Zero RB is Defining the Season: Best Ball Mania IV Advance Rate Review – Week 6
Image Credit: Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: D'Andre Swift.

This week in my Best Ball Mania IV (BBM4) advance rate review we’ll be veering off the path we’ve carved thus far to take a look at roster constructions. Underdog released the entire field of teams in their flagship contest two weeks ago and it’s time to put that data to work. We’ll be looking at roster construction by position. Sorting by position helps us understand which strategies (elite quarterback, late-round tight end, etc.) are working the best without conflating them too much.

Obviously, we can’t totally wash out the relationships between constructions. If elite quarterbacks are dominating, it’s natural that we’ll see high advance rates from some of the late-round constructions at other positions. We also can’t ignore the impact of individual players on the success of certain strategies. We’ll lean into both of these factors and try to identify the relationships between constructions and specific players that are defining their success.

Each position’s chart will categorize teams by the draft capital they spent at the position (along the top) and the number of players they selected at that position (along the bottom). The y-axis shows the percentage above or below the average advance rate (16.67%) for each grouping. Green bars denote above average constructions; red bars below average. 

Already a member? Log in here

Please subscribe For Full Access to all RotoViz content and tools!

 

What’s included in your subscription??

  • Exclusive Access to RotoViz Study Hall
    • A treasure trove of our most insightful articles that will teach you the metrics that matter, time-tested winning strategies, the approaches that will give you an edge, and teach you how to be an effective fantasy manager.
  • Revolutionary Tools
    • Including the NFL Stat Explorer, Weekly GLSP Projections, NCAA Prospect Box Score Scout, Combine Explorer, Range of Outcomes App, DFS Lineup Optimizer, Best Ball Suite,and many, many, more.
  • Groundbreaking Articles
    • RotoViz is home of the original Zero-RB article and continues to push fantasy gamers forward as the go-to destination for evidence-based analysis and strategic advantages.
  • Weekly Projections
    • Built using RotoViz’s unique GLSP approach.
  • Expert Rankings
  • And a whole lot more…

Are Single Tight End Builds the Strongest Contrarian Strategy in Best Ball? Simulating Millions of Best Ball Teams to Find Out

As we race toward peak fantasy football draft season, we’re seeing the annual flurry of articles exploring running back and wide receiver strategies, correlations, tendencies, and more. These two positions dominate fantasy football discourse for good reason. They will be the largest sources of your teams’ points. All of that research supports a relatively strong understanding of how to draft those positions, particularly in best…...

Already a member? Log in here

Can Best Ball Simulations Unlock New Quarterback Strategies? Analyzing Millions of Simulated Teams In Search of a Contrarian Build

While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...

Already a member? Log in here

WR Early and Often Has Dominated Best Ball Mania But Is That a Historical Fluke? Simulating Thousands of Seasons and Millions of Teams to Find the Answer

Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...

Already a member? Log in here

Are Single Tight End Builds the Strongest Contrarian Strategy in Best Ball? Simulating Millions of Best Ball Teams to Find Out

As we race toward peak fantasy football draft season, we’re seeing the annual flurry of articles exploring running back and wide receiver strategies, correlations, tendencies, and more. These two positions dominate fantasy football discourse for good reason. They will be the largest sources of your teams’ points. All of that research supports a relatively strong understanding of how to draft those positions, particularly in best…...

Already a member? Log in here

Can Best Ball Simulations Unlock New Quarterback Strategies? Analyzing Millions of Simulated Teams In Search of a Contrarian Build

While impassioned debates carry on about the ideal strategies for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends in Underdog’s Best Ball Mania (BBM) contests, quarterback strategy seems to have reached consensus. More than 95% of teams in BBM history have selected two or three quarterbacks. On the surface, it seems reasonable to take at least two QBs to ensure you have coverage for bye weeks…...

Already a member? Log in here

WR Early and Often Has Dominated Best Ball Mania But Is That a Historical Fluke? Simulating Thousands of Seasons and Millions of Teams to Find the Answer

Over the last three months I’ve been working in collaboration with the RotoViz team to develop a tool to simulate Best Ball Mania (BBM) tournaments. This includes generating an original player pool for each “season,” simulating drafts, pulling fantasy scores from a weighted distribution, and finally adding up each team’s score using Underdog’s BBM roster settings. The simulation methodology includes injuries, bye weeks, quarterback changes,…...

Already a member? Log in here

The Blitz

Connect
Support

rotovizmain@gmail.com

Sign-up today for our free Premium Email subscription!

Data provided by

© 2021 RotoViz. All rights Reserved.

Welcome Back to RotoViz...

– IF YOU HAVE ISSUES LOGGING IN PLEASE CONTACT ROTOVIZMAIN@GMAIL.COM

– PLEASE NOTE THAT ROTOVIZ USES WORDPRESS FOR ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT. IF RESETTING YOUR PASSWORD YOU MAY BE FOWARDED TO A WORDPRESS PAGE.