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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Deep Sleeper Wide Receivers: How Low Can You Go?

As both the NFL and fantasy seasons are on summer vacation, I thought I’d take a quick look at some deep sleeper wide receivers that might, maybe, possibly, have some fantasy relevance later. Odds are against these players; think of this exercise as updating your emergency waiver claim lists. To get an opportunity, these players would need to flat-out dominate in training camp, or benefit from an injury…...

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Antonio Brown – Buy the Boom, Skip the Bust

The first article of this series introduced the concept of using High Floor and Boom/Bust “prototypes” to better understand the week-to-week risk a player brings to your roster. The rest of the series will step through the wide receiver tiers, WR1 down to WR4. The following focuses on the WR1’s…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Doug Martin and Why You Can’t Write Off Running Backs After Early Career Struggles

After several years in RB purgatory, Doug Martin seems on the verge of bouncing back for the 2015 season. Justin Bailey has been doing a great job of keeping us updated on relevant news around the NFL. One of his recent blurbs discussed a possible renaissance…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Lowdown: Nothing but Praise for Amari Cooper

From Raiders.com: “I think Amari Cooper is going to rip it up, just watching what we’ve seen from him in Oakland, his route running has even improved from the time he left Alabama,” Brooks said. “He is going to be a guy who right now comes in and plays.” “He’s destined for a Day 1 break out,” Burleson said. “Not saying he’s Marvin Harrison, but…...

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Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 1 to 5

We began with the candidates ranked No. 15 through No. 11. In that article I presented an evidence-based methodology for finding RB gems in the middle and late rounds. We then continued our countdown with No. 10 through No. 6 and found three rookies with a chance to pay immediate dividends. As we finish today with the final five, we’ll end up with three teams…...

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The Browns Wide Receivers Are a Huge Bargain… But There’s a Catch

One of the cool things about the new composite projections we’ve been working on is it allows us to sort the players by rank in a given category. Even cooler, we can sort players by the difference between their ADP and projected finish to see who are the biggest bargains or the worst values. I did just that at the wide receiver position. The three…...

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The Numbers Game: Staff Target Projections & Wide Receiver Values – Episode 5

Episode 5 (June 24, 2015): The fifth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Locating the 5 Highest Upside Receivers for 2015

I like to build my draft board taking into account a variety of evidence-based approaches. In trying to determine picks at the very top of the draft, this means making sure as much evidence as possible points in the same direction. For this study, I wanted to use the RotoViz apps to discover which receivers had the highest upside. As a simple means of identifying…...

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Curious Clues From the Sim Scores App: QB Edition

I think the Similarity Scores App is pretty amazing, and it tends to get overlooked around here, among all the other great tools and content. I recommend you read this post by The Douche, which tells you everything you need to know about how the app works. But here’s the nutshell version: It’s not perfect. It doesn’t know everything. It probably just knows a lot…...

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The Lowdown: Zach Ertz’ Expanding Role & Stevie Johnson’s Chemistry

Zach Ertz From CSNPhilly.com: Kelly kept four tight ends last year but only needs three. Look for Ertz to make a sizable jump in snaps, and for Burton, an excellent special-teamer, to be groomed into a future No. 2 behind Ertz…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Say Goodbye to Murray and Hello to Helu

There are several running back competition and committee situations going into the 2015 NFL season. One of the less discussed instances is the situation in Oakland. With a new head coach in Jack Del Rio and a new offensive coordinator in Bill Musgrave, the pair are looking to significantly improve upon the team’s basement level rushing rank of #32 last season. Leading the way thus far are…...

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Isaiah Crowell Was Efficient as a Rookie, But He’s Not the Browns RB League-Winner

Due to the presence of Isaiah Crowell, Terrance West, and Duke Johnson, the Browns look like an interesting fantasy backfield if you can pick the right player. In 2014 West led the backs in yards from scrimmage (737 to 694), but Crowell was the more efficient player and seemed to be coming on down the stretch before his Week 17 benching. In fact, Crowell was…...

