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Week 12 QB Streaming: Three to Target and One to Avoid

We needed a big week. Instead, we got a perfect one, nailing the top eligible QB streaming options at each slot. Insert screaming Kirk Cousins .gif here.

Colin Kaepernick remained the fantasy gods’ gift to streamers, while Alex Smith finally gave us a rushing touchdown. Both were top-12 options in Week 11.1 Brock Osweiler wasn’t spectacular, but at QB19, he was the best play among QBs available in 90 percent of leagues.

StatusQBFanDuel PointsQB Rank
Option 1Colin Kaepernick19.410
Option 2Alex Smith20.48
Option 3Brock Osweiler14.519
AvoidJameis Winston17.411

On the season, we’re still in the high-mid QB2 range across the board, which is pretty good considering we’re using points per game, which gives actual QBs an artificial boost (because it ignores byes, injuries, and suspensions).

StatusFanDuel PPGSeason-long rank
Option 118.615
Option 217.119
Option 316.920

Option 1: Colin Kaepernick @ Miami

Rostered: 17.0 percent
Spread: +7.5
O/U: 45.5

There’s not really much to say about Kaepernick. He’s the QB9 in points per game, and he’s produced in all kinds of matchups and with low implied totals in nearly every game. When a QB scoring this well is available, you stream him.

My only concern is that his availability rate is artificially low. But with a nominal availability of 83 percent, he’s still almost certainly available in at least 50 percent of “live” leagues, so I’m going to keep recommending him.

Option 2: Ryan Tannehill v. San Francisco

Rostered: 17.0 percent
Spread: -7.5
O/U: 45.5

The 49ers are approaching Browns-level auto-stream status. Specifically, they’re allowing 19.8 QB fantasy points per game, fifth most in the league. Since holding Case Keenum to 4.2 points in Week 1, they’ve allowed at least 10 points to every opposing QB.

After a hot start followed immediately by a run of sub-10-point performances, Tannehill has settled in to mediocrity. He’s averaging just 14.7 points per game, good for low-end QB2 numbers. With Jay Ajayi now the centerpiece of the offense, Tannehill probably won’t see much volume. But the Dolphins have an implied total of 26.5, so Tannehill should post a touchdown or two, as he’s done in each of his last four games.

Option 3: Scott Tolzien v. Pittsburgh

Rostered: 0.0 percent
Spread: +3.0
O/U: 53.5

With Andrew Luck in the concussion protocol and the Colts playing on Thursday night, Tolzien is in line to start for the first time since 2013, when he threw for a disastrous 717 yards, 1 touchdown and 5 interceptions over three games. Also, the Steelers are a fairly tough matchup. They’re allowing 16.2 QB points per game, which is about 1.5 points below the league average.

But your choices are Tolzien or pressing your luck with Brock Osweiler, who, through 10 starts, still hasn’t posted a top-12 weekly finish in 2016. Plus, the Colts’ implied total is 25.25; Frank Gore and Adam Vinatieri can’t account for all of that, can they?

Avoid: Matthew Stafford v. Minnesota

Rostered: 84.8 percent
Spread: -2.5
O/U: 43.0

Minnesota has been a tough matchup all season. They’ve faced four top-12 QBs in ten games, but they haven’t allowed a single top-12 weekly performance (or a 300-yard passing week) all season. They’ve surrendered 14.4 points per game to QBs, the fourth lowest average in the league.

Stafford posted a respectable 15.8 points against the Vikings in Week 9, throwing for 219 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception in a 22-16 victory. But he’s mostly living off 2015’s hot finish and 2016’s hot start. After torching Indianapolis, Tennessee, and Green Bay in the first three weeks, he’s averaged just 16.5 points per game, which would make him the QB20 on the season.

Don’t drop Stafford just yet; he faces the Saints in Week 13. But if you have room to roster two QBs this week, try to add Kaepernick.

  1. As always, fantasy points and ranks are based on FanDuel scoring.  (back)

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