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You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

Fantasy Football - Headlines

Redraft

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

Is “WR2 Theory” the Key to Stockpiling Value? 12 Wide Receiver Depth Charts That Give You Surprising Upside

Background In the offseason I’m always reading articles and consuming fantasy football content trying to catch the latest new theory in the fantasy analysis world. I came across a theory by Scott Simpson (@NimbleWNumbers) he calls “Wide Receiver 2 Theory.” The theory is that drafters tend to overdraft the team’s WR1, but often the player with the higher ADP can end up finishing the season…...

NFL Draft 2024: Live Best Ball Rankings Update

Shawn and Blair are updating their redraft/best ball rankings live during the NFL Draft. Follow along as they explain their thought process, where the new rookies slot in, and how the picks impact the veteran options. Tier 1 – The Undisputed Superstars No rookies are yet in Tier 1, and unless there are some really surprising landing spots or trades, it’s difficult to see any…...

Dynasty

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

Dynasty Spotlight: De’Von Achane Is a Human Highlight Reel, but Is He Too Risky as a Dynasty Asset?

Few players have been as breathtaking, mind-bending, and enigmatic in their rookie season as De’Von Achane was in 2023. A four-star recruit out of high school, Achane stayed in relative proximity to his suburban Houston upbringing, committing to Texas A&M and sitting behind Isaiah Spiller for the bulk of his first season, excelling in a limited role. By the time he made it to the…...

Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

Rome Odunze Mixes Crazy Upside With Multiple Red Flags Even Before the Real Controversy: The Anatomy of Rookie WR Landing Spot Evaluation

Rome Odunze was drafted by Chicago with the ninth overall pick, who bolstered their receiving corps after the Bears made Caleb Williams the first player picked in the 2024 NFL Draft. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen already on the roster, along with new running back addition D’Andre Swift, the Bears do not appear to be the best situation for a rookie to earn targets…....

Dynasty Spotlight: De’Von Achane Is a Human Highlight Reel, but Is He Too Risky as a Dynasty Asset?

Few players have been as breathtaking, mind-bending, and enigmatic in their rookie season as De’Von Achane was in 2023. A four-star recruit out of high school, Achane stayed in relative proximity to his suburban Houston upbringing, committing to Texas A&M and sitting behind Isaiah Spiller for the bulk of his first season, excelling in a limited role. By the time he made it to the…...

Brock Bowers May Just Be the Best TE Prospect We Have Ever Seen, But Could His Landing Spot with the Raiders Limit His Ceiling?

The NFL potential of Brock Bowers has been well-documented this offseason here at RotoViz, as both Blair Andrews and Shawn Siegele have provided fantastic articles detailing Bowers’ standing as a true generational prospect. In a landscape where the term “generational” is being slapped onto players seemingly every year, Bowers lives up to the hype. While his talent is not in question, Bowers’ landing spot in…...

Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

You Have Our FFPC Superflex Cheat Code, Now Jump To The Next Level With Crazy Prices on 5 Player Targets

Shawn Siegele begins his 5 Crazy Prices series with a look at the FFPC Superflex best ball tournament. I wanted to start with the FFPC Superflex Best Ball Tournament as a follow-up to my recent Best Ball Workshop. In that strategy session, the Roster Construction Explorer exposed just how catastrophic conventional tactics have been . . . Conventional Tactics – FFPC SF Best Ball (2021-2023)…...

WR Early and Often Has Dominated Best Ball Mania But Is That a Historical Fluke? Simulating Thousands of Seasons and Millions of Teams to Find the Answer

Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...

Range of Outcomes Tool Tutorial: Developing Realistic Expectations for 2024

Heading into the 2023 season, I revamped the Range of Outcomes app, one of our favorite tools on the site. We will spend some time considering its results in the coming months. If you are not familiar with the tool, I encourage you to quickly read through what I wrote last year and watch the tutorial video. 2023 Synopsis The RotoViz Range Of Outcomes tool…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

3 Young Wide Receivers Are Poised to Take Over the Top Spots in Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – WR Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm. I will…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

3 Young Wide Receivers Are Poised to Take Over the Top Spots in Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – WR Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm. I will…...

2 Upcoming Stars Are Ready to Take Over the Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – Running Back Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm as not…...

In-Season

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 3 – Weeks 9-12

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

The Gauntlet Returns: How to Navigate Underdog’s Divisional Round ADP

Shawn Siegele explores the nuances of building Underdog playoff rosters now that we’re down to eight teams as we enter the Divisional Round. Wild Card weekend lived up to its branding and delivered in a way that regular season football generally did not in 2023. As Colm and I broke down on Overtime yesterday, the initial wave of playoff games followed our expected script but…...

RotoViz Study Hall

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Since the inception of RotoViz in 2013, the site has become famous for its groundbreaking content, evidence-based approach, and contrarian point of view. Along the way, it has contributed important discoveries, developed league-winning approaches, and made fantasy gamers smarter.

Visit the RotoViz Study Hall to read infamous pieces, learn the most important lessons the site has produced, gain a stronger appreciation for the data points that actually matter, and take the first step toward becoming a self-reliant fantasy manager.

Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, has a new book out, and, if anything, it’s probably even more potent (if also self-contradictory in many places). The book is called Antifragile and this is his definition of the term: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure. Yet in spite of the…...

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