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Game Level Similarity Projections : Tight End Week 14

We have the GLSP numbers for tight ends heading into Week 14 of the NFL season, a crucial week in fantasy football. These projections are here to help you make the right choice when it comes to naming your lineups for the week ahead, in particular at the tight end spot.

The GLSP, or Game Level Similarity Projections, offer you a glimpse into how players could produce this week based on previous matchups. Let’s dive in and see what the numbers have in store this week.

PlayerTeamOppLowMedHighAVG
Travis KelceKCBAL8.315.72216.3
George KittleSFDEN91520.316.3
Zach ErtzPHIDAL8.714.71915.7
Jordan ReedWASNYG7.313.317.715
Jared CookOAKPIT7121614.7
Eric EbronINDHOU61315.312.7
Austin HooperATLGB712.315.312.7
Vance McDonaldPITOAK512.31612.3
Jonnu SmithTENJAX5.31012.310.7
David NjokuCLECAR5.39.31210.3
CJ UzomahCINLAC4.39.313.710.3
Jack DoyleINDHOU5.39.712.710
Chris Herndon IVNYJBUF4.79.312.710
Anthony FirkserTENJAX3.39.712.39.3
Rob GronkowskiNEMIA59.7129
Jimmy GrahamGBATL37.711.79
Evan EngramNYGWAS4.78128.7
Gerald EverettLARCHI5811.78.7
Kyle RudolphMINSEA37.7128.7
Tyler HigbeeLARCHI4.77.7118.7
Greg OlsenCARCLE4.3710.78.3
Geoff SwaimDALPHI3.77.710.78.3
Mark AndrewsBALKC2.34.797
Cameron BrateTBNO368.37
Rhett EllisonNYGWAS2.76.79.37
Dan ArnoldNOTB2.76.38.76.7
Jesse JamesPITOAK2486
Dallas GoedertPHIDAL1.746.75.7
Antonio GatesLACCIN24.76.75.7
Vernon DavisWASNYG2.347.75.7
Ed DicksonSEAMIN1.757.35.7
Ryan GriffinHOUIND24.375.7
Nick VannettSEAMIN2.346.35.3
Trey BurtonCHILAR1.746.75
Matt LaCosseDENSF1.73.365
Michael RobertsDETARI24.36.34.7
Mo Alie-CoxINDHOU1.73.35.74.7
James O'ShaughnessyJAXTEN1.73.34.74.7
Jordan ThomasHOUIND13.75.34.3
Erik SwoopeINDHOU0243

The late great Johnny Cash once sang “I will let you down … I will make you hurt.”1 These ten words would seem to be the anthem of the TE spot this season. If you don’t have Zach Ertz, Travis Kelce or George Kittle, then you’ve been up against it in 2018.

Most leagues force you to start at least one TE, of course. So naturally, you’ve been rolling one out. Based on the GLSP numbers, Chris Herndon continues to look like a trusty TE2 who could sneak into the top 12. My old friend C.J. Uzomah continues to get all the opportunities we look for in a streamer, while simultaneously offering none of the production. His projections are, as always, not terrible

Dan Arnold of the Saints is an intriguing option to challenge his projections. He has managed two top 20 outings this season, despite commanding more than three targets in a game just once. The Saints are playing the Buccaneers this week, and there is a temptation to start as many offensive players as you can from this game. Arnold isn’t running a lot of routes, but he is being targeted when he runs them. He has seen a target on 17.9 percent of his 52 routes this season. But he is a deep streaming option at best and would be a seriously risky call on this of all weeks.

  1. Yes, I am aware it was originally a Nine Inch Nails song, but if you don’t think that Cash’s cover is the definitive version then I can’t help you.  (back)
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