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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

jordan matthews 2017

Daily Fantasy Sports First Impressions: FanDuel Week 1 Pricing

It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I…...

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An Open Letter To Norv Turner; Subtitle: Play Jarius Wright

The Vikings are one of the most popular break-out picks this offseason and for good reason. The defense improved greatly after just one season under Mike Zimmer, Norv Turner is calling plays, Teddy Bridgewater looks like he could be a long term solution to their quarterback problem, and the team will see the return of Adrian Peterson as well as the addition of Mike Wallace…....

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Wide Receivers Who Consistently Outperform Their ADPs

In 2014, six of the top-10, and 16 of the top-24 wide receivers outperformed their ADPs (all WR1 and WR2’s). The purpose of this article is not to project where any of these players finish in 2015 – but only to look at potential opportunities to draft players that are consistently undervalued and, using the WR Similarity Score App, assess their chances to outperform their current…...

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Dynasty: The 4 Safest Second Round Rookie Picks

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode found that only around one in four rookies drafted in the second round of rookie drafts succeed. Success in this case meaning a top 24 finish for a running back or wide receiver or a top 12 finish for a quarterback or tight end.((As the sample in question plays more seasons over time, I think we can expect that hit rate…...

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The Lowdown: Washington Running Game and the Cowboys’ Backfield

Washington Running Game From RealRedskins.com: “Who will carry the ball? Gruden has assured us on multiple occasions that Alfred Morris is still the workhorse running back so until I see something different I’ll believe him. Morris carried 265 times last year so let’s say stays right around in that area. Rookie Matt Jones should get the 40 carries that the departed Roy Helu had last…...

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The 8 Breakout WRs You Must Own in 2015

Breakout WRs are frequently the league-winning players in fantasy football since they’re an important part of both a Zero RB and a RB-RB approach. In 2013 RotoViz helped pick Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery, and that led to some pretty crazy results. The big winner in 2014 was DeAndre Hopkins. While 2015 doesn’t have a no-brainer selection in terms of both profile and price, the…...

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Which WR2s Are Most Likely to Post a Top 24 season?

In 2014, five teams had TWO wide receivers finish in the top 24 (PPR). Ten WRs came from five offenses leaving only 14 other teams to fill the balance of the top 24. The remaining 13 NFL teams, 40 percent of the league were devoid of consistent top WR production. With so many teams not even having one WR in the top 24, how worthy is a…...

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Learning To Love Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram has long been a punchline. Now that his rookie contract is over we can safely say the Saints’ decision to draft him was a mistake. But neither of those things matter now. What does matter is that Ingram is cheaper than he should be, and is shaping up to be a potential league-winner in 2015. He may have been a punchline before, but here’s…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

Dynasty Debate: Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

The Demaryius Thomas Effect Alshon Jeffery looks primed to provide plenty of fantasy football production for his owners in 2015, but where does Kevin White come into the picture, and will his presence come at the expense of Jeffery? Is it possible that the pendulum could actually swing in White’s favor, and if so, when?   Jeffery has the clear advantage in the short term…...

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Alex Smith Probably Isn’t Tom Brady Circa 2007, But He Might Be Closer Than You Think

A year ago, I wrote an ill-fated Banana Stand article half-seriously projecting a Tom Brady 2007 style breakout for Alex Smith. I should probably be embarrassed by that piece, but admitting you like Alex Smith is a little like advertising your bad dynasty trades. I’d rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong ones, as the former should lead to much…...

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What Was All That One in a Million Talk? – Justin Hunter Edition

This is what I wrote about Justin Hunter before he was arrested for felonious assault: I do think that his athletic profile means that if he ever did hit, the upside could be high. But the overwhelming majority of evidence that we have right now says that he isn’t good. Despite that athletic profile he didn’t really dominate in college (which may have been related…...

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The Lowdown: Saints to use TE by Committee? Titans Expect More From Bishop Sankey

Bishop Sankey From TheTennessean.com: “He was the first running back chosen in the 2014 draft and the 54th overall selection, but Sankey did not explode onto the scene for the Titans last year. He averaged 3.7 yards on his 152 carries and his longest run was for just 22 yards. Sankey contributed a bit in the passing game with 18 catches for 133 yards, but…...

