revolutionary tools.  groundbreaking articles.  proven results.

Post-Combine RotoViz Staff Rookie Mock Draft: Round 1

With the NFL Combine now in the books, the RotoViz staff decided to get together for a quick two-round rookie mock draft.  For the purposes of this article we’ll assume a 1QB league with PPR scoring. Hit us up on the message boards and let us know what you think.

1.01 — N’Keal Harry

While it’s tempting to overreact to D.K. Metcalf’s insane forty and superb combine performance, I’m sticking with N’Keal Harry. His profile includes ample collegiate production, impressive market shares, and was compiled as one of the youngest WRs in the class. He matched Metcalf in the bench press with 27 reps and in addition to strength, has a mixture of size and speed that will make him a difficult matchup for opposing defensive backs. — Dave Caban

1.02 — A.J. Brown

While everyone is making excuses for Metcalf’s production because he played alongside two NFL caliber wide receivers, to me it just makes Brown’s superior production even more impressive. Brown’s breakout Sophomore season set school records and his raw numbers and market share far outstripped that of teammates Metcalf and DaMarkus Lodge. Brown didn’t dominate his teammates quite the same way in his final, Junior season, but he still maintained a comfortable lead. I hesitate to invoke the name of JuJu Smith-Schuster when talking about Brown, since they’re two totally different prospects, and Smith-Schuster’s breakout had the advantage of coming at a ridiculously young age, but it’s a good example of a player who was underrated coming out of college because his final year didn’t match his monster breakout performance. — John Lapinski

1.03 — Hakeem Butler

I’ll roll with Hakeem Butler. At 6 feet 5 inches, 227 pounds with a 4.49 forty, balanced route tree and pre-snap alignment experience, 22 yards per reception, 43 percent Dominator Rating … the list goes on. — Travis May

1.04 — D.K. Metcalf

This year’s crop of “first tier” RBs are about as likely to impress me as pineapple on a pizza, or a cup of tea with the milk put in first. As such, I have few qualms with selecting the speed freak Metcalf here. While not exactly dominant at Mississippi, he showed some remarkable athletic traits at the combine. Blazing 4.33 speed allied to a 10.27 catch radius? Hubba hubba. — Neil Dutton

1.05 — Kelvin Harmon

Harmon’s stock plummeted after a sub-par combine in addition to the news that his birth date has been widely misreported — he’s actually already 22 years old. A plus landing spot in the NFL Draft for any of my top three running backs will push Harmon further down my board. — Curtis Patrick

1.06 — Josh Jacobs

While the combine was a disappointment for most of the RBs in this class, Jacobs avoided the scrutiny by opting to test at Alabama’s pro day. While never the lead back in the Crimson Tide’s rotation, at 5 feet 10 inches, 220 pounds, Jacobs has all-around production with special teams success and nearly 50 career receptions.  — Ryan Bobbitt

1.07 — J.J. Arcega-Whiteside

None of the RBs impressed me enough at the combine to move them up my board. So rather than reach for a RB with questionable college production, I’ll go back to a WR with, at a minimum, a proven skill set. Arcega-Whiteside broke out during his age-21 season with a 0.35 Dominator Rating, followed it with a 0.39 Dominator Rating in 2018, and had three straight seasons with a market share of TDs over 0.3. He declined to run at the combine so his pro day will be important for his draft position. — Matt Wispe

1.08 — Marquise Brown

While Brown’s numbers are less impressive within the context of Oklahoma’s prolific offense, he was competing with another potential top prospect in CeeDee Lamb. He’s also very small, but if he’s as fast as believed, that type of profile has a place in the contemporary NFL. Brown appears overvalued by traditional analysts who put him in the conversation to be the first WR drafted, but an early reality slot would balance those concerns and make him an intriguing draft-and-flip candidate in a worst-case scenario. — Shawn Siegele

