Darren Waller Generated a 14% Win Rate in 2020 – He’s Now the Most Important Decision in Your Draft
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Image Credit: Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Darren Waller.

Shawn Siegele explains why history says your best ball success in 2021 will come down to the decisions you make at tight end.

I did select Darren Waller with the 2.06 in the MFL10 of Death, and I do like Waller as the TE2 this season. He’s one of the most unique physical talents in the NFL, and he’s coming off of two dynamic fantasy campaigns. His QB situation is more settled than George Kittle’s, and Waller has less competition for targets.

But this article isn’t as much about Waller as it is the value in elite TEs in general. I would have happily selected Kittle instead.

In Part 3 of the MFL10 of Death series, we’ll break down the wild advantage you get just by playing the QB and TE positions correctly. Yesterday we found that drafters were giving away a ton of value with their tactics on defense. Today we find the same at TE. In both cases, the best approach isn’t very popular. In fact, when we look at the combination of QB-TE-DEF tactics, we find that the two most popular builds returned win rates of 7.4% and 8.4% respectively, while the slam dunk builds, with win rates well over 10%, weren’t popular at all.

Know you plan to pass on Waller and Kittle? We’ll also discuss the best remaining targets, and they’re not necessarily the names you might expect.

Darren Waller Is the Key to Fantasy Drafts in 2021

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Shawn Siegele

Author of the original Zero RB article and 2013 NFFC Primetime Grand Champion. 11-time main event league winner. 2015, 2017, 2018 titles in MFL10 of Death.

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