When discussing wide receiver prospects, the importance of breakout age cannot be overstated. However, we haven’t yet applied this analysis to running backs. The great Jon Moore wrote an excellent piece on young RB dominance, and it certainly gets the mind thinking about the potential for breakout age at the position. The obvious struggle is figuring out the appropriate benchmark…....

If you’ve been following my work this off-season, you know that I’ve spent a lot of time trying to model incoming rookie wide receiver production at the next level. Models are certainly useful, and give us a tangible idea of what to expect from these players…....

Welcome to the 26th installment of the “The Wrong Read,” an article series that reflects on recent podcast episodes, pushing the ideas discussed on the podcasts to their logical conclusions and offering some further thoughts on the topics broached by the guests and hosts. It’s being reported that the Browns are not expected to re-sign Isaiah Crowell. Barring an early RB draft pick, Duke Johnson…...

After releasing my early 2018 wide receiver prospect projections, I received some questions on our message boards about where this class would fit in with past classes…....

I recently participated in an “expert” auction for The Huddle of USA Today Sports. While I wouldn’t call myself an expert, I’ve spent a great deal of time theorizing on auctions…....

In dynasty fantasy football, strength begets success, and success begets strength. If you’re better than your league mates, you’re likely to have a good startup draft. Then you can exploit your advantage by improving your already strong team through trades with weaker, needier opponents. The cycle continues until you hit a string of bad luck or your league mates improve. That’s one of my favorite features of the game…...

Wide receiver breakouts are the key to fantasy championships, but taking shots on unproven players can leave us with fragile rosters. Can we look to history to find certain types of players to target?…...

This article is the second in four-part Dynasty Market Trends series where I use two RotoViz Apps, The Dynasty ADP App, and the RotoViz Screener, to examine the dynasty trade market since 2008…....

This article is the first in four-part Dynasty Market Trends series where I use two RotoViz Apps, The Dynasty ADP App, and the RotoViz Screener, to examine the dynasty trade market since 2008…....

There are a couple of offseason exercises that I perform every summer. One of these is to review ADP data from the last five years and identify, on a positional basis, where substantial drops in player quality occur. I play in a number of leagues that have varying roster requirements and this review helps me to develop roster construction approaches for each. …...

High-stakes player and RotoViz Radio host Jacob Rickrode shares his blueprint for building a consistent playoff team. He recently updated his famous article on Rookie Hit Rates for Rotoworld. I’ve found this process to be very successful in building dynasty teams that compete every year. I don’t believe there’s a need to “rebuild” if you have a strong start-up draft and follow these principles…....

Where do our edges in fantasy football come from? Some believe a sustainable edge comes from player evaluation. Put another way, this is the theory that you can win by being better at picking the right players more often than your competitors…....

Last year I created a model to predict quarterback success at the NFL level for prospects. The model was useful in that it helped identify traits that transfer to the NFL level, but it was certainly overfit and didn’t bring in enough data. I’ve updated the model for 2017, and the improvements paint a much better story of each QB’s NFL prospects. The results will…...

This glossary is an index of frequently used RotoViz terminology…....

All that glimmers is not gold. This is my mantra when I sit down each year around this time to weigh the appeal of various tight ends affected by free agency. Why is such a trivial task so important you ask? Because exploiting an undervalued position like TE can lead to an incremental advantage in real and fantasy football…....

“I mean say what you want about the tenets of National Socialism, Dude, at least it’s an ethos.” – Walter Sobchak, The Big Lebowski Perhaps in response to the rising popularity of Zero RB as a strategy there’s been something of a recent backlash where some fantasy analysts have emerged to say that you shouldn’t get locked into Zero RB or any trendy strategy, and…...

Conventional dynasty wisdom tells you to buy rookie picks during the season and sell them just before (or, better yet, during) your league’s rookie draft…....

I first ran across RotoViz when I Googled “Principal Component Fantasy Football” — it returned the first Google hit[1]Try it! — because I’m a huge nerd…. Footnotes[+]Footnotes[−] Footnotes ↑1 Try it!...