1.09 — Darrell Henderson

When trying to decide who to pick, I was wishing I had landed in the top eight. But on second thought, Henderson may be proof that a weak RB class doesn’t mean all members of that class are bad. Henderson is the most productive draft-worthy RB in both phases of the game, amassing over 2,200 scrimmage yards and 25 total TDs last season. If you want some gravy, he was also an active kick returner. And his double-take inducing efficiency — he averaged 8.9 yards per carry in each of the last two seasons and added over 15 yards per reception as a junior in his final season — is the cherry on top.1 His second attempt at the forty, unofficially timed at 4.37, was adjusted up by 0.12 seconds, yet his “official” time is still under 4.5 — aka, “good enough” speed. Henderson is currently the fourth-ranked RB in the RotoViz Scouting Index (RSI), but after the combine Benny Snail just had,2 I expect Henderson to overtake him, and potentially to keep rising. — Blair Andrews

1.10 — Damien Harris

Harris may not have done much at the NFL combine to outshine his peers, but he also didn’t underperform in any of his events. All’s well that ends well I guess. The most recent RSI indicated that Harris was the consensus No. 1 RB in the 2019 draft class, which should be expected for any RB that attends Alabama. Although Harris’s production profile gives me plenty of concerns, he profiles as a stereotypical two-down grinder who could be overdrafted by an NFL team and forced into a three-down bell-cow role. Given that we don’t know landing spots for any of the players, I’m willing to take a shot on the player who the scouts love and should find himself drafted into a favorable spot in a few months. — Hasan Rahim

1.11 — Noah Fant

Taking a TE in Round 1 may seem like a reach, but given the lack of elite fantasy options at the position currently in the league, Fant is a play on upside at a position of need for numerous teams. He’s young (21.3) and wildly athletic, ranking in the 95th percentile or better in the forty, vertical jump, broad jump, and three-cone. I expect him to end up a top-50 pick given his combine performance and overall profile. — Jordan Hoover

1.12 — David Montgomery

I’m happy to take the discount on a scout favorite that also topped many fantasy analysts’ RB rankings entering the combine. Montgomery’s 4.64 forty time was in the range of what was expected of him, and his 10-foot-1-inch broad jump matched other “athletic” RBs like Damien Harris and Darrell Henderson. I also suspect that Montgomery’s measurables may have been negatively impacted by an effort to distinguish himself as a “big back” in a class full of speedier, under-sized talents–his 222-pound combine weight is a good 5-10 pounds heavier than he was listed in college. Regardless, his tackle-breaking ability and workhorse traits, as well as no red flags as a pass-catcher 3 make him a solid pick here. Fun fact: Montgomery’s 77 3/8-inch wingspan is almost two full inches wider than Kelvin Harmon’s. —Devin McIntyre

  1. I know, you’d have to either be a contestant on an episode of Fear Factor or a judge on an episode of Chopped to eat a cherry on top of something that also has gravy on it — but just go with me here.  (back)
  2. See what I did there?  (back)
  3. 36 receptions as a sophomore  (back)

recent and related

In case you missed it

Rapid Reaction: Third Round Opportunity Outlook

  What a crazy ride Day 2 of the draft was. I’m exhausted from excitement. The landing spots attained by the high end skill position players in this class is going to make this draft class a force for years to come. The third round will have a more abbreviated

Read More

2019 Dynasty Rookie Rankings and Tiers: Post-NFL Draft Edition

  Post-NFL Draft 2019 Dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings are here! Which rookies hit the trio of strong profile, early draft position, and great NFL landing spot? The RotoViz team has already adjusted their outlook on which players are the best dynasty investments. I’ve drawn in the tiers based on

Read More

Box Score Scout: 2019 NFL Draft First-Round Player Comparisons

  February to April is ruled by Draft Twitter. Countless hot takes, I’m right/you’re wrong, and no middle ground. As always, there were plenty of surprising draft picks, which certainly affects fantasy football value. While the media oftentimes uses the best case scenario for player comparisons, the RotoViz Box Score

Read More

3 Rookie WRs I’m Targeting in Dynasty Leagues After the NFL Draft

  With the NFL Draft in the books, it’s time to turn our attention to dynasty league rookie drafts. Some wide receivers landed in perfect situations while others fell further than expected. With receivers like Hakeem Butler and Kelvin Harmon slipping to Day 3, rookie draft position is in flux. However, some

Read More
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.