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Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

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In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

Tired of Paying for Najee Harris or Joe Mixon? 3 Undervalued Foundation Backs With Extreme Upside

Shawn Siegele looks at three extreme RB values from the ROO and judges whether human or machine is right. One of my favorite things about the RotoViz tools is the way they allow you to ask different questions and come at player value from different angles. When we use the Projection Machine, we can use the data on team tendencies, player histories, and teammate competition to…...

The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

Tired of Paying for Najee Harris or Joe Mixon? 3 Undervalued Foundation Backs With Extreme Upside

Shawn Siegele looks at three extreme RB values from the ROO and judges whether human or machine is right. One of my favorite things about the RotoViz tools is the way they allow you to ask different questions and come at player value from different angles. When we use the Projection Machine, we can use the data on team tendencies, player histories, and teammate competition to…...

The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

Best Ball

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Mind the Gap: Finding Value in Unclear Backfields and Uncertain Offenses

In July, we parsed through the three small-gap backfields. We know from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or small-gap backs and previous work by Charlie Kleinheksel that the ADP gap between a team’s RB1 and their RB2 has significant implications for how we should expect them to perform. A reminder – B1 and B2 running backs refer to the team’s RB1 and…...

How To Find The Next Michael Pittman: 2 Second Year Wide Receivers Ready To Ascend

Michael Pittman’s is a controversial player this offseason. Those who drafted him last year enjoyed his second-year breakout at a great price. He was being drafted in Round 8 after about 40 other wide receivers. He finished as the WR18 in PPR formats. This finish, combined with the addition of Matt Ryan, has vaulted him all the way up to the early third round in…...

The Key to Predicting Future Pass Rates Is Hiding in Plain Sight: How to Use The NFL Pace App to Find High-Powered Stacks

A team’s pass rate is one of the most important variables in deciding how many fantasy points each player will score. The first order impact is on aggregate rushing attempt and target volume, but it’s also a huge determinant in the overall production of an offense. Pass attempts are more efficient than rush attempts, earning more yards (7.1 versus 4.3) and scoring more touchdowns (4.4%…...

Dynasty

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Dynasty Trade Diary No. 3 – Adding WR2 Firepower

In Dynasty Trade Diary No. 3, Curtis Patrick reviews his recent move to inject upside potential in a dynasty roster lacking firepower at WR2. Dynasty Trade Diary No. 3 – Adding WR2 Firepower Entry No. 3 Today’s entry centers around the search for a high-upside WR2 for one of my squads that’s won two league championships. League: FFPC Dynasty $250 #97 (Startup in 2019) Format:…...

Dynasty Workshop: 2023 Rookie Trades Leaving You Bankrupt? The Win-Faster, Win-Bigger Punt Approach

Trying to punt the startup but can’t get decent trades for 2023 first-round picks? Want to win bigger and faster than those trades would allow? Shawn Siegele dives into the perfect PCW draft for patient, yet aggressive, dynasty managers. As training camp progresses, new dynasty leagues are all the rage. You can join an RV TriFlex league or use the intel from these leagues to…...

Round-By-Round RV TriFlex Dynasty Startup Analysis: Loading Up on Wide Receivers in Rounds 6 to 10

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet goes over his round-by-round strategy and picks for Rounds 6 through 10 in a post-NFL draft RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty league. This article is a continuation of my first article documenting my pre-draft strategy and pick analysis of Rounds 1 through 5 of an FFPC RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty league that I recently completed. In order to get caught up with how the team stands…...

Dynasty Trade Diary No. 3 – Adding WR2 Firepower

In Dynasty Trade Diary No. 3, Curtis Patrick reviews his recent move to inject upside potential in a dynasty roster lacking firepower at WR2. Dynasty Trade Diary No. 3 – Adding WR2 Firepower Entry No. 3 Today’s entry centers around the search for a high-upside WR2 for one of my squads that’s won two league championships. League: FFPC Dynasty $250 #97 (Startup in 2019) Format:…...

