“Father Time is undefeated” -Unknown This is not fun. There is nothing enjoyable about watching a Hall of Fame talent wind down their career and become a shell of their former self. Having to objectively, honestly analyze beloved players as they show age and usage related declination is extremely difficult to do emotionlessly. Extensive research has been done that shows curves players can be expected…...

Recently I wrote that Arian Foster is not a buy-low target in dynasty leagues. Today I’ll explain why he could is a target in redraft leagues. Sad Trombone And now, for a live look in at Foster’s ADP: That, my friends, is why Viagra happened. Oh wait, wrong article, sorry. Of course it makes sense that Foster’s ADP plummeted. Now that it appears to be leveling out, did it drop…...

Ahmad Bradshaw is 29 years old, he broke his leg last season, he’s suspended for Week 1, and he’s not currently on an NFL roster. Despite all that, if he’s on your dynasty league’s waiver wire you need to pick him up. Let me explain why he’s a must-add. First, let’s dismiss those negatives. It’s true that Bradshaw is 29, which puts him at risk of…...

Over the weekend I did some work to translate Average Draft Position into suggested auction prices. The reason to do this is simple. Auction price data is shitty. There are no legitimately good sources. Yahoo is probably the best, but I wanted something a little more custom for our site, so I decided that we should create our own pricing model. I used My Fantasy League…...

Earlier in the summer I wrote about exploiting recency bias, and how people were overpaying for Rob Gronkowski and Andrew Luck because of something called Fear of Missing Out (FOMO). There is a frequently applied false correlation in fantasy football that the immediate future will resemble the immediate past, and it causes expectations to let price inflate beyond reason. The opposite of this is also…...

If you look at the top 25 running backs[1]Excluding Adrian Peterson and the rookies by ADP according to the Best Ball ADP App in the Game Splits App, every single RB scored more fantasy points in wins than in losses in 2014. That’s how important winning is to RB success. With that in mind, I decided to combine the information from the Game Splits App and the betting lines…...

The inestimable Fantasy Douche recently noted that Brian Quick was on a 1200/12 pace to start the season and is available in the 11th round. Given that Quick is expected to both fully recover and play in pre-season games, this is likely your last chance to acquire Quick in dynasty formats with an injury discount. The pro-Quick argument argument has been laid out in detail already: Quick should have the best…...

Ronnie Hillman From 9 News Denver: “A development from the past three or four days is what’s happened at his top backup spot. Ronnie Hillman has taken some 1B reps ahead of Montee Ball. (Tailback is the one position where the backup works in with the first-team offense. Thus, the 1B distinction).” Ronnie Hillman was a third-round pick in the 2012 draft, but has never had…...

Camp news is coming fast and furious so I’ll highlight some important movements as they relate to value creation or destruction in IDP. Will Hill Matt Elam was a post-hype all-star, but unfortunately for his fantasy owners, any chance of an ROI is postponed as he undergoes surgery for a biceps tear. Elam was competing with Will Hill for the starting strong safety job, and now it…...

With the top two running backs on the shelf for the Falcons, there appears to be a competition going on between rookie Terron Ward, Antone Smith, and new addition Michael Ford. Let’s take a deeper look and see if we can get an idea of who might be worth watching as we head into the preseason.  The Hard Working Undrafted Free Agent Early reports out…...

Holding off on drafting a tight end usually pays dividends in fantasy drafts. Only a small handful of TEs end up being true difference-makers each year, and beyond these few players there just isn’t a lot of year-to-year consistency to be found. Additionally, the TE field quickly plateaus into a broad group of players who all score within a fairly tight range of PPG once the elite…...

With upper echelon fantasy tight ends becoming increasingly more scarce, the strategy of utilizing late round TE squads is growing ever more popular. To summarize the concept for those unfamiliar, the concept is to pair a high floor TE with a high upside TE to aim for high point scoring potential at a relatively cheap price while providing your team with a decent baseline TE in case of emergency. In this article,…...

The Dallas Cowboys head into 2015 with a lot of questions surrounding their rushing offense. While their line is very good, it’s possible they’re forced to shift to a more pass-heavy offense this season. This leaves Tony Romo as a potential breakout candidate. In this article I’ll explain why Romo is poised to be the next quarterback to join the 4,500 passing yard/40 touchdown club. Cowboys…...

Fantasy football news featuring Aldon Smith, Joique Bell, Jamison Crowder, Jordan Taylor, and more. Aldon Smith Arrested again. And now Released. Stock up for Eli Harold in IDP rookie drafts. Aaron Lynch and Ahmad Brooks are probably the starting outside linebackers at this point, but Harold should be the main backup at a minimum. Tahir Whitehead Is playing ahead of second year LB Kyle Van Noy in Lions…...

A Michael Floyd injury shakes up wide receiver ADP, and perhaps DeMarco Murray is being overvalued. Michael Floyd, John Brown, and Larry Fitzgerald Michael Floyd had surgery to repair three fingers on his left hand. Coach Bruce Arians described the injury as “unique,” and media reports also vary as to the severity and timeframe for recovery. Early reports vary from three to six weeks. Five weeks…...

Davante Adams is a player we had high hopes for this summer at the ‘Viz. After being the WR5 in our post-draft rookie rankings last season, we were hopeful that Randall Cobb would leave the Packers in free agency, opening up opportunity for Adams as a sophomore. Unfortunately, that did not materialize. However, I still think Adams is an exceptional target in re-draft leagues this year. Here’s why…....

(This is Part 2 of a 2 Part Series: Check out Part 1 here.) Tight end is arguably fantasy football’s most interesting position. As James Todd recently pointed out, outside of an elite group of consistent producers it’s a position that sees a ton of turnover year to year. Because of this turnover, because it’s usually a start-one position, and because alternative options are often…...