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Dollars Per Opportunity: Run Lamar, Run!

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity — that’s what fantasy football is all about. Each week I utilize our GLSP projections to find the hidden DFS values from a dollar-per-opportunity perspective with a focus on Yahoo! DFS.

It was a big week for the weekly article as all the picks hit so hopefully you all capitalized on the opportunity — it’s been rough waters to start the season. We’re starting to hit our groove as the 2019 data is becoming more trustworthy and predictive. As a reminder, within this article you will see screenshots from various amazing tools that RotoViz provides, such as the Stat Explorer, GLSP Projections, Pace App and DFS Optimizer.

Let’s get to the plays!

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QUARTERBACK

Lamar Jackson | 16.5 Opp Score | $36

Normally I don’t recommend paying up at the quarterback position. However, with the value this week, you can afford it. Lamar Jackson has a lot of things going for him against the Seahawks as it’s one of the higher-paced games and he provides a great rushing floor — if you’re going to pay up for a quarterback, he better be able to run. In his more competitive games this season (i.e., not Miami in Week 1) Jackson has been a running machine.

Daniel Jones | 16.3 Opp Score | $26

If you’re looking for value at the position Daniel Jones is a great option as his life should get a little easier with Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram, and possibly Sterling Shepard back. Like Jackson, he gives you a nice rushing floor and this should be a pace-up game vs. the Cardinals. Not only do the Cardinals play an up-tempo pace they have been giving up big scores to opposing quarterbacks all season.

Jones will be leading a Giants offense that comes in with a very healthy implied team total of 27 points.

RUNNING BACK

Tevin Coleman | 16.8 Opp Score | $21

Since coming back from injury, Tevin Coleman has seen 16 and 21 opportunities and the 49ers come into this week as nine-point favorites against the Redskins.

Devin Singletary | 17.3 Opp Score | $21

Devin Singletary should be making his return this week and should be expected to be in a real timeshare with Frank Gore, however, he brings more receiving upside to the table. I would also expect the Bills to give him more run as they should take care of business pretty handily. The Bills are favored by 17 so there should be plenty of opportunity for both to hit value. Seeing as Gore is the cheaper option and has been playing recently he will likely be the higher owned player.

WIDE RECEIVER

Robert Woods | 13.2 Opp Score | $22

Regression alert! Robert Woods has become the regression poster boy as noted by the huge gap between his EP/Gm and FPOE/Gm below. It’s getting ridiculous at this point.

The Rams-Falcons game shapes up to be the game to target as both teams are implied for over 26 points and if Woods can’t get it done here it may never happen (kidding, of course).

D.K. Metcalf | 13.0 Opp Score | $16

A lot of factors are working in D.K. Metcalf’s favor — Marlon Humphrey should shadow Tyler Lockett1 and Will Dissly is no longer a threat in the red zone. The Seahawks should be forced to open it up a bit vs. the Ravens and if Lockett is neutralized we should see extra targets funneled towards Metcalf, who has yet to have his breakout game that we all know is coming.

Allen Lazard | n/a Opp Score | $10

Make sure to pay attention to the injury news this weekend because there’s a good chance Davante Adams, Geronimo Allison, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling all miss action on Sunday. In that scenario Allen Lazard would be this week’s free square.

TIGHT END

Mark Andrews | 17.8 Opp Score | $22

There has been no more consistent tight end this season than Mark Andrews. His bigger expected point games have come against opponents similar to the Seahawks in that they are bad defenses and efficient offenses. If the Seahawks key on stopping Jackson in the run game, look for Andrews to have an uptick in usage.

Darren Waller | 15.1 Opp Score | $21

Darren Waller’s matchup vs. the Packers doesn’t look great on paper, but they haven’t faced many teams that utilize the tight end position. The Raiders are a team that not only utilize the tight end position, but he’s their WR1. Waller’s 0.57 WOPR ranks first among all tight ends.

Lineup Optimizer

Here’s what the DFS Optimizer spit out after locking in some of the plays above:

 

Good luck this week!

Image Credit: Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Lamar Jackson.

  1. He has shadowed Odell Beckham Jr., JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyler Boyd the last three weeks  (back)

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