The Jaguars Backfield Presents an Opportunity to Boost Your Win Rates, But at What Cost? Small-Gap RBs on 2 Polarizing Teams

Corbin Young
July 27, 2021

Last time we identified a couple of bargains at the running back position with a large ADP gap. We used research by Jack Miller on the ADP gap between RB teammates to identify Myles Gaskin and Mike Davis. Both running backs hold an ADP gap greater than 98.5 with their team’s RB2, which qualifies as a big-gap running back. However, small-gap backfields also provide an opportunity to find better-than-average win rates.

When looking at Jack’s research, we find that S1 running backs score slightly more than S2 running backs. However, S2 backs have higher win rates and hit rates than S1 backs. Seeing that S2 backs can provide above-average win rates, let’s look at S1 and S2 backs on a couple of polarizing teams.

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

What’s included in your subscription??

Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
- A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
Revolutionary Tools
- Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
Groundbreaking Articles
- RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
Weekly Projections
- Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
Expert Rankings
And a whole lot more…

Corbin Young

Is Keenan Allen’s Herbert Reunion the Most Overlooked Value Hack of 2025? 4 Wide Receiver Risers (Including 2 Rookies) Create Arbitrage Opportunities

Corbin Young August 26, 2025

Like any form of investment, we want to monitor the risers and fallers. That’s especially true with fantasy football, specifically wide receiver risers. In a previous article, we covered several Day 3 running backs rising in drafts, so it was logical to examine the receiver position. Unsurprisingly, we covered mostly Year 1 or Year 2 players, with a veteran joining a team late into the…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

Why Woody Marks Could Be This Year’s Kyren Williams, and 5 Other Day 3 Running Backs Moving Quickly Up Draft Boards

Corbin Young August 14, 2025

We’ve seen Day 3 running backs move up the draft boards, and some with good reason. Day 3 running backs have been relatively helpful over the past few seasons, especially in their first two seasons. We saw Bucky Irving, Chase Brown, and Tyrone Tracy Jr. hit last season, with Isiah Pacheco, Chuba Hubbard, and Kyren Williams being other notables (though Hubbard broke out in Year…...

Membership Required

You must be a member to access this content.

View Membership Levels

Already a member? Log in here

2025’s Ultimate Big Gap Backfield Hack: Can Derrick Henry Defy History Again?

Corbin Young August 4, 2025

We’ve examined six small gap backfields in two previous articles, including three with rookies adding to the uncertainty and the one team with three rushers inside the top 150 in ADP. In the past, we’ve looked at big-gap and small-gap running backs to identify undervalued players based on their ADP. The idea comes from Jack Miller’s research on the win and hit rates for big or…...