In Defense of Ageism, Part II: The Undervalued Rookie Running Back You Want on All Your Teams
Image Credit: Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Isaiah Spiller.

Blair Andrews turns to the running back position to examine the effects of draft age. How much of a difference does it make, if any?

Last week I detailed why I am an ageist about rookie wide receivers. It may come as no surprise to discover I’m an ageist about rookie running backs as well. While the benefits of declaring early and breaking out at a young age are not as clear or as well documented for RBs, younger RBs tend to outplay their older counterparts. But how much does this really matter? And is it already accounted for once we know draft position?

Measuring the Effects of Draft Age

For the purposes of this analysis, draft age is a player’s age on December 31 in the year of his final college season. It coincides with the Final College Age metric in the RB Prospect Lab. But how much does this metric really matter? The charts below give an indication of just how big a difference it makes for RBs.

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Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

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Matthew Freedman used to write a column called The Dissenting Costanzan. He would peruse recent RotoViz articles for points of possible disagreement, and offer up an alternative take on the matter at hand, always with a sense of camaraderie and the goal of further discussion. While The Dissenting Costanzan is no longer a feature of RotoViz content, it would be a mistake to think that…...

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I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for the WR scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the…...

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The Untimelies, Part 1: Why We Are So Good at Dynasty Startups

Truly, Zarathustra is a strong wind to everyone low; and he gives this advice to his enemies and to everything that spits and spews: take care not to spit into the wind! — Friedrich Nietzsche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra, Part II, “Of the Rabble” I myself am not yet timely; some are born posthumously. — Nietzsche, Ecce Homo, “Why I Write Such Good Books,” 1 After the…...

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George Costanza, Expected Value, and the Importance of the Regular Season in Best Ball Mania 7: Why Week 17 Doesn’t Matter At All

Matthew Freedman used to write a column called The Dissenting Costanzan. He would peruse recent RotoViz articles for points of possible disagreement, and offer up an alternative take on the matter at hand, always with a sense of camaraderie and the goal of further discussion. While The Dissenting Costanzan is no longer a feature of RotoViz content, it would be a mistake to think that…...

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I will be updating the Prospect Lab scores with the post-draft model results as picks come in (or shortly thereafter). Stay tuned to this space for live updates, or check here for the WR scores. And make sure you are also monitoring Kevin’s live updates in his Landing Spot Instant Reactions article. The Running Back Prospect Lab is one of my favorite tools on the…...

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