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Eddie Lacy Should Be The No. 1 Pick in 2015

I’ve been using the various RotoViz apps to research RBs as I prepare for my first serious drafts of 2015. One of the biggest surprises is the way in which our Projection Machine rankings are down on Eddie Lacy. Frequent readers will know that I was not a big fan of Lacy heading into the 2013 Draft. I was wrong. Being responsive to new information…...

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RotoViz Radio: Evan Silva & Pat Thorman – Episode 70

Episode 70 (July 21, 2015): The seventieth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX). If you’re a listener of the show who isn’t subscribing yet to RotoViz you can get a special 20% subscription discount through the podcast. Cohost: Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) Pat is a Lead Writer for PFF Fantasy and a Consultant for…...

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Booms, Busts and Emmanuel Sanders

This series started by introducing a new way of looking at weekly risk and then focused on WR1s.  Now the spotlight is on the WR2s. Within the WR2 tier, there are only three players who have played more than one season with their current team, and Julian Edelman is the only player who has been with his team for more than two years. For more…...

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Why Andrew Luck Should Not Be Your First Pick in Dynasty Leagues

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode wrote a great piece arguing for Andrew Luck as the first overall pick in dynasty startup drafts. I had always been pretty firmly opposed to it on principle, but the piece certainly warmed me to the idea. But I still don’t think Andrew Luck should be the first pick in dynasty drafts. To help me explain, I’ve enlisted the help of four other QBs: Aaron…...

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Next Level Game Theory for Fantasy Football

Have you ever played a certain wide receiver because of the quarterback your opponent was starting? Have you ever picked up a defense or tight end off waivers not because you need one, but because your opponent’s top option was on a bye week? Do you often fade players that are likely to be highly owned in DFS tournaments? If you in any way take…...

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Drafting QBs in Superflex – How Late is Too Late?

What does it mean to wait on quarterback in a superflex league? Simply by virtue of the roster requirements, it is unlikely to mean the same thing in superflex that it does in a traditional one-quarterback league. It does not mean QB5 is on the board until pick 60 and QB15 until pick 122, like we are seeing in MFL10 drafts this year. Last week,…...

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Way Too Early High Stakes Best Ball ADP

In a week’s time two of our writers, Kevin Cole and AJ Bessette, will face off against a slew of fantasy experts and high stakes players in the FFPC/Fantasy Mojo Pros vs. Joes competition. I chose Kevin and AJ to represent RotoViz for a couple of reasons. First, they both play the higher buy-in levels of the MFL10 contest, so they have some relevant game…...

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So You’re Saying There’s a Chance? – Mark Sanchez Edition

I’m not saying Mark Sanchez will win you free money in your MFL10 leagues this year, but I am saying it’s possible. Hear me out.[1]Hat tip to commenter Joseph Rupp, who suggested this article back in June. At the end of May, Eagles’ coach Chip Kelly said Sanchez and Sam Bradford would have an open competition for the starting job this year: Q. In the…...

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jordan matthews 2017

Daily Fantasy Sports First Impressions: FanDuel Week 1 Pricing

It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I…...

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An Open Letter To Norv Turner; Subtitle: Play Jarius Wright

The Vikings are one of the most popular break-out picks this offseason and for good reason. The defense improved greatly after just one season under Mike Zimmer, Norv Turner is calling plays, Teddy Bridgewater looks like he could be a long term solution to their quarterback problem, and the team will see the return of Adrian Peterson as well as the addition of Mike Wallace…....

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Wide Receivers Who Consistently Outperform Their ADPs

In 2014, six of the top-10, and 16 of the top-24 wide receivers outperformed their ADPs (all WR1 and WR2’s). The purpose of this article is not to project where any of these players finish in 2015 – but only to look at potential opportunities to draft players that are consistently undervalued and, using the WR Similarity Score App, assess their chances to outperform their current…...

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Dynasty: The 4 Safest Second Round Rookie Picks

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode found that only around one in four rookies drafted in the second round of rookie drafts succeed. Success in this case meaning a top 24 finish for a running back or wide receiver or a top 12 finish for a quarterback or tight end.((As the sample in question plays more seasons over time, I think we can expect that hit rate…...

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The Lowdown: Washington Running Game and the Cowboys’ Backfield

Washington Running Game From RealRedskins.com: “Who will carry the ball? Gruden has assured us on multiple occasions that Alfred Morris is still the workhorse running back so until I see something different I’ll believe him. Morris carried 265 times last year so let’s say stays right around in that area. Rookie Matt Jones should get the 40 carries that the departed Roy Helu had last…...

