The regular season is no more, but that doesn’t mean that we aren’t still throwing in some lineups on DraftKings this weekend. I’m going to go through each game and pick one stack that has me intrigued for this weekend. I think that there are a ton of viable stack combinations this weekend from a game theory perspective that makes sense but there may be a chalky one or two mixed in as well.
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
Spread: Houston -1
Vegas has this game with the highest total of all four. It’s clearing the rest of the slate by five points at the time of this writing. This is projected to be the closest game of the slate as well, which should lead to more passing. It may be pretty obvious, but Andrew Luck ($6,400) to T.Y. Hilton ($7,800) makes a ton of sense. As far as flex options go, I’d imagine Hilton will be somewhere around the third highest owned guy behind Ezekiel Elliott and DeAndre Hopkins. But, the writing is on the wall for a big game from Hilton. He’s scored just over 44 PPR points in his two games against Houston so far this year. That’s without a TD in his box score. In addition to that, Houston is the best team to target on the slate because of their propensity to allow explosive plays through the air.
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys
Spread: Dallas -2.5
The Seattle Seahawks love establishing the run. When they aren’t busy establishing the run, though, they have a guy named Tyler Lockett ($5,300) to target. The targets have come and gone in bunches this year and it’s a bit scary to bank on what should be unsustainable efficiency, but that’s what Russell Wilson ($5,700) does best. Since 2000, there hasn’t been another WR to see 70 or fewer targets and tally over 950 receiving yards with double-digit touchdowns. In fact, there have only been two other WRs to see 100 or fewer targets and hit Lockett’s receiving yardage and TD output. It might be thin, but at relatively low ownership, Wilson to Lockett is a stack you should always have some exposure to. Of players that have seen 30 or more targets from Wilson, no one has been more efficient than Lockett.
Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens
Spread: Baltimore -3
The Chargers travel to Baltimore this weekend as road dogs by a field goal. I think you can go contrarian here and stack Lamar Jackson ($5,800), Gus Edwards ($4,200), and Baltimore DST ($3,000) at decently low ownership. That leaves you with $6,167 per remaining spot in your lineup which basically allows you to pay up elsewhere for whatever you want. For his price, the SimScores app likes Jackson quite a bit with a 21.6 DK-point ceiling.
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
Spread: Chicago -6.5
Once the Bears realized that they should stop running into brick walls with Jordan Howard and should maybe get the dynamic Tarik Cohen ($5,400) involved, he really took off. From Week 4 through the end of the regular season, Cohen averaged 16.5 PPR points. Across a 16-game season, his splits would’ve led him to 79 catches on 100 targets for 833 yards through the air and 105 attempts for 437 yards on the ground. That, along with his 10 all-purpose TDs would put him at 265 PPR points. That would’ve bumped him up to RB9 on the season, between Melvin Gordon and David Johnson. I think they feature Cohen in a big way to get their playoffs started right. If you want to go for a contrarian stack, you can pair him with Mitch Trubisky ($6,200) and potentially have access to all of the touchdowns the Bears score on offense.