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RotoViz Radio: Pat Mayo & Matt Kelley – Episode 66

Episode 66 (July 1, 2015): The sixty-sixth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Matt Kelley (@Fantasy_Mansion) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Perennial Dynasty Studs and the Elite 24 Receivers

Last off season I wrote a series on Positional Rankings. The series reviewed the top scoring PPR finishes going back to 2000.  The original intention was to find patterns that could assist in assessing dynasty assets. I wanted a simpler way to finding building blocks that didn’t involve projecting stats for several years. Don’t write this off as strictly a dynasty article though. If you…...

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The Colts Defense – Your Contrarian Streaming and Best Ball Defense

Just a quick post to offer some really solid reasons that you should move up the Colts on your list of streaming and best ball defenses. The Colts weren’t very good on defense last year but they were better than I thought they were going to be. But because of the combination of their schedule and the offense’s ability to get teams in negative game…...

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Reports of Peyton Manning’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated

Last season ended p0orly for Peyton Manning, culminating in a blowout playoff loss to the Colts. It may have been even worse for fantasy owners. They started Manning every week on their way to the playoffs, and once he got there Manning was an albatross on their team. I couldn’t be happier about that. Last season Manning was consistently being drafted in the 1st or 2nd…...

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We Should Probably Slow Our Roll on Joseph Randle

It’s time. Joseph Randle is being drafted too high, and somebody has to say something about it. I’ve read all the stories, I’ve heard all the arguments for him to be a great success this year, but as RB27 off the board in recent MFL10’s and RB21 on Fantasy Football Calculator, people are paying too high a price. It’s time to convince you to stay away…...

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Is the Next UDFA RB Star in Green Bay?

In dynasty leagues I am always looking for cheap assets that could one day either produce for my team or could help net me a nice return on a trade. Last year if you were stashing guys like Charles Johnson, Dan Herron or CJ Anderson this could have been you. Today I want to present to you my latest stash target on the Green Bay…...

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Walking A Fine Line With Jordy Nelson

Age plays an immense factor in dynasty value. Perhaps too much of a factor, causing owners to make ill-advised moves out of fear of holding a player too long and not being able to recoup any value due to declining production. But there is always a grey area when the perception of a player’s value varies wildly and fantasy owners are forced to walk a…...

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4 Reasons to Draft Theo Riddick in PPR Leagues

What if I told you that there was a running back out there who was a super-efficient receiver last season, saw a tremendous decline in price, and should still have a big role this season? Would you be interested in drafting that RB? Here are four reasons to draft Theo Riddick. Riddick’s Receiving Efficiency If you are looking to draft Riddick at all this season, the…...

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Deep Sleeper Wide Receivers: How Low Can You Go?

As both the NFL and fantasy seasons are on summer vacation, I thought I’d take a quick look at some deep sleeper wide receivers that might, maybe, possibly, have some fantasy relevance later. Odds are against these players; think of this exercise as updating your emergency waiver claim lists. To get an opportunity, these players would need to flat-out dominate in training camp, or benefit from an injury…...

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Antonio Brown – Buy the Boom, Skip the Bust

The first article of this series introduced the concept of using High Floor and Boom/Bust “prototypes” to better understand the week-to-week risk a player brings to your roster. The rest of the series will step through the wide receiver tiers, WR1 down to WR4. The following focuses on the WR1’s…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Doug Martin and Why You Can’t Write Off Running Backs After Early Career Struggles

After several years in RB purgatory, Doug Martin seems on the verge of bouncing back for the 2015 season. Justin Bailey has been doing a great job of keeping us updated on relevant news around the NFL. One of his recent blurbs discussed a possible renaissance…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Lowdown: Nothing but Praise for Amari Cooper

From Raiders.com: “I think Amari Cooper is going to rip it up, just watching what we’ve seen from him in Oakland, his route running has even improved from the time he left Alabama,” Brooks said. “He is going to be a guy who right now comes in and plays.” “He’s destined for a Day 1 break out,” Burleson said. “Not saying he’s Marvin Harrison, but…...

