Jamaal Williams Is a Sneaky Pick to Regain Elements of His Green Bay Profile and Benefit from Alvin Kamara Uncertainty
Image Credit: John McCreary/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Alvin Kamara.

Jamaal Williams has signed a three-year deal with the New Orleans Saints worth $12 million, with $8 million guaranteed. Williams is coming off a league leading 17-touchdown season on the back of 46 green zone touches (also the most in the league). Can he replicate this type of season in New Orleans?

Williams’ Breakout Season

Williams is moving to his third team since entering the league in 2017, and is also coming off his best season to date. He finished as the RB12 in PPR, largely due to the 13th most valuable workload among RBs.

This is mainly thanks to the number of carries he saw inside the opponent’s 10-yard line. Yet despite the 46 touches inside the 10, Williams still lagged in total high-value touches, ranking below D’Andre Swift in that category, while sporting a 79% TRAP rating.

Williams’ 12 receptions were the fewest of any player to score at least 140 PPR points. Despite leading the league in green zone touches, Williams handled only 40% of Detroit’s high-value touches. This casts some doubt on his ability to sustain these numbers in a new situation. (It would be hard to sustain these numbers even in the same situation.)

New Orleans’ Outlook: Serious Upside and Massive Red Flags

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Blair Andrews

Managing Editor, Author of The Wrong Read, Occasional Fantasy Football League Winner. All opinions are someone else's.

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament

NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...

Small-School Dynamos Add Intrigue to a Surprisingly Deep Running Back Class: 2024 Backfield Dominator Ratings

Since 2018 we’ve been using the backfield dominator rating (BDR) to find undervalued running backs and to evaluate the top backs in the class. BDR is a key stat we report in the Box Score Scout, and it’s also a central component of some predictive models in the RB Prospect Lab. We’ve used it and related precursor metrics such as Workhorse Scores to find hidden…...

How to Build a Contrarian March Madness Bracket: Win Probabilities, Potential Upsets, and Advanced Strategy for the 2024 NCAA Tournament

NFL free agency may be winding down, but our favorite prospects are getting ready for pro days, and best ball drafts are heating up. Yet I have only one thing on my mind: winning my friends and family March Madness pool. The key to winning, as RotoViz readers will already know, is not simply to pick the teams most likely to advance. It’s to pick…...

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.