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The 8 Breakout WRs You Must Own in 2015

Breakout WRs are frequently the league-winning players in fantasy football since they’re an important part of both a Zero RB and a RB-RB approach. In 2013 RotoViz helped pick Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery, and that led to some pretty crazy results. The big winner in 2014 was DeAndre Hopkins. While 2015 doesn’t have a no-brainer selection in terms of both profile and price, the…...

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Which WR2s Are Most Likely to Post a Top 24 season?

In 2014, five teams had TWO wide receivers finish in the top 24 (PPR). Ten WRs came from five offenses leaving only 14 other teams to fill the balance of the top 24. The remaining 13 NFL teams, 40 percent of the league were devoid of consistent top WR production. With so many teams not even having one WR in the top 24, how worthy is a…...

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Learning To Love Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram has long been a punchline. Now that his rookie contract is over we can safely say the Saints’ decision to draft him was a mistake. But neither of those things matter now. What does matter is that Ingram is cheaper than he should be, and is shaping up to be a potential league-winner in 2015. He may have been a punchline before, but here’s…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

Dynasty Debate: Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

The Demaryius Thomas Effect Alshon Jeffery looks primed to provide plenty of fantasy football production for his owners in 2015, but where does Kevin White come into the picture, and will his presence come at the expense of Jeffery? Is it possible that the pendulum could actually swing in White’s favor, and if so, when?   Jeffery has the clear advantage in the short term…...

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Alex Smith Probably Isn’t Tom Brady Circa 2007, But He Might Be Closer Than You Think

A year ago, I wrote an ill-fated Banana Stand article half-seriously projecting a Tom Brady 2007 style breakout for Alex Smith. I should probably be embarrassed by that piece, but admitting you like Alex Smith is a little like advertising your bad dynasty trades. I’d rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong ones, as the former should lead to much…...

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What Was All That One in a Million Talk? – Justin Hunter Edition

This is what I wrote about Justin Hunter before he was arrested for felonious assault: I do think that his athletic profile means that if he ever did hit, the upside could be high. But the overwhelming majority of evidence that we have right now says that he isn’t good. Despite that athletic profile he didn’t really dominate in college (which may have been related…...

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The Lowdown: Saints to use TE by Committee? Titans Expect More From Bishop Sankey

Bishop Sankey From TheTennessean.com: “He was the first running back chosen in the 2014 draft and the 54th overall selection, but Sankey did not explode onto the scene for the Titans last year. He averaged 3.7 yards on his 152 carries and his longest run was for just 22 yards. Sankey contributed a bit in the passing game with 18 catches for 133 yards, but…...

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Eddie Lacy Should Be The No. 1 Pick in 2015

I’ve been using the various RotoViz apps to research RBs as I prepare for my first serious drafts of 2015. One of the biggest surprises is the way in which our Projection Machine rankings are down on Eddie Lacy. Frequent readers will know that I was not a big fan of Lacy heading into the 2013 Draft. I was wrong. Being responsive to new information…...

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RotoViz Radio: Evan Silva & Pat Thorman – Episode 70

Episode 70 (July 21, 2015): The seventieth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX). If you’re a listener of the show who isn’t subscribing yet to RotoViz you can get a special 20% subscription discount through the podcast. Cohost: Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) Pat is a Lead Writer for PFF Fantasy and a Consultant for…...

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Booms, Busts and Emmanuel Sanders

This series started by introducing a new way of looking at weekly risk and then focused on WR1s.  Now the spotlight is on the WR2s. Within the WR2 tier, there are only three players who have played more than one season with their current team, and Julian Edelman is the only player who has been with his team for more than two years. For more…...

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Why Andrew Luck Should Not Be Your First Pick in Dynasty Leagues

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode wrote a great piece arguing for Andrew Luck as the first overall pick in dynasty startup drafts. I had always been pretty firmly opposed to it on principle, but the piece certainly warmed me to the idea. But I still don’t think Andrew Luck should be the first pick in dynasty drafts. To help me explain, I’ve enlisted the help of four other QBs: Aaron…...

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Next Level Game Theory for Fantasy Football

Have you ever played a certain wide receiver because of the quarterback your opponent was starting? Have you ever picked up a defense or tight end off waivers not because you need one, but because your opponent’s top option was on a bye week? Do you often fade players that are likely to be highly owned in DFS tournaments? If you in any way take…...