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Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 1 to 5

We began with the candidates ranked No. 15 through No. 11. In that article I presented an evidence-based methodology for finding RB gems in the middle and late rounds. We then continued our countdown with No. 10 through No. 6 and found three rookies with a chance to pay immediate dividends. As we finish today with the final five, we’ll end up with three teams…...

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The Browns Wide Receivers Are a Huge Bargain… But There’s a Catch

One of the cool things about the new composite projections we’ve been working on is it allows us to sort the players by rank in a given category. Even cooler, we can sort players by the difference between their ADP and projected finish to see who are the biggest bargains or the worst values. I did just that at the wide receiver position. The three…...

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The Numbers Game: Staff Target Projections & Wide Receiver Values – Episode 5

Episode 5 (June 24, 2015): The fifth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Locating the 5 Highest Upside Receivers for 2015

I like to build my draft board taking into account a variety of evidence-based approaches. In trying to determine picks at the very top of the draft, this means making sure as much evidence as possible points in the same direction. For this study, I wanted to use the RotoViz apps to discover which receivers had the highest upside. As a simple means of identifying…...

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Curious Clues From the Sim Scores App: QB Edition

I think the Similarity Scores App is pretty amazing, and it tends to get overlooked around here, among all the other great tools and content. I recommend you read this post by The Douche, which tells you everything you need to know about how the app works. But here’s the nutshell version: It’s not perfect. It doesn’t know everything. It probably just knows a lot…...

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The Lowdown: Zach Ertz’ Expanding Role & Stevie Johnson’s Chemistry

Zach Ertz From CSNPhilly.com: Kelly kept four tight ends last year but only needs three. Look for Ertz to make a sizable jump in snaps, and for Burton, an excellent special-teamer, to be groomed into a future No. 2 behind Ertz…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Say Goodbye to Murray and Hello to Helu

There are several running back competition and committee situations going into the 2015 NFL season. One of the less discussed instances is the situation in Oakland. With a new head coach in Jack Del Rio and a new offensive coordinator in Bill Musgrave, the pair are looking to significantly improve upon the team’s basement level rushing rank of #32 last season. Leading the way thus far are…...

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Isaiah Crowell Was Efficient as a Rookie, But He’s Not the Browns RB League-Winner

Due to the presence of Isaiah Crowell, Terrance West, and Duke Johnson, the Browns look like an interesting fantasy backfield if you can pick the right player. In 2014 West led the backs in yards from scrimmage (737 to 694), but Crowell was the more efficient player and seemed to be coming on down the stretch before his Week 17 benching. In fact, Crowell was…...

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RotoViz Radio: Pat Mayo & Matt Kelley – Episode 66

Episode 66 (July 1, 2015): The sixty-sixth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Matt Kelley (@Fantasy_Mansion) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Perennial Dynasty Studs and the Elite 24 Receivers

Last off season I wrote a series on Positional Rankings. The series reviewed the top scoring PPR finishes going back to 2000.  The original intention was to find patterns that could assist in assessing dynasty assets. I wanted a simpler way to finding building blocks that didn’t involve projecting stats for several years. Don’t write this off as strictly a dynasty article though. If you…...

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The Colts Defense – Your Contrarian Streaming and Best Ball Defense

Just a quick post to offer some really solid reasons that you should move up the Colts on your list of streaming and best ball defenses. The Colts weren’t very good on defense last year but they were better than I thought they were going to be. But because of the combination of their schedule and the offense’s ability to get teams in negative game…...

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Reports of Peyton Manning’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated

Last season ended p0orly for Peyton Manning, culminating in a blowout playoff loss to the Colts. It may have been even worse for fantasy owners. They started Manning every week on their way to the playoffs, and once he got there Manning was an albatross on their team. I couldn’t be happier about that. Last season Manning was consistently being drafted in the 1st or 2nd…...

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We Should Probably Slow Our Roll on Joseph Randle

It’s time. Joseph Randle is being drafted too high, and somebody has to say something about it. I’ve read all the stories, I’ve heard all the arguments for him to be a great success this year, but as RB27 off the board in recent MFL10’s and RB21 on Fantasy Football Calculator, people are paying too high a price. It’s time to convince you to stay away…...

