PGA DFS: Expected Birdies for the Arnold Palmer Invitational
Image Credit: Julian Avram/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Collin Morikawa.

The Tour is turning its attention, once again, to Bay Hill Club and Lodge for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. If you want a more in-depth look at the statistical breakdown of the course, check out last year’s course preview. Here’s a look at the field shakes out in Expected Birdies.

Expected Birdies - Arnold Palmer Invitational

NameSalaryBOB Score
Rory McIlroy11800100
Scottie Scheffler770098
Hideki Matsuyama1060095
Collin Morikawa840094
Tommy Fleetwood1100092
Bryson DeChambeau1040092
Brooks Koepka920092
Maverick McNealy740092
Adam Scott970091
Sungjae Im950091
Jason Day910090
Sebastian Munoz690090
Viktor Hovland800089
Justin Rose900089
Doc Redman630089
Xander Schauffele1000088
Tony Finau890088
Wyndham Clark770088
Rickie Fowler930087
Denny McCarthy650087
Steve Stricker610086
Patrick Reed940085
Harry Higgs670085
J.T. Poston760085
Bubba Watson830085
Sam Ryder640085
Billy Horschel800084
Abraham Ancer780084
Lanto Griffin680084
Henrik Stenson880083
Vaughn Taylor720083
Scott Piercy730083
Rory Sabbatini670083
Ryan Moore740083
Kevin Na730083
Phil Mickelson790083
Joel Dahmen730082
Marc Leishman860082
Harris English740082
Lee Westwood820082
Joaquin Niemann750082
Jason Kokrak720082
Cameron Champ690082
Nick Taylor670081
Tyrrell Hatton810081
Matthew NeSmith680081
Carlos Ortiz710081
Byeong Hun An870081
Andrew Putnam670081
Talor Gooch700081
Tom Hoge700081
Nate Lashley640081
Charl Schwartzel750081
Emiliano Grillo710081
Harold Varner III710081
Corey Conners690081
J.B. Holmes740081
Keith Mitchell660081
Bud Cauley740080
Kevin Streelman700080
Rafa Cabrera Bello760080
Charles Howell III720080
Lucas Glover730080
Stewart Cink640080
Sam Burns660080
Keegan Bradley700080
Charley Hoffman650080
Hank Lebioda600080
Ian Poulter760079
Brian Harman700079
Max Homa790079
Matt Jones670079
Kevin Tway620079
Pat Perez640079
Patrick Rodgers660079
Zach Johnson660079
Beau Hossler660079
Danny Lee650079
Jimmy Walker640079
Kevin Kisner780078
Matthew Fitzpatrick850078
Henrik Norlander640078
Dylan Frittelli650078
Kevin Chappell620078
Robby Shelton630078
Xinjun ZHANG620077
Russell Knox720077
Matthew Wolff710077
Troy Merritt620077
Brendan Steele750077
Matt Every630077
Mark Hubbard650076
Adam Long670076
Graeme McDowell690076
Francesco Molinari720076
Brian Stuard650075
Scott Harrington600075
Danny Willett680074
Tyler Duncan630074
Sung Kang680074
Anirban Lahiri610074
Sam Saunders620074
Scott Brown630073
Si Woo Kim620073
Rob Oppenheim610072
Brendon Todd690071
Brian Gay620071
Zac Blair610071
Padraig Harrington610071
Vijay Singh600071
Cheng Tsung Pan610070
Alex Noren730070
Davis Love III610070
Jim Herman600068
Jazz Janewattananond660066
Matt Wallace680021
Christiaan Bezuidenhout710015
Robert Gamez60004
Chun An Yu63000
Brandon Matthews60000
Rod Perry60000

Standouts

Rory McIlroy ($11,800) continues to destroy everything in his path. He’s 0.8 strokes per round clear of the field according to the Raw Power Ranking Score. McIlroy has the second-best Expected Birdies score, too, as the cherry on the top.

Collin Morikawa ($8,400) and Scottie Scheffler ($7,700) both seem a bit underpriced relative to their ceiling. Morikawa comes in with his made-cut streak intact. He’s made 21 starts on tour since the start of 2018 with a win, a runner-up and four other finishes inside of the top 10. Scheffler opened the year with some strong finishes before missing a couple of cuts in a row. His last two finishes have wound up in the top 30 and he seems to be trending back in the right direction.

Let this serve as your weekly reminder that Maverick McNealy ($7,400) should be in consideration until further notice. He’s climbing the PRK each and every week and continues to show upside. McNealy is up to 11 straight cuts now, with a T11 last week at a difficult track.

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