Each week I will profile three players to buy low based on their upcoming strength of schedule, Vegas totals and simple common sense.
In Week 1 it was Kearse, not Tyler Lockett, that snagged the lion’s share of WR2 air yards for Seattle. Kearse had a 21 percent market share of air yards vs. Lockett’s eight percent. Kearse was targeted seven times to Lockett’s eight. When you look at where Lockett was deployed, it was all short screen passes. This is evidenced by his 1.3 aYPT(!) vs. Kearse’s 7.6 aYPT.
Seattle has a very easy schedule over the next four weeks, and it appears that Russell Wilson will be good to go against an LA team that surrendered 28 points to the lowly 49ers on Monday night. Vegas is refusing to publish a total as of this writing, but that is all the more reason to strike now before your competitors get clarity on the situation.
Langford has gotten a bum rap all off season due to his poor efficiency in 2015. As you will hear re-stated often on this website, efficiency is not a proxy for quality. Target league owners who believe otherwise.
Langford had a relatively poor Week 1, posting 57 rushing yards to go with two receptions and just six yards receiving. The Bears’ schedule for RBs is pretty mouthwatering over the next few weeks, and that means Langford has a real chance to see solid volume. Langford is a buy low that could return some very quick dividends.
Week 1 for the Ravens was extremely strange. They played a team that mustered fewer than 50 snaps on offense, and yet the Ravens still failed to do much with their possessions. Their top WR in terms of fantasy points scored, Mike Wallace, only saw six targets. Steve Smith saw nine targets, but had an aYPT of just 4.9.
Flacco is likely available on your waiver wire for streaming, and he faces the easiest four game slate in the NFL according the the Buy Low Machine. The Vegas total opened at 43 but has moved down to 42 since, with 60 percent of the money taking the under. I don’t put much stock into splits, but the split for Flacco vs. Cleveland shows that Flacco has historically put up decent fantasy points against basically everyone.
Add in that Cleveland is a complete shit show on both sides of the ball, that Flacco is basically free, and that Week 1 was likely just plain weird and you have the makings for a delicious QB streaming gumbo.