These 2 Advanced Quarterback Metrics Predict Draft Capital and Fantasy Success with Stunning Accuracy
Share on twitter
Share on facebook
Image Credit: Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.

What makes a quarterback good? And can we truly predict which quarterback prospects will be good once they make the leap from college to the NFL? It seems there is more disagreement on top quarterback prospects than any other position group each year. And yet every year, one (or more) of the top quarterback prospects ends up being a bust. Why is that? And how do we avoid the ones that will eventually bust?

Over the years, several smart people have created various efficiency metrics to help predict future QB success. In this article, I’m going to improve upon one and join it with one other to show how simple adjustments in our analysis can help us make smarter predictions with quarterbacks.

Adjusted Yards Per Attempt (AY/A)

One of the most informative quarterback metrics available is adjusted yards per attempt (AY/A). That metric combines a weighted combination of yards, touchdowns, and interceptions. In fact, AY/A has proven in recent years to not just be a solid efficiency metric, but a solid indicator of future draft capital. Just check out all the Division I quarterbacks drafted from 2017 to 2021 according to their AY/A percentile.

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

2021 NFL Draft Rookie Age Database

Here at RotoViz, we like our incoming rookies to be young. It’s certainly shown in the past to impact their hit rate and career longevity…....

2021 NFL Draft Rookie Age Database

Here at RotoViz, we like our incoming rookies to be young. It’s certainly shown in the past to impact their hit rate and career longevity…....

The Blitz

What we do
Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

© 2020 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.