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An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Blair Andrews September 19, 2024

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An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Blair Andrews September 19, 2024

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Blair Andrews September 19, 2024

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Blair Andrews September 19, 2024

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Week 2 WR Advanced Stats: Twice the Amount of Data Equals Twice The Amount of Fun Compared to Week 1!

Kevin Szafraniec September 19, 2024

After the completion of Week 2, we have doubled our data set for the 2024 season. What a time to be alive! Before we get into the latest information available in the Advanced Stats Explorer, just a few quick reminders about the article. Leading up to the season, I looked at the five years of data available in the Advanced Stats Explorer and broke it…...

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Going Deep: Week 3 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Dave Caban September 19, 2024

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to watch the tutorial/walkthrough and…...

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Zero RB Universe: Week 2 – Jahmyr Gibbs and De’Von Achane Are Closing in on Superstardom

Shawn Siegele September 18, 2024

Shawn Siegele breaks down the Zero RB Universe with trade ideas, deep stashes, start/sit thoughts, and much more as we head toward Week 3 of the 2024 fantasy football season. The Zero RB Universe covers the entire RB landscape, not just a single type of build. This isn’t a waiver wire piece. Kevin Szafraniec has you covered for that. We’re trying to understand the RB…...

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Don’t Sleep on These Under-the-Radar Defenses: Week 3 D/ST Streaming and DFS Plays

Ross Durham September 18, 2024

Having written about streaming defenses for several years now, and wasted too much time on waiver wires for the last decade, I’ve noticed some patterns. Right now we’re at the stage where everyone is starting to figure out who the best defenses are, and the surprise teams are getting snatched up. D/STs that started the season rostered at the single digit rates will be unavailable…...

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Guillotine Leagues: How to Think About the Most Controversial Players in Fantasy

Shawn Siegele September 18, 2024

Shawn Siegele provides tactical insight for bidding in guillotine leagues and breaks down the future outlook for Mark Andrews, Stefon Diggs, Josh Allen, Dalton Kincaid, Darnell Mooney, Joe Mixon, and Zack Moss. My favorite scoreboard-watching experience over the first couple of weeks has come in my Guillotine Leagues. Since every week is a must-win — or probably more accurately, a must-not-lose-big — you’re on the…...

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An Otherwise Unexciting Matchup Could Feature a Ton of RB Points: The Wrong Read, Week 3 – Thursday Night Preview

Blair Andrews September 19, 2024

Welcome to The Wrong Read. This weekly article uses advanced team-level metrics to preview the week’s upcoming matchups. The goal is to try to understand how an upcoming matchup might play out in terms of each offense’s ability to execute their game plan. How successful will they be when trying to pass? How much will they be able to run the ball? It’s impossible to…...

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Week 2 WR Advanced Stats: Twice the Amount of Data Equals Twice The Amount of Fun Compared to Week 1!

Kevin Szafraniec September 19, 2024

After the completion of Week 2, we have doubled our data set for the 2024 season. What a time to be alive! Before we get into the latest information available in the Advanced Stats Explorer, just a few quick reminders about the article. Leading up to the season, I looked at the five years of data available in the Advanced Stats Explorer and broke it…...

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Going Deep: Week 3 Passing Matchups Preview, Part 1

Dave Caban September 19, 2024

Welcome to Going Deep! This weekly article will make use of charting data, advanced metrics, and other RotoViz tools — specifically the Passing Game Matchup Rater — to help readers better understand the challenges facing wide receivers and tight ends in the coming week. As my process makes heavy use of the Matchup Rater, I’d highly recommend that you set aside half an hour to watch the tutorial/walkthrough and…...

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The Patriots’ Spineless Decision Could Create a Pathway to Back-Weighted QB Production if You Miss the QB Window in Superflex Leagues

Mat Irby August 30, 2024

I’ve never cheered for the Patriots a day in my life. I honestly couldn’t care less about the success of the franchise one way or another. I’m not against them, but I’m neutral. At the peak of their powers, I grew jealous, sure. I resented their success for a while because it wasn’t my own. Years after that, I even came full circle, marveling at…...

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Can Amon-Ra St. Brown’s Career Trajectory Provide a Roadmap for This Rookie Wide Receiver Currently Being Selected in the Late Rounds of Drafts?

