying I believe all fantasy players have value. It’s just a question of the cost that you pay to draft that value. To illustrate this with a far-fetched example, David Johnson is my top pick as a Zero RB league winner . . . but he would not be a value pick in the 6th round. A 6th round pick factors in…...

Sam Bradford From NJ.com: “If I’m not ready for 11 on 11 by training camp, then something has gone horribly wrong,” Bradford said. “That’s the plan right now. We’re going to keep plugging away and be ready when camp starts.” In his five year career, Sam Bradford has managed to play all 16 games just twice. I don’t think Bradford would even be on most…...

We’ve published a few pieces this offseason on how Marques Colston is a value in redraft leagues. But despite being 32 years old, I think Colston actually makes a good dynasty trade target as well. Opportunity The reason all this occurred to me is that I was looking through some data and it struck me that as recently as 2012 Colston finished as the wide receiver 12…...

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

In order to find the Top 5 running backs for 2015, I wanted to take advantage of the two main RotoViz apps used in projecting players. The Similarity Score app provides insight into the type of seasons we can expect from RBs of the same age, size, and production profile. This can be a very helpful check against narrative as our intuition is often deeply…...

When we draft running backs, we are always hoping to land the next “bell cow.” They truly are a dying breed, so when you have the opportunity to snag one, you jump on it. This year, you have the opportunity to land one in the second round. Enter Jeremy Hill. Offensive System Much of Hill’s upside is tied to his offensive coordinator, Hue Jackson. While…...

In The 8 Breakout WRs You Must Own in 2015, I looked at the pool of up-and-coming receivers from which this year’s league-winners will likely be drawn. In that article I also explain why Dominator Rating, Age, Freak Score, Vertical Leap, Rookie Relative Yards Per Attempt, and Rookie Fantasy Points are the key components to predicting a breakout. Last year my Breakout WRs didn’t all…...

No. That’s a pretty simple answer, but it may tell us something about the two players that the question even occurred to me (or anyone). Taylor’s name popped in my memory after seeing a Rotoworld blurb that referenced an article on the Broncos official site. From Rotoworld: Broncos UDFA WR Jordan Taylor reportedly made a “massive impression” during Organized Team Activities. 6-foot-4 and 209 pounds with 4.52 wheels,…...

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

Jordan Matthews had a satisfying rookie season for those who believed in him as a prospect. Matthews caught an impressive eight touchdowns on his way to a fantasy WR3 finish. JMatt had a few huge games that masked his really weak games, but he proved he had the athleticism to play in the NFL, which many questioned (even though his combine had already given us…...

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or…...

Nick Foles From ESPN.com; Rams reporter Nick Wagner was asked to project Nick Foles: That’s a tough question to answer at this point because we still need to see how he fits and how well he grasps the new offense. By Foles’ own admission, this offense is much different from what he had in Philadelphia. That’s not a surprise but it means it will take some…...

When I draft my fantasy football teams, I usually follow the best player available (BPA) approach. Frequently, BPA will morph into Zero RB based on the players on the board, but flexibility is the key. Completing a number of mocks is the key point of preparation for any draft season. In this piece, I’ll examine the results of one recent mock and look at how a Zero…...

Adrian Peterson Here’s Peterson’s ADP in dynasty startups since the beginning of the year. Peterson has almost returned to the same ADP he enjoyed last summer at this time, and with news that he’s re-worked his contract with the Vikings, I’d expect his ADP (and trade value) to inch even higher. While we project Peterson to have a solid 2015 (currently projected to finish as RB5), it’s…...

The Dallas offense is probably the most talked about in the entire league this offseason and for good reason. The Cowboys offense was a fantasy goldmine in 2014. Tony Romo was outstanding, Dez Bryant was his typical dominant self, and DeMarco Murray turned out the best fantasy season he’s ever had. But, for some reason, all is quiet on the Terrance Williams front. With Murray joining the…...

It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I…...