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One, Both, or None? Should We Be Adding Patriots Rookie Wide Receivers Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker to Our Dynasty Rosters?

Looking all the way back to the turn of the century, the New England Patriots’ history of drafting wide receivers has not been pretty. Since 2000, only two wide receivers that the team has drafted — Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater — have made the Pro Bowl. Although he has been a staple at the NFL’s annual all-star game since 2011, Slater’s inclusion should come…...

One, Both, or None? Should We Be Adding Patriots Rookie Wide Receivers Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker to Our Dynasty Rosters?

Looking all the way back to the turn of the century, the New England Patriots’ history of drafting wide receivers has not been pretty. Since 2000, only two wide receivers that the team has drafted — Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater — have made the Pro Bowl. Although he has been a staple at the NFL’s annual all-star game since 2011, Slater’s inclusion should come…...

One, Both, or None? Should We Be Adding Patriots Rookie Wide Receivers Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker to Our Dynasty Rosters?

Looking all the way back to the turn of the century, the New England Patriots’ history of drafting wide receivers has not been pretty. Since 2000, only two wide receivers that the team has drafted — Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater — have made the Pro Bowl. Although he has been a staple at the NFL’s annual all-star game since 2011, Slater’s inclusion should come…...

Redraft

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2023’s Best Player Hack Points at These 4 RBs as Potential Tournament Winners in 2024

After the Dolphins’ RBs broke fantasy football in 2023, Shawn Siegele profiles the running game poised to deliver similar results in 2024. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert both found their way onto last year’s Zero RB Candidates Countdown. The two Miami stars were so good that you had great success drafting them individually . . . or even together. And despite a dramatic shift in Achane’s…...

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2023’s Best Player Hack Points at These 4 RBs as Potential Tournament Winners in 2024

After the Dolphins’ RBs broke fantasy football in 2023, Shawn Siegele profiles the running game poised to deliver similar results in 2024. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert both found their way onto last year’s Zero RB Candidates Countdown. The two Miami stars were so good that you had great success drafting them individually . . . or even together. And despite a dramatic shift in Achane’s…...

Dynasty

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

One, Both, or None? Should We Be Adding Patriots Rookie Wide Receivers Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker to Our Dynasty Rosters?

Looking all the way back to the turn of the century, the New England Patriots’ history of drafting wide receivers has not been pretty. Since 2000, only two wide receivers that the team has drafted — Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater — have made the Pro Bowl. Although he has been a staple at the NFL’s annual all-star game since 2011, Slater’s inclusion should come…...

One Myth and One Meaningful Trend: Where Quarterbacks Win and What It Actually Means

While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...

Dynasty Spotlight: Garrett Wilson’s Price Has More Red Flags Than You Realize, but Should You Worry?

There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...

One, Both, or None? Should We Be Adding Patriots Rookie Wide Receivers Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker to Our Dynasty Rosters?

Looking all the way back to the turn of the century, the New England Patriots’ history of drafting wide receivers has not been pretty. Since 2000, only two wide receivers that the team has drafted — Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater — have made the Pro Bowl. Although he has been a staple at the NFL’s annual all-star game since 2011, Slater’s inclusion should come…...

One Myth and One Meaningful Trend: Where Quarterbacks Win and What It Actually Means

While studying rookies this spring, I encountered several critics warning us to beware that Jayden Daniels wouldn’t — or at least didn’t — throw to the middle of the field. If a sharp-tongued pundit snaps off something like that and moves on with all the confidence of a peacock, the rest of us tend to shuffle right along with their hands on the smalls of…...

Dynasty Spotlight: Garrett Wilson’s Price Has More Red Flags Than You Realize, but Should You Worry?

There’s a cliché in fantasy football, and for good reason: The best predictor of future fantasy success is past fantasy success. Any expansive correlation study will reveal that last year’s fantasy stats are, in fact, the No. 1 predictor of next year’s. The rub, of course, is that every lost nephew brought into a league to make even teams will draw from last year’s fantasy…...

Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

2024 Projections: Can Joe Burrow Sustain 2 Top-12 Wide Receivers?

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Cincinnati Bengals while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2024 Projections: Caleb Williams, D.J. Moore, and the Bears’ Revamped Passing Attack

Dave Caban shares his baseline 2024 projection for the Chicago Bears while also considering the impacts of increases/decreases to market shares and team play volume. Every offseason, I undertake the process of creating projections for every team. In previous years, this involved developing a projection that I believed would represent the average performance of all relevant players if a given season were played out thousands…...

2023’s Best Player Hack Points at These 4 RBs as Potential Tournament Winners in 2024

After the Dolphins’ RBs broke fantasy football in 2023, Shawn Siegele profiles the running game poised to deliver similar results in 2024. De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert both found their way onto last year’s Zero RB Candidates Countdown. The two Miami stars were so good that you had great success drafting them individually . . . or even together. And despite a dramatic shift in Achane’s…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Which 2024 RB Draft Prospects Look Like Broken Tackle Monsters?

Shawn Siegele discusses the role of broken tackles in NFL draft evaluation and breaks down the top prospects in the 2024 class. The first edition of the 2024 RotoViz Rookie Guide will be out shortly, and I’m excited for what will be our best product yet. We’ll be using all of the signature RotoViz rookie metrics, as well as a ton of advanced stats from…...

3 Young Wide Receivers Are Poised to Take Over the Top Spots in Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – WR Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm. I will…...

2 Upcoming Stars Are Ready to Take Over the Dynasty Rankings: The Next Big Thing – Running Back Edition

The NFL Draft is behind us, and it is time for us to venture boldly into the most beautiful time of year, fantasy draft season. Whether you play in dynasty, devy, or C2C leagues, RotoViz has you covered. This series of articles will focus on the next generation of fantasy football stars and potential breakout candidates waiting to take the world by storm as not…...

In-Season

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

A 2023 Self-Appraisal: Transparency, Accountability, and the Pursuit of Betterment, Part 3 – Weeks 9-12

“Self-examination, the observation of one’s own experience, is the very root of the intelligence.” – Jiddu Krishnamurti. Using self-examination to accept the person you are could be worthwhile for your mental health, but it can’t generally improve your performance at a craft. Using self-examination to become better requires action. And it begins with an honest evaluation of what you have been doing and what results…...

More Projections and Optimals for FFPC Playoff Contests: The Wrong Read, Divisional Round

Week 2 of the Playoffs also brings Part 2 of the FFPC Playoff Challenge. The rules are a little different, and the prizes are a little smaller, but the games are more important and arguably less predictable. The Divisional Round Playoff Challenge differs from the original version in that it only includes eight roster spots. There are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs, so…...

The Gauntlet Returns: How to Navigate Underdog’s Divisional Round ADP

Shawn Siegele explores the nuances of building Underdog playoff rosters now that we’re down to eight teams as we enter the Divisional Round. Wild Card weekend lived up to its branding and delivered in a way that regular season football generally did not in 2023. As Colm and I broke down on Overtime yesterday, the initial wave of playoff games followed our expected script but…...

RotoViz Study Hall

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Since the inception of RotoViz in 2013, the site has become famous for its groundbreaking content, evidence-based approach, and contrarian point of view. Along the way, it has contributed important discoveries, developed league-winning approaches, and made fantasy gamers smarter.

Visit the RotoViz Study Hall to read infamous pieces, learn the most important lessons the site has produced, gain a stronger appreciation for the data points that actually matter, and take the first step toward becoming a self-reliant fantasy manager.

Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, has a new book out, and, if anything, it’s probably even more potent (if also self-contradictory in many places). The book is called Antifragile and this is his definition of the term: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure. Yet in spite of the…...

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