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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Using the Range of Outcomes and Projection Machine to Crush Your TE Selections

Your tight end strategy is one of the defining pillars of a draft. It is arguably the most important decision you will ever make (in fantasy football). Like quarterback, it is also often one of the most overlooked elements of roster construction. A key part of this decision is whether or not to use an early pick on a tight end. The factors that drive…...

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Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

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Tired of Paying for Najee Harris or Joe Mixon? 3 Undervalued Foundation Backs With Extreme Upside

Shawn Siegele looks at three extreme RB values from the ROO and judges whether human or machine is right. One of my favorite things about the RotoViz tools is the way they allow you to ask different questions and come at player value from different angles. When we use the Projection Machine, we can use the data on team tendencies, player histories, and teammate competition to…...

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The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

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Want Upside? These 4 Young RBs Are So Dynamic They Could Be Javonte Williams at a Fraction of the Cost

Shawn Siegele shares a few of his favorite breakout fantasy RBs and explains why they have massive upside at their 2022 prices. In Part 1, I used the Advanced Stats Explorer to look at 5 Veteran RBs With Gaudy Peripherals Who Are Poised to Smash ADP. The 2021 version of the article helped us win tournaments, and we’re hoping to be just half as lucky…...

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The Real Risk With Evans Before and After the Jones Signing

Shawn Siegele looks at Tampa Bay’s addition of Julio Jones and discusses the fantasy fallout for their other trio of receivers. Reports indicate that the Buccaneers have signed Julio Jones to a one-year contract. We’re still a ways from knowing if Tampa is serious about a role for the former star and if he can generate the type of glowing practice reports that made Antonio…...

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Late Round Tight Ends to Target in 2022

I know, I know. There must be literally dozens of people out there, unable to begin firmly crafting their redraft strategy for 2022 without knowing which late-round tight ends Neil Dutton, the position-obsessed writer from the UK, thinks could be in for a big year. The delay on my part has been inexcusable, and I beg forgiveness. But nonetheless, we are here now, ready and…...

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Why Rondale Moore Will Emerge as a Star in 2022

Second-year wide receivers have long been one of the cornerstones of winning in fantasy football. However, recent ADPs have made it more challenging to draft these breakouts, particularly on Underdog. This means that we need to pay particular attention when these players carry discounts. Rondale Moore goes at the end of the 10th round on Underdog and the 12th on FFPC. That he plays with Kyler Murray…...

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Don’t Give Up on These Exciting Receivers: 2 Teams with Sneaky Quarterback Upgrades

The new season brings with it several quarterback changes: Pittsburgh, Carolina, Denver, Washington, and more. For some of these receivers, it was an upgrade. For many, it looks like a downgrade. A few situations are ambiguous, particularly weaker offenses with receivers who have been productive in the past. With their ADPs dropping, could they present low-risk, high-reward options we want to chase? Today we’ll take…...

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The Next James Conner? 5 Veteran Running Backs With Gaudy Peripherals and the Potential to Smash ADP

Shawn Siegele breaks down the key metrics that help you find the next group of league-shattering running backs. When we debuted the Advanced Stats Explorer last summer, I wanted to share some of the cool information, so I wrote 5 Veteran RBs Who Were Much Better Than Advertised in 2020. Three of those backs ended up on the Zero RB Candidates list, and each member…...

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Can the Range of Outcomes Tool Find 3 Ways to Save Big on Ezekiel Elliott?

Shawn Siegele begins the 2022 Discount Series. Is there an easy way to draft Ezekiel Elliott’s upside without having to spring for his increasing price? Over the past several years, the Discount Series has led us to drafting league-winning players like Diontae Johnson, D’Andre Swift, Chris Godwin, and Devin Singletary. Locating those mispriced players goes a long way to winning leagues and taking down tournaments,…...

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Scott Fish Bowl: RotoViz’s Guide To #SFB12 Scoring And Strategy

The 2022 Scott Fish Bowl (#SFB12) kicks off today! The scoring format is mainly unchanged from prior Fish Bowls, with the largest changes impacting the kicker and quarterback positions. Matt Spencer ran several simulations and noted that only 42 points separate draft positions in average projected points, underscoring the balance in scoring for this format. Before I jump into the changes, here’s a quick primer…...

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Mind the Gap: 3 Backfields with Buying Opportunities

Last summer, I looked at big gap and small gap running backs to identify undervalued backs based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small gap backs, and from similar research by Charlie Kleinheksel before that. First, let’s define our terms: B1 and B2 running backs refer to a team’s RB1 and RB2 in backfields where there is…...

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3 Veterans Who Won the 2022 NFL Draft, and 3 Who Were Not as Fortunate (Plus 3 to Watch Closely)

Angad Uppal examines the veterans who gained the most from the 2022 NFL Draft, along with those whose value took big hits, and some other veterans to keep an eye on over the coming months. The NFL Draft has shuffled a lot of our rookie values. Now that we know landing spots, rankings are beginning to coalesce in surprising ways. Players we once thought of…...

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Let Jared Cook? The Tight End Report – Week 2

So how was your Week 1? You off to a flier, or already staring down the barrel? No matter! The fantasy football season, like its “real world” counterpart, is a marathon, not a sprint. There are plenty of twists and turns ahead. Here, for all your viewing pleasure, are all the key stats you need to know from the tight end position following the first…...

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3 Veterans to Exploit Soft Tight End Matchups at the Start of the Season: Week 1 Tight End Report

Week 1 is here, folks. Training camp reports are a thing of the past. Preseason games have been banished to the back of our collective minds. Hard Knocks is done and dusted for another year, with the highlight of the season being a three-minute drone shot flying through a building. All of this is over, with real games mere hours away as you read this…....

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4 Days of FFPC Drafting Remain – Blair Andrews Provides His Favorite Targets in Every Round

Blair Andrews, the mind behind The Wrong Read, goes through his top targets in every round of a 20-round fantasy draft. Which Year 2 receivers are we targeting everywhere? Which late running backs offer the best way to round out a Zero-RB squad? And who is the next Tee Higgins? There’s one more day before kickoff, so for those of you still drafting tonight (or…...

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Rescue Your Draft Plan and Avoid the Wide Receiver Deadzone With The Next Tee Higgins or A.J. Brown

RotoViz has done extensive research showing that both quantity and quality at wide receiver are crucial for maximizing the chances of winning your league. If you’re not having success with Zero RB, it probably means you aren’t drafting enough WRs. However, sometimes even the best laid plans go awry. Great early values at quarterback, tight end, and sometimes even running back (perish the thought) present…...

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2021 Zero RB Top 15: The Update – Final Drafts, Initial Waivers, Possible Trades

Shawn Siegele provides his Zero RB Top 15 Countdown updates for readers looking to dominate their home leagues over the next two nights. A lot of big-money drafts remain, and it’s never too early to prepare your first waiver-wire run. With two nights of drafting remaining – plus a handful of post-Thursday drafts in FFPC contests – we’ve got a lot still to be determined…...

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Should Drafters Be Worried About Patrick Mahomes’ Protection? The Fantasy Impact of Offensive Line Continuity Entering 2021

Thomas Emerick takes a final look at offensive line continuity before the start of the regular season. Which teams can expect strong offensive line play in the early going? The top offenses and best run-blocking lines tend to return most of their offensive line starters. Those finishing near the bottom replace more starters on average from the previous year. Great scheme and personnel still remain…...

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