According to the Best Ball ADP App, Lamar Miller is currently being drafted halfway through the third round as the 15th running back off the board in fantasy drafts. Perfect. That makes Miller not only cheap enough to be a bargain, but it makes him a bargain at a point in the draft where talent tends to drop off. Here are three reasons why you should target…...

When we look at drafting a rookie running back, one of the most important factors is the existing barrier to entry. In other words, what is stopping this running back from getting on the field? In Atlanta, I see a unique situation where rookie Tevin Coleman offers a much more compelling profile than incumbent starter Devonta Freeman. Rookie Production In his rookie year, Freeman was…...

In real life, I sometimes have to hire – or fire – people. It’s not personal, it’s business. To keep track of the comings and goings, our corporate HR department tracks annual employee turnover using a simple formula: Separations / Total Positions = Turnover Rate I thought I’d apply the same formula to dynasty fantasy football to see which positions are the most stable. Up first: Quarterbacks…....

Nick Toon From the New Orleans Advocate: “We saw at times last year in practice, even though he’s not receiving reps in the games, certainly we’ve seen his progression, he understands the system well and he’s working hard,” Payton said. “I think the key is just getting snaps, but I think we’ll see his snaps go way up.” Nick Toon has been used sparingly throughout…...

Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Nelson Agholor will finish as the number one rookie fantasy football wide receiver in 2015. Head coach Chip Kelly’s offensive scheme has produced a top 15 fantasy wide receiver in each of his two seasons in the NFL. The 2013 Eagles offense propelled DeSean Jackson to a career year. He was replaced in 2014 by a healthy Jeremy Maclin, who also had…...

Over the weekend I did some really simple analysis to try to optimize three defense combos in MFL10 drafts. I used the touchdown/interception differential for every offense in 2014 to estimate offensive strength in 2015. It’s not a perfect measure but it will do for now. Then I calculated the best weekly matchup for every three defense combo for 2015. When you eliminate duplicates there…...

The Dynasty App offers a number of useful features, among them the ability to review dynasty startup ADP and spot situations to exploit, or avoid. Here are 10 players to avoid at their current ADPs, and some recommendations for alternate selections. While I’m writing in the context of a dynasty start up, many of these thoughts apply to redraft leagues as well. Scoring is PPR. Quarterback Matthew…...

A little over a week ago I dug into a mound of stats – most of them courtesy of our colleagues at Pro Football Focus – and when I came out on the other side, no I didn’t find myself in China, but with an interesting stat that I so boringly named Catchable Pass Rate. That article showed you how quarterbacks deliver the football to all…...

Amari Cooper was the first wide receiver selected in this year’s NFL draft, and expectations are high for his rookie season. Team RotoViz likes Cooper a lot as well – perhaps too much. Here’s our staff composite projection for Cooper’s rookie season. Player Proj Finish FP Tar Rec Yds YPR TD Amari Cooper WR18 226.6 132 82 1019 12.5 6.6 On the surface, that seems like…...

Cheap pass catchers. It’s what Dire Straits was really singing about. Here’s a quick rundown of some wide receiver values, courtesy of the ADP Arbitrage App. Vincent Jackson vs. Marques Colston I’ve been waiting for Colston to reach the end of the line for a while now, but he’s so cheap he’s become a good investment. Our staff projections have them finishing within a few points…...

Jared Abbrederis is on the roster bubble, in part because Jeff Janis is “way ahead of him.” Might want to acquire Janis if your bench has room. If you look at all the non-Jordy Nelson, non-Randall Cobb receivers in Green Bay, Janis looks to be the best of the bunch. Player Ht Wt 40 SpdScore Explosion msRECYDS msTDs TD/G Jeff Janis 75 219 4.42 115 160.5 0.45 0.45…...

I just overpaid for Christine Michael in a dynasty league by giving Sigmund Bloom a 2017 first round pick in exchange for Michael. Even though I overpaid, I went into this trade with eyes wide open, so let me explain how I looked at it and why I did it. First, here’s what the trade calculator in the Dynasty App has to say about Michael’s value…...

When Antonio Gates was suspended by the league for four games, everyone’s immediate reaction was to invest in Ladarius Green. However, as I said on the latest RotoViz Report, this should be a cue to draft Keenan Allen. I figured it would be good to flesh out the argument I made for him. Allen is Already a Big Part of the Offense Instead of investing in a player we think should…...

Brandin Cooks sure seems like a number one dynasty wide receiver. He’s phenomenally young, impossibly athletic, and he owns one of the most productive college seasons of all time. By some accounts, he was perhaps the best small WR prospect ever. He has an elite quarterback in Drew Brees, and his only real competition for targets…is now playing for the Seahawks.  So why is he being selected…...

What did Marqise Lee ever do to the dynasty community? Around this time last year he was being drafted number 12 overall in rookie drafts, which plenty of highly respected experts considered a steal. Only a year later he’s sporting an ADP of 144.2 in dynasty start-ups. He’s being drafted as the 59th wide receiver behind guys like Cordarrelle Patterson and just before something called…...

Not all touches are created equal. You’ve probably heard this before if you have played fantasy football for any length of time. For running backs in particular, there are two situations fantasy owners keep track of: third downs and in the red-zone. Just how important are those touches, and can it tell us anything for 2015? That’s precisely what I set out to discover…. Membership...

Dwayne Bowe From ProFootballTalk.com: “That’s what I’m going to show you guys,” Bowe said, via Cleveland.com. “It’s going to be exciting, especially with a new uniform, a new city, new everything, I’m going to feel good. With Alex Mack and Joe Thomas, we’re going to have a lot of time to hit that deep ball even in the red zone. I never had a quarterback…...

The 2014 wide receiver class may very well go down as the best of all time. But that doesn’t change the fact that some of the WRs are bound to have disappointing careers. Paul Richardson seems likely to be a bust after re-tearing his ACL. If thinking rationally, Cody Latimer should be expected to bust. How about this one: Jarvis Landry. Here are three simple reasons why I expect Landry to…...