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Is the Next UDFA RB Star in Green Bay?

In dynasty leagues I am always looking for cheap assets that could one day either produce for my team or could help net me a nice return on a trade. Last year if you were stashing guys like Charles Johnson, Dan Herron or CJ Anderson this could have been you. Today I want to present to you my latest stash target on the Green Bay…...

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Walking A Fine Line With Jordy Nelson

Age plays an immense factor in dynasty value. Perhaps too much of a factor, causing owners to make ill-advised moves out of fear of holding a player too long and not being able to recoup any value due to declining production. But there is always a grey area when the perception of a player’s value varies wildly and fantasy owners are forced to walk a…...

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4 Reasons to Draft Theo Riddick in PPR Leagues

What if I told you that there was a running back out there who was a super-efficient receiver last season, saw a tremendous decline in price, and should still have a big role this season? Would you be interested in drafting that RB? Here are four reasons to draft Theo Riddick. Riddick’s Receiving Efficiency If you are looking to draft Riddick at all this season, the…...

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Deep Sleeper Wide Receivers: How Low Can You Go?

As both the NFL and fantasy seasons are on summer vacation, I thought I’d take a quick look at some deep sleeper wide receivers that might, maybe, possibly, have some fantasy relevance later. Odds are against these players; think of this exercise as updating your emergency waiver claim lists. To get an opportunity, these players would need to flat-out dominate in training camp, or benefit from an injury…...

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Antonio Brown – Buy the Boom, Skip the Bust

The first article of this series introduced the concept of using High Floor and Boom/Bust “prototypes” to better understand the week-to-week risk a player brings to your roster. The rest of the series will step through the wide receiver tiers, WR1 down to WR4. The following focuses on the WR1’s…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member?...

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Doug Martin and Why You Can’t Write Off Running Backs After Early Career Struggles

After several years in RB purgatory, Doug Martin seems on the verge of bouncing back for the 2015 season. Justin Bailey has been doing a great job of keeping us updated on relevant news around the NFL. One of his recent blurbs discussed a possible renaissance…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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The Lowdown: Nothing but Praise for Amari Cooper

From Raiders.com: “I think Amari Cooper is going to rip it up, just watching what we’ve seen from him in Oakland, his route running has even improved from the time he left Alabama,” Brooks said. “He is going to be a guy who right now comes in and plays.” “He’s destined for a Day 1 break out,” Burleson said. “Not saying he’s Marvin Harrison, but…...

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Top 15 Zero RB Candidates: No. 1 to 5

We began with the candidates ranked No. 15 through No. 11. In that article I presented an evidence-based methodology for finding RB gems in the middle and late rounds. We then continued our countdown with No. 10 through No. 6 and found three rookies with a chance to pay immediate dividends. As we finish today with the final five, we’ll end up with three teams…...

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The Browns Wide Receivers Are a Huge Bargain… But There’s a Catch

One of the cool things about the new composite projections we’ve been working on is it allows us to sort the players by rank in a given category. Even cooler, we can sort players by the difference between their ADP and projected finish to see who are the biggest bargains or the worst values. I did just that at the wide receiver position. The three…...

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The Numbers Game: Staff Target Projections & Wide Receiver Values – Episode 5

Episode 5 (June 24, 2015): The fifth episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a RotoViz Radio powered podcast, hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) and Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Locating the 5 Highest Upside Receivers for 2015

I like to build my draft board taking into account a variety of evidence-based approaches. In trying to determine picks at the very top of the draft, this means making sure as much evidence as possible points in the same direction. For this study, I wanted to use the RotoViz apps to discover which receivers had the highest upside. As a simple means of identifying…...

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Curious Clues From the Sim Scores App: QB Edition

I think the Similarity Scores App is pretty amazing, and it tends to get overlooked around here, among all the other great tools and content. I recommend you read this post by The Douche, which tells you everything you need to know about how the app works. But here’s the nutshell version: It’s not perfect. It doesn’t know everything. It probably just knows a lot…...