Kevin Szafraniec August 21, 2024

After starting his rookie season receiving the inconsistent opportunity that would be expected for a fourth-round (112th pick overall) wide receiver, Amon-Ra St. Brown exploded down the stretch to deliver fantasy championships in 2021. Since then he has not looked back. Working primarily out of the slot, St. Brown has solidified himself as one of the league’s most consistent and productive WRs. Over each consecutive…...

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Could the Next James Conner Be Hiding in Plain Sight? This Rookie Running Back is Already Showing Signs of Following in His Footsteps

Kevin Szafraniec August 19, 2024

In 2017, James Conner was drafted by the Steelers at the tail end of the third round to add depth behind superstar running back Le’Veon Bell. In the three seasons prior, Bell never finished lower than fourth among RBs in PPR points per game, scoring as the overall PPR RB1 and RB3 in 2014 and 2016, respectively. Conner concluded his four-year career at the University…...

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The Patriots’ Spineless Decision Could Create a Pathway to Back-Weighted QB Production if You Miss the QB Window in Superflex Leagues

Mat Irby August 30, 2024

I’ve never cheered for the Patriots a day in my life. I honestly couldn’t care less about the success of the franchise one way or another. I’m not against them, but I’m neutral. At the peak of their powers, I grew jealous, sure. I resented their success for a while because it wasn’t my own. Years after that, I even came full circle, marveling at…...

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Can Amon-Ra St. Brown’s Career Trajectory Provide a Roadmap for This Rookie Wide Receiver Currently Being Selected in the Late Rounds of Drafts?

Kevin Szafraniec August 21, 2024

After starting his rookie season receiving the inconsistent opportunity that would be expected for a fourth-round (112th pick overall) wide receiver, Amon-Ra St. Brown exploded down the stretch to deliver fantasy championships in 2021. Since then he has not looked back. Working primarily out of the slot, St. Brown has solidified himself as one of the league’s most consistent and productive WRs. Over each consecutive…...

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Could the Next James Conner Be Hiding in Plain Sight? This Rookie Running Back is Already Showing Signs of Following in His Footsteps

Kevin Szafraniec August 19, 2024

In 2017, James Conner was drafted by the Steelers at the tail end of the third round to add depth behind superstar running back Le’Veon Bell. In the three seasons prior, Bell never finished lower than fourth among RBs in PPR points per game, scoring as the overall PPR RB1 and RB3 in 2014 and 2016, respectively. Conner concluded his four-year career at the University…...

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RotoViz Staff Bold Predictions for the 2024 NFL Fantasy Football Season

Michael Dubner August 30, 2024

We are less than one week away from the kickoff of the 2024 NFL season. We’ve had a full offseason of nonstop best ball, high stakes, and home league drafts. We’ve drafted hundreds — and in some cases thousands — of teams. The RotoViz Staff has prepared their boldest predictions that will define the 2024 fantasy football season. Michael Dubner At Least One Seahawk in…...

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5 Cheap Rookie Wide Receivers Who Are Going To Explode in the Fantasy Playoffs

Michael Dubner August 27, 2024

Scoring the most fantasy points in the fantasy playoffs seems obvious and straightforward, yet it can be tempting to get Week 1 brain with the NFL season rapidly approaching. While the 14-week fantasy football regular season accounts for 82% of the games played, all weeks are not created equal, as Weeks 16 and 17 matter more than the first 14 weeks combined. Drafting rosters with…...

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Range of Outcomes Projections: Overlooked WRs Presenting Tremendous Upside at ADP

Dave Caban August 27, 2024

Dave Caban uses his detailed projections process to visualize ranges of outcomes for the top 72 wide receivers, factoring in shifts in market shares and team play volumes. Over the past three months, I’ve dedicated significant time to working on the RotoViz 2024 Fantasy Football Player Projections. This year, I introduced a new element by analyzing how potential shifts in market share and team play volume…...

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Who is the Best Bills Receiver To Target in the Suddenly Lackluster Buffalo Passing Game?

Kevin Szafraniec September 14, 2024

Through the first two games of the NFL season, Josh Allen has 371 passing yards total. That breaks down to only 185.5 passing yards per game. Buffalo’s 263 passing yards per game in 2023 were the team’s lowest since 2019, the season before they acquired Stefon Diggs. After Diggs was traded to Houston this offseason, there was still optimism that the Bills could continue to

Death, Taxes, and Tyler Lockett: Will We Ever Stop Underestimating the Seahawks’ Veteran WR?

