The Golden Age of the Wide Receiver Is Just Beginning: 1 Big Thing from Week 10
Image Credit: Chris Williams/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Drake London.

In 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the RotoViz tools to take a deep dive into an interesting, unique, and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football.

Through 10 weeks, there are seven wide receivers who have a target market share of at least 30% (if you round percentages to two decimal places as the RotoViz Screener does).

In 2021, there were only four WRs with a 30% target share at this point in the season. In 2020, there was only one. The last time there were seven or more WRs with such a high share of targets was in 2006 (there were nine). In fact, since 2000, there have been seven or more WRs with such a high target share through Week 10 only four other times. Three of those seasons were 2001, 2002, and 2003. In 2004 and 2005, there were six such players. The only other season in which we had six such players was 2015.

The chart above illustrates this trend well, although the trendline doesn’t quite capture just how dramatic the change has been. Notice that there’s not a single season before 2009 with fewer than five 30% target share players. But between 2009 and 2021, only one season had more than four such players. In this context, 2022 looks like a dramatic outlier. These trends raise at least two questions: First, what’s behind the huge dropoff in the second decade compared to the first? Second, what’s causing the apparent reversal we’re seeing in 2022?

Why Aren’t Wide Receivers As Good As They Used to Be?

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Zero RB Watch: Rachaad White Is a Starting Running Back and 20 More Thoughts Ahead of Week 12

Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into…...

Justin Jefferson Is Smashing Records, and He’s Not Done Yet: 1 Big Thing from Week 12

In 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the RotoViz tools to take a deep dive into an interesting, unique, and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football. On Thanksgiving day, Justin Jefferson had his seventh 100-yard game of the season. That’s more than Cooper Kupp had through 12 weeks in 2021. It’s more than Stefon Diggs had through 12 weeks in 2020…....

Zero RB Watch: Samaje Perine Is the Running Back the Bengals Have Been Searching For and 18 More RB Thoughts Ahead of Week 12

Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into…...

Zero RB Watch: Rachaad White Is a Starting Running Back and 20 More Thoughts Ahead of Week 12

Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into…...

Justin Jefferson Is Smashing Records, and He’s Not Done Yet: 1 Big Thing from Week 12

In 1 Big Thing, Blair Andrews uses the RotoViz tools to take a deep dive into an interesting, unique, and potentially actionable development from the last week of fantasy football. On Thanksgiving day, Justin Jefferson had his seventh 100-yard game of the season. That’s more than Cooper Kupp had through 12 weeks in 2021. It’s more than Stefon Diggs had through 12 weeks in 2020…....

Zero RB Watch: Samaje Perine Is the Running Back the Bengals Have Been Searching For and 18 More RB Thoughts Ahead of Week 12

Our goal with the Zero RB Watch List is to help you locate RB breakouts and waiver adds before they happen, but this column isn’t just for Zero RB owners. We’re just as focused on the high-profile backs. Understanding workloads is key to making tough redraft and dynasty trades. The RotoViz Screener and NFL Stat Explorer provide a smorgasbord of data as we dive into…...

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.