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2017 NFL Draft Prospect: Kareem Hunt

Led by Senior RB Kareem Hunt, Toledo faces Appalachian State for the first time ever on Saturday December 17, 2016 at 5:30 p.m. ET in the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama.

Hunt is currently 14th in total career collegiate rushing yards since 2000. Hunt is a bigger back listed at 6 foot even and 225 pounds. Toledo has a high powered offense checking in at 18th in points per game. College Football Reference ranks Toledo’s 2016 strength of schedule at 103rd out of 128 teams.

Production

In 2016, Hunt has accounted for 27.2 percent of the Rockets yards from scrimmage. He also has 10.9 percent of Toledo’s passing targets. Hunt has averaged 6.3 yards per carry on 760 career rushes. Based on his height, weight and collegiate usage he looks a lot like C.J. Prosise with a much bigger resume.

Year Class G Att Yds Avg TD Rec Yds Avg TD
2013 FR 11 137 866 6.3 6 12 68 5.7 0
2014 SO 10 205 1631 8.0 16 9 39 4.3 0
2015 JR 10 178 973 5.5 12 11 45 4.1 0
2016 SR 12 240 1355 5.6 8 39 377 9.7 1

Jon Moore pointed out around this time last year how exquisite Hunt’s production was in his 2014 season at age 19. Hunt had a somewhat down year statistically in 2015 after being both suspended (two games for violating team rules) and injured (hamstring). Hunt has bounced back in a big way in 2016. While his touchdowns dipped in comparison to his sophomore season, his market share of the offense actually increased from 25.9 percent to the aforementioned 27.2 percent.

Another positive I noted from looking over his collegiate production is that Hunt doesn’t turn the ball over. He has one fumble (not lost) in four seasons and 831 touches.

Comparable Players

What makes Hunt so intriguing is his size mixed with his receiving ability. This has become a big part of potentially becoming a workhorse in the NFL. Below is a list of similarly sized players with at least 10 percent of their college team’s targets in their most prolific season.

One thing that Hunt may be lacking is draft capital. Currently, he is projected to be a 4th or 5th round pick in the 2017 NFL Draft. Jon Moore thought that, had Hunt declared for the draft last year, he was in the mix to be a top-five running back in the 2016 class after Ezekiel Elliott and Derrick Henry. If Hunt can impress at the combine in February, he has a chance to improve his draft stock which would in turn dramatically improve his NFL prospects.

Player Name College YPC College Dominator Rating College Target Share Height (Inches) Weight Draft Pick
Todd Gurley 6.7 33.50% 10.90% 73 222 lbs 1.10
C.J. Prosise 6.6 26.20% 11.50% 72 220 lbs 3.27
David Fluellen 6.3 27.50% 10.00% 71 224 lbs Undrafted
Kareem Hunt 6.3 27.20% 10.90% 72 225 lbs TBD
David Johnson 5.4 40.80% 14.40% 73 224 lbs 3.22
Javorius Allen 5.4 27.70% 11.70% 72 221 lbs 4.26
Jay Ajayi 5.3 41.30% 12.40% 72 221 lbs 5.13
Rajion Neal 5.2 34.50% 10.60% 71 220 lbs Undrafted
Chris Ogbonnaya 5.0 12.50% 12.30% 72 225 lbs 7.02
Arian Foster 4.7 20.40% 12.10% 73 224 lbs Undrafted
Le’Veon Bell 4.7 45.10% 10.80% 73 230 lbs 2.16
Marcus Lattimore 4.7 27.00% 10.50% 71 221 lbs 4.34
Andre Brown 4.4 25.80% 10.00% 72 227 lbs 4.29
Rob Kelley 3.6 11.40% 11.20% 71 226 lbs Undrafted

Outlook

Shawn Siegele recently projected Hunt to land in San Diego as the heir to Danny Woodhead’s passing game role and immediate backup to Melvin Gordon. This brought me back to another big-bodied MAC player who was equally as productive.

Player From To School G Att Yds Avg TD Rec Yds Avg TD
Michael Turner 2000 2003 Northern Illinois 45 940 4941 5.3 43 43 451 10.5 3
Kareem Hunt 2013 2016 Toledo 42 760 4825 6.3 42 71 529 7.5 1

Depending on where Hunt ends up being selected, I think he could make an immediate impact as either an early-down grinder or a third down back. The road starts this weekend, goes through the Senior Bowl and Combine. Hunt could end up being a mid-round steal for both an NFL team and in rookie dynasty drafts.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9JdwwEgYAw

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