You’re Probably Targeting Upside and Safety in the Wrong Parts of Your Draft … And Killing Your Best Ball Win Rates – The Wrong Read, No. 67

Blair Andrews
February 16, 2021

The previous Wrong Read looked at best ball win rates as a function of age and experience. The surprising finding is that at almost every position, younger and less experienced players underperform. Two factors combine to make this the case. First, the optionality profile of best ball leagues makes them less ideal for players with a wide range of outcomes than traditional redraft leagues. If...

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Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

This Contrarian Strategy Helped Me Finish No. 2 Overall in the 2024 Scott Fish Bowl . . . and It’s Even More Potent in 2025

Blair Andrews June 12, 2025

Despite many recent successes, as a site we’re generally quite modest. This has mainly to do with the personalities of the central players. I’m not a fantasy analyst who likes to toot my own horn, as it were. That’s why, unless you were paying close attention, you might not know that I finished second overall in the Scott Fish Bowl last season (SFB14), out of…...

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How Much Do Yards Per Route Run Matter for Wide Receiver Prospects? Checking All the Boxes, Part 1

Blair Andrews May 30, 2025

If you must forecast, then forecast often — and be the first one to prove yourself wrong. — Paul Saffo Things are constantly changing in the NFL and the fantasy football landscape. As a site, we’ve changed our minds on many things and have come to discover that the ways we’ve understood certain elements in the past no longer hold, for whatever reason. FantasyDouche once…...

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2025 Post-Draft Running Back Prospect Lab Scores

Blair Andrews May 7, 2025

The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the site, but it’s not exactly a precision instrument. It uses a simple linear model to predict an RB’s early NFL career based on a few important college metrics. However, the simplicity ends up being a benefit — it knows what to look for and isn’t often fooled by outliers. I’m updating this…...