Kevin Szafraniec September 13, 2024

Thirty-one years old. Missed most of training camp. Questionable to play in Week 1 with a thigh injury. Leads Seattle in targets, catches, and yards. Makes an amazing third-down play in the fourth quarter to seal the win in Week 1. This is just what Tyler Lockett does. DK Metcalf jokingly called Tyler Lockett the “greatest athlete on planet Earth” for what he did Sunday

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Blood Is Compulsory: The 2 Best Deep League Buys from Sunday’s Most Exhilarating Matchup

Shawn Siegele September 9, 2024

I can do you blood and love without the rhetoric, and I can do you blood and rhetoric without the love, and I can do you all three concurrent or consecutive, but I can’t do you love and rhetoric without the blood. Blood is compulsory—they’re all blood, you see. – Tom Stoppard, Rosencratz and Guildenstern Are Dead This is the quote that always jumps out to…...

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How to Exploit This Unique (and Fun) FFPC Loophole: Responding to the Pre-Lock Games

Blair Andrews September 7, 2024

Blair Andrews breaks down Chiefs/Ravens and Eagles/Packers and explains what it all means for FFPC high stakes drafts on Saturday. One of the most exploitable wrinkles in FFPC drafts — both the Main Event and the FantasyPros Championship — is that you can draft and set your lineup after the season officially begins. Drafts for both contests are still ongoing, and will continue all day…...

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4,500 FantasyPros Teams Remain Across 3 Glorious Days of Drafting: The Dominant Redraft Builds and Contrarian Player Selections to Create $1 Million Upside from Any Draft Slot 

Shawn Siegele September 5, 2024

Shawn Siegele breaks down his player selections and tactical decisions for attacking any FFPC FantasyPros draft slot and provides links to the full RotoViz redraft strategy sessions. As we head toward kickoff of the 2024 NFL season this evening, you probably feel excitement tinged with regret for every draft bypassed, every opportunity to win $1 million missed. Here’s the good news: the FFPC will be…...

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Blood Is Compulsory: The 2 Best Deep League Buys from Sunday’s Most Exhilarating Matchup

Shawn Siegele September 9, 2024

I can do you blood and love without the rhetoric, and I can do you blood and rhetoric without the love, and I can do you all three concurrent or consecutive, but I can’t do you love and rhetoric without the blood. Blood is compulsory—they’re all blood, you see. – Tom Stoppard, Rosencratz and Guildenstern Are Dead This is the quote that always jumps out to…...

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How to Exploit This Unique (and Fun) FFPC Loophole: Responding to the Pre-Lock Games

Blair Andrews September 7, 2024

Blair Andrews breaks down Chiefs/Ravens and Eagles/Packers and explains what it all means for FFPC high stakes drafts on Saturday. One of the most exploitable wrinkles in FFPC drafts — both the Main Event and the FantasyPros Championship — is that you can draft and set your lineup after the season officially begins. Drafts for both contests are still ongoing, and will continue all day…...

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4,500 FantasyPros Teams Remain Across 3 Glorious Days of Drafting: The Dominant Redraft Builds and Contrarian Player Selections to Create $1 Million Upside from Any Draft Slot 

Shawn Siegele September 5, 2024

Shawn Siegele breaks down his player selections and tactical decisions for attacking any FFPC FantasyPros draft slot and provides links to the full RotoViz redraft strategy sessions. As we head toward kickoff of the 2024 NFL season this evening, you probably feel excitement tinged with regret for every draft bypassed, every opportunity to win $1 million missed. Here’s the good news: the FFPC will be…...

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Since the inception of RotoViz in 2013, the site has become famous for its groundbreaking content, evidence-based approach, and contrarian point of view. Along the way, it has contributed important discoveries, developed league-winning approaches, and made fantasy gamers smarter.

Visit the RotoViz Study Hall to read infamous pieces, learn the most important lessons the site has produced, gain a stronger appreciation for the data points that actually matter, and take the first step toward becoming a self-reliant fantasy manager.

Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Blair Andrews January 3, 2019

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

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When You Leave an Expert Auction With Antonio Brown, DeAndre Hopkins, and Odell Beckham Jr.

Dave Caban August 23, 2018

This post will provide the resources you need to be a successful auction drafter and run you through the thought processes employed while dominating an expert auction…. Membership Required You must be a member to access this content.View Membership LevelsAlready a member? Log in here...

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Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting

Shawn Siegele November 2, 2013

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, has a new book out, and, if anything, it’s probably even more potent (if also self-contradictory in many places). The book is called Antifragile and this is his definition of the term: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure. Yet in spite of the…...

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