Dynasty Workshop: 2023 Rookie Trades Leaving You Bankrupt? The Win-Faster, Win-Bigger Punt Approach

Trying to punt the startup but can’t get decent trades for 2023 first-round picks? Want to win bigger and faster than those trades would allow? Shawn Siegele dives into the perfect PCW draft for patient, yet aggressive, dynasty managers. As training camp progresses, new dynasty leagues are all the rage. You can join an RV TriFlex league or use the intel from these leagues to…...

Round-By-Round RV TriFlex Dynasty Startup Analysis: Loading Up on Wide Receivers in Rounds 6 to 10

Bjorn Yang-Vaernet goes over his round-by-round strategy and picks for Rounds 6 through 10 in a post-NFL draft RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty league. This article is a continuation of my first article documenting my pre-draft strategy and pick analysis of Rounds 1 through 5 of an FFPC RotoViz TriFlex Dynasty league that I recently completed. In order to get caught up with how the team stands…...

In Season

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Going Deep: WR/CB Matchups And Advanced Pass Defense Data For The Conference Championships

Hi RotoViz Readers. Good luck with your DFS entries this week. The WR/CB Matchups and Advanced Pass Defense data is free again this week. If you’re a potential new subscriber, this gives you a look at some of the information available in your subscription. We’ll have all of this and much more for 2022. If you’re new to the sheet, you can check out this article for a better understanding…...

Going Deep: WR/CB Matchups And Advanced Pass Defense Data For The Divisional Round

Hi RotoViz Readers. Good luck with your DFS entries this week, and check out the FFPC Playoff 2 contest if you’re looking for a fantasy fix. The WR/CB Matchups and Advanced Pass Defense data is free again this week. If you’re a potential new subscriber, this gives you a look at some of the information available in your subscription. We’ll have all of this and much more…...

Scenarios and Tactics for Fantasy Playoff Tournaments: More Cincinnati Fireworks Coming?

In this short RotoViz series, Zachary Krueger looks at fantasy playoff tactics and helps you think through scenarios that could pay off in second-chance tournaments. Shawn Siegele and I used the RotoViz best ball tools to build a couple of FFPC Tournament teams for my best ball series this summer. Although we didn’t win the big money like several other RV squads, one of our…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Best True Freshman Wide Receiver of All Time Headlines a Talented 2024 Draft Class

The 2021 college football season is complete. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie Mock Draft, and you…...

The Next Great NFL Draft Class May Be Just Around the Corner in 2023

The 2021 college football season is just about wrapped up. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie…...

Devy

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

The Best True Freshman Wide Receiver of All Time Headlines a Talented 2024 Draft Class

The 2021 college football season is complete. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie Mock Draft, and you…...

The Next Great NFL Draft Class May Be Just Around the Corner in 2023

The 2021 college football season is just about wrapped up. Why does that matter? Besides it being a very sad truth, it’s also a great time to take a look ahead to future NFL Draft(s) to find the next generation of football stars who are leaving the college game now or fairly soon. The Devy Fantasy Football team here at RotoViz recently held 2022 Rookie…...

RotoViz Study Hall

In-Season Articles

In-Season Articles

Since the inception of RotoViz in 2013, the site has become famous for its groundbreaking content, evidence-based approach, and contrarian point of view. Along the way, it has contributed important discoveries, developed league-winning approaches, and made fantasy gamers smarter.

Visit the RotoViz Study Hall to read infamous pieces, learn the most important lessons the site has produced, gain a stronger appreciation for the data points that actually matter, and take the first step toward becoming a self-reliant fantasy manager.

Good Players Are Good: Why You Should Chase Rookie-Year Efficiency at RB – The Wrong Read, No. 52

Welcome to the 52nd installment of The Wrong Read. Based on the number of articles appearing in this “weekly” series, one year has passed since we started. Strangely it’s taken about 16 months to get here. The thing is, time slows down as you approach a massive object like the black hole that is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers football team. Ronald Jones is evidently on…...

Zero RB, Antifragility, and the Myth of Value-Based Drafting

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, has a new book out, and, if anything, it’s probably even more potent (if also self-contradictory in many places). The book is called Antifragile and this is his definition of the term: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure. Yet in spite of the…...

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