2020 Wide Receiver Combine Preview: Top Comps, Dominator Ratings, Freak Scores, and More
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Jerry Jeudy.

As wide receivers take the field for testing and drills on Thursday, it’s time for the 2020 NFL Combine preview. Shawn Siegele uses the RotoViz tools to help you locate the top comps, Dominator Ratings, and Freak Scores for a loaded rookie class.

We’ll be awash in information over the next several days. To help make sense of the beautiful madness, I’ve put together a combine preview that provides:

  • A range of Freak Score results.
  • Career Dominator Ratings.
  • The top player comp from the Box Score Scout.

Freak Score

You’ll be inundated with metrics this weekend, but the Freak Score is specifically targeted at a position where height matters. Our scaled height/weight/speed metric helps you understand how a receiver’s physicality translates to the NFL, especially as it relates to touchdown production.

Recent Freak Score stars have outperformed draft position for their owners. D.K. Metcalf’s 92 was one of the best scores ever for anyone not named Calvin Johnson, and he went on to a WR29 finish as a rookie. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, D.J. Chark, and Allen Lazard posted the three best scores in 2018. Chark emerged as a lethal threat in 2019, while Lazard climbed back from UDFA obscurity. Even the disappointing MVS provided dynasty owners with an opportunity to flip at a serious profit.

In this exercise, I’ve provided the Freak Score results for each receiver at three different 40-yard-dash times: 4.3, 4.45, and 4.6. Once the results are in, you can use the Freak Score tool to generate the official result.

Dominator Rating

The Dominator Rating is the average of a receiver’s yardage share and TD share. It’s one of several stats that help predict NFL performance, and market share numbers are especially valuable in finding players who will outperform draft slot. As a quick snapshot, I’ve provided the career DR, but the Box Score Scout breaks down a player’s yardage and receiving share for each individual season.

To highlight the star producers, I’ve sorted the players by Dominator Rating.

For a deep dive on WR production, our Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide has Travis May’s Adjusted Production Index, my look at the value of Breakout Age, and BOA info for all of the rookies. You can also find breakout ages in the Box Score Scout.

Top Comps

Mike Beers continues to upgrade the BSS. We’ll have the official numbers after the Combine, but Mike has added the ability to input your own numbers for size and speed. You can also experiment with different draft positions.

Want to know the WR with the most similar collegiate production at a given size and draft slot? In this experiment, I’ve used the official combine weights along with projected draft position and our advanced stats to generate comps for each player. The top comp is listed in the table below.

In such a loaded class, it’s no surprise that it includes WRs with comps like Odell Beckham, Sammy Watkins, and DeAndre Hopkins. But it’s not all roses, a few red flags appear as well.