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Drafting QBs in Superflex – How Late is Too Late?

What does it mean to wait on quarterback in a superflex league? Simply by virtue of the roster requirements, it is unlikely to mean the same thing in superflex that it does in a traditional one-quarterback league. It does not mean QB5 is on the board until pick 60 and QB15 until pick 122, like we are seeing in MFL10 drafts this year. Last week,…...

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Way Too Early High Stakes Best Ball ADP

In a week’s time two of our writers, Kevin Cole and AJ Bessette, will face off against a slew of fantasy experts and high stakes players in the FFPC/Fantasy Mojo Pros vs. Joes competition. I chose Kevin and AJ to represent RotoViz for a couple of reasons. First, they both play the higher buy-in levels of the MFL10 contest, so they have some relevant game…...

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So You’re Saying There’s a Chance? – Mark Sanchez Edition

I’m not saying Mark Sanchez will win you free money in your MFL10 leagues this year, but I am saying it’s possible. Hear me out.[1]Hat tip to commenter Joseph Rupp, who suggested this article back in June. At the end of May, Eagles’ coach Chip Kelly said Sanchez and Sam Bradford would have an open competition for the starting job this year: Q. In the…...

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jordan matthews 2017

Daily Fantasy Sports First Impressions: FanDuel Week 1 Pricing

It’s late July and FanDuel has already released their pricing for Week 1. So here I am trying to delve into these prices already. I’m not going to go too in depth on these, but just wanted to rattle off my thoughts. A lot can change between now and then, between injuries and roster changes, but these are my first impressions of their pricing. I…...

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An Open Letter To Norv Turner; Subtitle: Play Jarius Wright

The Vikings are one of the most popular break-out picks this offseason and for good reason. The defense improved greatly after just one season under Mike Zimmer, Norv Turner is calling plays, Teddy Bridgewater looks like he could be a long term solution to their quarterback problem, and the team will see the return of Adrian Peterson as well as the addition of Mike Wallace…....

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Wide Receivers Who Consistently Outperform Their ADPs

In 2014, six of the top-10, and 16 of the top-24 wide receivers outperformed their ADPs (all WR1 and WR2’s). The purpose of this article is not to project where any of these players finish in 2015 – but only to look at potential opportunities to draft players that are consistently undervalued and, using the WR Similarity Score App, assess their chances to outperform their current…...

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Dynasty: The 4 Safest Second Round Rookie Picks

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode found that only around one in four rookies drafted in the second round of rookie drafts succeed. Success in this case meaning a top 24 finish for a running back or wide receiver or a top 12 finish for a quarterback or tight end.((As the sample in question plays more seasons over time, I think we can expect that hit rate…...

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The Lowdown: Washington Running Game and the Cowboys’ Backfield

Washington Running Game From RealRedskins.com: “Who will carry the ball? Gruden has assured us on multiple occasions that Alfred Morris is still the workhorse running back so until I see something different I’ll believe him. Morris carried 265 times last year so let’s say stays right around in that area. Rookie Matt Jones should get the 40 carries that the departed Roy Helu had last…...

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The 8 Breakout WRs You Must Own in 2015

Breakout WRs are frequently the league-winning players in fantasy football since they’re an important part of both a Zero RB and a RB-RB approach. In 2013 RotoViz helped pick Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffery, and that led to some pretty crazy results. The big winner in 2014 was DeAndre Hopkins. While 2015 doesn’t have a no-brainer selection in terms of both profile and price, the…...

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Which WR2s Are Most Likely to Post a Top 24 season?

In 2014, five teams had TWO wide receivers finish in the top 24 (PPR). Ten WRs came from five offenses leaving only 14 other teams to fill the balance of the top 24. The remaining 13 NFL teams, 40 percent of the league were devoid of consistent top WR production. With so many teams not even having one WR in the top 24, how worthy is a…...

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Learning To Love Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram has long been a punchline. Now that his rookie contract is over we can safely say the Saints’ decision to draft him was a mistake. But neither of those things matter now. What does matter is that Ingram is cheaper than he should be, and is shaping up to be a potential league-winner in 2015. He may have been a punchline before, but here’s…...