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The Lowdown: Zach Ertz’ Expanding Role & Stevie Johnson’s Chemistry

Zach Ertz From CSNPhilly.com: Kelly kept four tight ends last year but only needs three. Look for Ertz to make a sizable jump in snaps, and for Burton, an excellent special-teamer, to be groomed into a future No. 2 behind Ertz…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Say Goodbye to Murray and Hello to Helu

There are several running back competition and committee situations going into the 2015 NFL season. One of the less discussed instances is the situation in Oakland. With a new head coach in Jack Del Rio and a new offensive coordinator in Bill Musgrave, the pair are looking to significantly improve upon the team’s basement level rushing rank of #32 last season. Leading the way thus far are…...

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Isaiah Crowell Was Efficient as a Rookie, But He’s Not the Browns RB League-Winner

Due to the presence of Isaiah Crowell, Terrance West, and Duke Johnson, the Browns look like an interesting fantasy backfield if you can pick the right player. In 2014 West led the backs in yards from scrimmage (737 to 694), but Crowell was the more efficient player and seemed to be coming on down the stretch before his Week 17 benching. In fact, Crowell was…...

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RotoViz Radio: Pat Mayo & Matt Kelley – Episode 66

Episode 66 (July 1, 2015): The sixty-sixth show of RotoViz Radio: A Fantasy Football Podcast (@RotoVizRadio), hosted by Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle), with Matt Kelley (@Fantasy_Mansion) filling in for Jon Moore (@TheCFX)…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Perennial Dynasty Studs and the Elite 24 Receivers

Last off season I wrote a series on Positional Rankings. The series reviewed the top scoring PPR finishes going back to 2000.  The original intention was to find patterns that could assist in assessing dynasty assets. I wanted a simpler way to finding building blocks that didn’t involve projecting stats for several years. Don’t write this off as strictly a dynasty article though. If you…...

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The Colts Defense – Your Contrarian Streaming and Best Ball Defense

Just a quick post to offer some really solid reasons that you should move up the Colts on your list of streaming and best ball defenses. The Colts weren’t very good on defense last year but they were better than I thought they were going to be. But because of the combination of their schedule and the offense’s ability to get teams in negative game…...

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Reports of Peyton Manning’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated

Last season ended p0orly for Peyton Manning, culminating in a blowout playoff loss to the Colts. It may have been even worse for fantasy owners. They started Manning every week on their way to the playoffs, and once he got there Manning was an albatross on their team. I couldn’t be happier about that. Last season Manning was consistently being drafted in the 1st or 2nd…...

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We Should Probably Slow Our Roll on Joseph Randle

It’s time. Joseph Randle is being drafted too high, and somebody has to say something about it. I’ve read all the stories, I’ve heard all the arguments for him to be a great success this year, but as RB27 off the board in recent MFL10’s and RB21 on Fantasy Football Calculator, people are paying too high a price. It’s time to convince you to stay away…...

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Is the Next UDFA RB Star in Green Bay?

In dynasty leagues I am always looking for cheap assets that could one day either produce for my team or could help net me a nice return on a trade. Last year if you were stashing guys like Charles Johnson, Dan Herron or CJ Anderson this could have been you. Today I want to present to you my latest stash target on the Green Bay…...

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Walking A Fine Line With Jordy Nelson

Age plays an immense factor in dynasty value. Perhaps too much of a factor, causing owners to make ill-advised moves out of fear of holding a player too long and not being able to recoup any value due to declining production. But there is always a grey area when the perception of a player’s value varies wildly and fantasy owners are forced to walk a…...

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4 Reasons to Draft Theo Riddick in PPR Leagues

What if I told you that there was a running back out there who was a super-efficient receiver last season, saw a tremendous decline in price, and should still have a big role this season? Would you be interested in drafting that RB? Here are four reasons to draft Theo Riddick. Riddick’s Receiving Efficiency If you are looking to draft Riddick at all this season, the…...

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