The Fantasy Football Ghost had an excellent Week 10, posting his highest average multipler. Let’s see what he has for Week 11 in DraftKings NFL cash games.
Week 10, for all of its surprises and general wackiness, gave us one of the best performing weeks since this column started this season. With major hits in the form of my Drew Brees and Nick Chubb suggestions, we saw an average value multiplier of 3.75 times value. Tyler Boyd was the major miss despite a matchup that couldn’t possibly have been better for him. With Week 10 now in the books, if you found a way to get the players I highlighted into your lineup, it’s safe to say you’re likely a bit richer than you were the last time you read this piece. In the end, that’s what this column is really all about — all of you. I try my absolute best to put the best values possible in front of you each week and I take a certain degree of personal joy knowing that the players I’m sharing with you are helping to make my followers a little bit, or a lot, depending on your faith in me, richer come Sunday evening. With that said, Week 11 is another difficult week filled with a large number of bye weeks. There’s no two ways about it, this week will be tough! I’m convinced we will prevail though, just as we did in Week 10.
As a reminder, I will put forth a few players each week that I think you should work into your cash lineups. Some weeks I might only have a single player at a position, the next week I may have three, it’s all going to depend on the strength of the slate, the values present on a given week and the match ups. The following week I will recap how my picks fared. A successful week will be determined by the players I suggest averaging 2.5 times their value, while an unsuccessful week will be an average under 2.5 times value.
Another quick reminder, much of the data presented in this piece can be found in Dave Caban’s Weekly Stat Explorer, found here. Check it out to keep on top of all the week’s key match ups!
DraftKings NFL Cash Plays for Week 11
Drew Brees vs. Philadelphia – Like I said, Brees has another excellent matchup on his hands against a Philadelphia defense allowing the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. The Eagles are also allowing the ninth-most passing yards per game. Brees is an excellent options this week if you’re not keen on starting Wentz.
Matthew Stafford vs. Carolina – The Panthers are tied for the most passing touchdowns allowed this season with 11 surrendered thus far. Carolina is also allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks through Week 10. Matthew Stafford has a prime opportunity to put up some nice fantasy points this weekend.
This game isn’t going to be a very fun one to watch, but for fantasy purposes it could be a gold mine for David Johnson. Johnson’s opponent, the Raiders, are allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and the fourth-most of the teams on this slate. This is due, in large part, to Oakland allowing an average of 141 rushing yards per game, the third-highest average in the league. The Raiders are also allowing an average of one rushing touchdown per game. Johnson is coming off a huge game against the Chiefs where he accumulated both a rushing and receiving touchdown. After a bit of a slow start, Johnson seems to be hitting his stride as he comes into one of the best matchups of the season.
Other Running Backs
Ezekiel Elliott vs. Atlanta – Ezekiel Elliott will likely be heavily owned in cash games due to the excellent matchup he has this week against Atlanta. The Falcons are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. There are also allowing an average of 1.3 rushing touchdowns per game, the third-most in the league.
Doug Martin vs. Arizona – As a bit of a value play, Doug Martin brings with him some intriguing upside against the Cardinals. Arizona is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. This is due primarily to the fact that they are giving up the fourth-most rushing yards per game and the most rushing touchdowns allowed in the NFL.
Other Wide Receivers
Alshon Jeffrey vs. New Orleans – The mirror image of the quarterback suggestions, Alshon Jeffrey will benefit greatly if Wentz has a great game. The Saints are allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing wide receivers. New Orleans is also allowing 10.5 yards per target to the position, the highest average of all defenses.
Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Tampa Bay – It will be tough to follow up the performance that Odell Beckham Jr. had last week, but his matchup against the Buccaneers might just permit that. Tampa Bay is allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. The Buccaneers are also dead last in passing yards allowed and passing touchdowns allowed. Even at his $8,400 price tag, Beckham still looks like a great value.
Evan Engram – $4,100
This season hasn’t been as kind to Evan Engram as the 2017-2018 campaign was. With only 21 receptions and two touchdowns through the first 10 weeks, it can be easy to overlook Engram. However, it is important to bear in mind that he was injured in Week 3 and didn’t return until Week 7, so his numbers are a bit deceiving. Engram can get his season back on track with this week’s matchup against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends thus far in the season. The Buccaneers are also bleeding yardage through the air with teams averaging over 327 yards per game. Opposing tight ends are averaging just a hair under ten yards per target, the second-highest average of all NFL defenses.
Other Tight Ends
Ricky Seals-Jones vs. Oakland – The Raiders are a mess — no one can really argue that point — and Ricky Seals-Jones will have a great opportunity to make that season just a bit worse on Sunday. Opposing tight ends have found solid success against Oakland, averaging 11.6 yards per target. The Raiders are also allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to the position.
James O’Shaughnessy vs. Carolina – The Panthers are highly-susceptible to opposing tight ends. Carolina is allowing the league’s most fantasy points to the position due, in large part, to allowing nine touchdowns thus far to the position! Opponents are eating this weakness up, targeting their tight ends 79 times thus far, the fourth-highest total in the league.
Fresh off the best performance we’ve had all season, I’m really excited to see where Week 11 takes us! As the regular season starts to wind down It’s important to be both safe and smart as we attempt to keep the bank roll we’ve been building through the first ten weeks of the season, that’s why I’m playing it a little more safe than I would in most weeks, especially given the high number of teams on a bye this week. As always, good luck to everyone, and feel free to both reach out to me and follow me on Twitter at @TheFFGhost. I’ll do my best to answer any and all questions you may have!