2020 Wide Receiver Combine Preview

PlayerHeightWeightFreak 4.3Freak 4.45Freak 4.6Career DRTop Comp
Tyler Johnson6-1 3/8"2067661450.44Marvin McNutt
Antonio Gandy-Golden6-4"2239378620.40Courtland Sutton
Denzel Mims6-2 7/8"2078166500.33James Washington
Darnell Mooney5-10 1/8"1765135200.33Darius Johnson
Isaiah Hodgins6-3 5/8"2108570540.32Jordan Lasley
Brandon Aiyuk5-11 5/8"2057458420.31Jeremy Maclin
Quintez Cephus6-0 7/8"2027458420.30Pharoh Cooper
James Proche5-10 5/8"2016953380.30Ryan Broyles
Jalen Reagor5-10 5/8"2067256410.30Christian Kirk
Quez Watkins6-0 1/8"1856145300.30Demarcus Ayers
Kalija Lipscomb5-11 7/8"2077559430.29Nelson Spruce
Bryan Edwards6-2 6/8"2128469530.28Nick Toon
KJ Hamler5-8 5/8"1785034190.28Randall Cobb
Justin Jefferson6-1 2/8"2027458420.28DeAndre Hopkins
Cody White6-3 3/8"2178872560.28Kelvin Harmon
Marquez Callaway6-1 2/8"2057660440.27Ryan Swope
Laviska Shenault Jr.6-0 5/8"2279074580.27A.J. Brown
Tee Higgins6-3 5/8"2168973580.26Laquon Treadwell
Trishton Jackson6-0 6/8"1977155390.26Jeremy Ebert
CeeDee Lamb6-1 5/8"1987358420.26Sammy Watkins
Michael Pittman6-4"2239378620.26Brandon LaFell
Quartney Davis6-1 2/8"2017357420.25Geronimo Allison
John Hightower6-1 4/8"1896751350.25Geronimo Allison
Gabriel Davis6-2"2168569530.24Breshad Perriman
Jerry Jeudy6-1"1936852370.24Odell Beckham
Donovan Peoples-Jones6-1 5/8"2128267510.23Deon Cain
Omar Bayless6-0 6/8"2128064490.22Quincy Enunwa
Lynn Bowden5-10 5/8"2047155390.22Demarcus Robinson
Chase Claypool6-4 2/8"23810387720.22Kerry Meier
Collin Johnson6-5 5/8"2229781660.22Geremy Davis
Jauan Jennings6-3 1/8"2158671550.22Cobi Hamilton
Lawrence Cager6-4 6/8"2209478620.20Deondre Douglas
Devin Duvernay5-10 4/8"2006751360.20Denarius Moore
K.J. Osborn5-11 4/8"2037156400.19Taylor Stockemer
Aaron Fuller5-10 6/8"1886145290.18James Quick
Henry Ruggs III5-11"1886145290.18Curtis Samuel
Freddie Swain6-0 2/8"1976853370.18Stacy Coley
Joe Reed6-0 4/8"2248771550.17Bug Howard
Darrell Stewart6-0 2/8"2127862470.17Aaron Burbridge
Van Jefferson6-1 4/8"2007458420.16Bryce Treggs
Jeff Thomas5-8 7/8"1704529140.16Brian Hernandez
Binjimen Victor6-3 6/8"1987660440.16Bryce Bobo
K.J. Hill5-11 7/8"1966852370.15Jeremy Kerley
Juwan Johnson6-4"2309882660.14Dylan Cantrell
Tyrie Cleveland6-2 3/8"2098065490.13Tyler Grisham
Chris Finke5-9 4/8"1865641250.13Macgarrett Kings Jr.
Kendrick Rogers6-4 2/8"2088468530.13Bradon Godfrey
Dezmon Patmon6-3 6/8"2259579630.12Darreus Rogers
Tony Brown6-0 6/8"1987156400.10Keshawn Martin
Austin Mack6-1 4/8"2087963470.09Desmond White
Isaiah Coulter6-1 7/8"198735842
Antonio Gibson6-0 3/8"228887257
Stephen Guidry6-3"201776246
Aaron Parker6-1 5/8"209806549

We’ll check in with the results after the combine, including winners and losers and new projections.

If you liked the Combine Preview, you’ll love a few of our other resources.

  • Travis May just completed his Top 100 Rookie Rankings, a five-part series from one of the industry’s leading devy gurus. For IDP fans, his rankings include the 34 best fantasy defenders as well.
  • In the Wrong Read No. 60, Blair Andrews asks What WR Metrics Tell Us Something Unique? He answers the question with a correlation matrix looking at advanced stats, NFL draft position, and future production.
  • The newly updated RB Prospect Lab allows you to create a pre- or post-draft model. The Lab Lite includes a simpler version that’s easier on mobile. I’ve used the Lab to rank the elite prospects, finding a superstar, a sleeper, and a red flag.
  • Follow along in our Prospect Series. Start with a superstar like Jerry Jeudy, jump to a potential riser like Antonio Gandy-Golden, but don’t forget sleepers like Isaiah Hodgins.
  • And don’t forget the Dynasty Command Center Rookie Guide. In addition to the WR content mentioned above, Blair Andrews discusses an RB hack that will help you land the top sleepers at the position. The Rookie Guide includes new volumes after the combine and the NFL Draft, including mock draft analysis galore from Curtis Patrick.
Image Credit: Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Jerry Jeudy.

Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.
What we do
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2019 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.