Welcome back to When The Devy Breaks, an article series providing advice and observations geared toward improving your devy league rosters. The Week 3 slate looked somewhat underwhelming on paper with no ranked matchups. But as is usually the case, we still had plenty of fireworks.
Chuba Hubbard, RB, Oklahoma State
Hubbard was well known in the devy community well before the start of the season. But he’s now a household name following an absurd 269-yard performance against Tulsa. Hubbard now leads the country with 521 rushing yards and seven TDs. The 6-foot-1-inch, 209-pound junior has an elite receiving profile that points to a potential workhorse role at the NFL level:
33% of his total PPR scoring came through the passing game last season despite splitting time with Justice Hill. There’s a strong chance that Hubbard’s 2018 RB market share for receptions (52%) will increase this season as the Cowboys’ unquestioned RB1.
Even in a crowded 2020 RB class, his impressive early-season production is pumping up his draft capital. I’d always advise trying to trade for Hubbard, but at this point you’re almost certainly buying high. If you’re lucky enough to already have him rostered, sit back, relax, and enjoy the ride.
LeVante Bellamy, RB, Western Michigan
Bellamy’s explosive 15-192-3 rushing outing against Georgia State last week shouldn’t be too big of a surprise. Since converting from WR to RB in 2017, the 5-foot-9-inch, 195-pound senior has averaged over six yards per carry. He hauled in 30 receptions last season and will likely shine at the combine next spring if he gets invited. His age (22.8) and size are potential red flags. But Bellamy should be rostered in most devy leagues as an upside play with blazing speed.1
Quez Watkins, WR, Southern Miss
Watkins served a two-game suspension to start the season but came roaring out of the gate with a 7-209-2 receiving line last week against Troy. The 6-foot-2-inch, 190-pound redshirt junior was dominant last season, accounting for 44% of the Golden Eagles’ receiving yards and TDs.
Group of Five prospects typically face an uphill climb to securing premium draft capital. But Watkins is the type of smaller-school WR that would check multiple prospect boxes — a breakout season and return game contributions being chief among them — assuming he declares early for the 2020 Draft.
Joshua Kelley, RB, UCLA
UCLA’s season has been an unmitigated disaster so far. Kelley’s value has subsequently fallen after a no-show against Cincinnati and being out-touched by converted WR Demetric Felton. I expect Kelley to regain the lead role at some point, but a best-case scenario is likely a 70-30 split. The general malaise surrounding the Bruins team inspires little excitement regarding Kelley’s propsects. His 2018 receiving profile was promising, but he’ll need to rally this season to ensure solid draft capital next spring.
Ricky Slade, RB, Penn State
Before the season started, I posited that we’d likely see a committee approach at RB for the Nittany Lions. And that’s exactly what we’ve seen so far. The touch totals for Journey Brown (24), Noah Cain (17), Devyn Ford (16), and Slade (15) point to a shift in offensive philosophy away from Penn State’s recent alpha RB1s. Injuries and performance could still whittle down backfield competition at some point. But for now, Slade appears stuck in a talented four-headed committee.
Trade Target Of The Week
Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, USC
Sure, St. Brown has been outproduced by both Tyler Vaughns and Michael Pittman Jr. through three games. And yeah, USC has been a bit of a roller coaster since JT Daniels’ season-ending injury. But St. Brown is still young (19.9) with solid freshman season production on his resume.
St. Brown was a mid-second-round pick according to August ADP provided by Devy Watch, so we’re likely approaching the lowest value point of his young career. We may have to wait until next season for a full breakout.2 But the future remains bright for St. Brown in a pass-first offense with multiple promising QB candidates on the roster.