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The Demaryius Thomas Effect, Starring Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

Dynasty Debate: Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White

The Demaryius Thomas Effect Alshon Jeffery looks primed to provide plenty of fantasy football production for his owners in 2015, but where does Kevin White come into the picture, and will his presence come at the expense of Jeffery? Is it possible that the pendulum could actually swing in White’s favor, and if so, when?   Jeffery has the clear advantage in the short term…...

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Alex Smith Probably Isn’t Tom Brady Circa 2007, But He Might Be Closer Than You Think

A year ago, I wrote an ill-fated Banana Stand article half-seriously projecting a Tom Brady 2007 style breakout for Alex Smith. I should probably be embarrassed by that piece, but admitting you like Alex Smith is a little like advertising your bad dynasty trades. I’d rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong ones, as the former should lead to much…...

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What Was All That One in a Million Talk? – Justin Hunter Edition

This is what I wrote about Justin Hunter before he was arrested for felonious assault: I do think that his athletic profile means that if he ever did hit, the upside could be high. But the overwhelming majority of evidence that we have right now says that he isn’t good. Despite that athletic profile he didn’t really dominate in college (which may have been related…...

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The Lowdown: Saints to use TE by Committee? Titans Expect More From Bishop Sankey

Bishop Sankey From TheTennessean.com: “He was the first running back chosen in the 2014 draft and the 54th overall selection, but Sankey did not explode onto the scene for the Titans last year. He averaged 3.7 yards on his 152 carries and his longest run was for just 22 yards. Sankey contributed a bit in the passing game with 18 catches for 133 yards, but…...

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Eddie Lacy Should Be The No. 1 Pick in 2015

I’ve been using the various RotoViz apps to research RBs as I prepare for my first serious drafts of 2015. One of the biggest surprises is the way in which our Projection Machine rankings are down on Eddie Lacy. Frequent readers will know that I was not a big fan of Lacy heading into the 2013 Draft. I was wrong. Being responsive to new information…...

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RotoViz Radio: Evan Silva & Pat Thorman – Episode 70

Episode 70 (July 21, 2015): The seventieth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX). If you’re a listener of the show who isn’t subscribing yet to RotoViz you can get a special 20% subscription discount through the podcast. Cohost: Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) Pat is a Lead Writer for PFF Fantasy and a Consultant for…...

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Booms, Busts and Emmanuel Sanders

This series started by introducing a new way of looking at weekly risk and then focused on WR1s.  Now the spotlight is on the WR2s. Within the WR2 tier, there are only three players who have played more than one season with their current team, and Julian Edelman is the only player who has been with his team for more than two years. For more…...

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Why Andrew Luck Should Not Be Your First Pick in Dynasty Leagues

Earlier this offseason, Jacob Rickrode wrote a great piece arguing for Andrew Luck as the first overall pick in dynasty startup drafts. I had always been pretty firmly opposed to it on principle, but the piece certainly warmed me to the idea. But I still don’t think Andrew Luck should be the first pick in dynasty drafts. To help me explain, I’ve enlisted the help of four other QBs: Aaron…...

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Next Level Game Theory for Fantasy Football

Have you ever played a certain wide receiver because of the quarterback your opponent was starting? Have you ever picked up a defense or tight end off waivers not because you need one, but because your opponent’s top option was on a bye week? Do you often fade players that are likely to be highly owned in DFS tournaments? If you in any way take…...

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Drafting QBs in Superflex – How Late is Too Late?

What does it mean to wait on quarterback in a superflex league? Simply by virtue of the roster requirements, it is unlikely to mean the same thing in superflex that it does in a traditional one-quarterback league. It does not mean QB5 is on the board until pick 60 and QB15 until pick 122, like we are seeing in MFL10 drafts this year. Last week,…...

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Way Too Early High Stakes Best Ball ADP

In a week’s time two of our writers, Kevin Cole and AJ Bessette, will face off against a slew of fantasy experts and high stakes players in the FFPC/Fantasy Mojo Pros vs. Joes competition. I chose Kevin and AJ to represent RotoViz for a couple of reasons. First, they both play the higher buy-in levels of the MFL10 contest, so they have some relevant game…...

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So You’re Saying There’s a Chance? – Mark Sanchez Edition

I’m not saying Mark Sanchez will win you free money in your MFL10 leagues this year, but I am saying it’s possible. Hear me out.[1]Hat tip to commenter Joseph Rupp, who suggested this article back in June. At the end of May, Eagles’ coach Chip Kelly said Sanchez and Sam Bradford would have an open competition for the starting job this year: Q. In the…...

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